ThusTradedZarathustra

Predicting since Oct 202468 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Will Meta have the top AI model on December 31?Tech	YesResolved	$2	3.6¢	0.0¢	-$2
OpenAI browser in July?Tech	YesResolved	$5	21¢	0.0¢	-$5
Will Meta have the top AI model on August 31?Tech	YesResolved	$2	0.9¢	0.0¢	-$2
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2025?Tech	YesResolved	$213	30¢	0.0¢	-$213
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on July 31?Tech	YesResolved	$5	1.1¢	0.0¢	-$5
Will xAI have the top AI model on July 31?Tech	YesResolved	$10	1.4¢	0.0¢	-$10
Will Meta have the top AI model on July 31?Tech	YesResolved	$2	0.3¢	0.0¢	-$2
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark in 2025?Tech	YesResolved	$55	18¢	0.0¢	-$55
Will GPT-5 be released on August 6?Tech	YesResolved	$10	3.8¢	0.0¢	-$10
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31?Tech	YesResolved	$7	3.5¢	0.0¢	-$7
Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on August 31?Tech	YesResolved	$12	0.7¢	0.0¢	-$12
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on July 31?Tech	YesResolved	$103	5.2¢	0.0¢	-$103
Will GPT-5 be released on August 8?Tech	YesResolved	$7	3.2¢	0.0¢	-$7
Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on July 31?Tech	YesResolved	$2	0.3¢	0.0¢	-$2
Will OpenAi have the top AI model on August 31?Tech	YesResolved	$180	41¢	0.0¢	-$180
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on August 31?Tech	YesResolved	$32	3.6¢	0.0¢	-$32

Realized + open PnL by category

Tech-$476

Other sports+$60

Politics+$41

NFL-$13

Economy+$12

Crypto+$3

NBA-$3

Culture-$2

Other-$1

Champions League-$0

Biggest hit

+$158

Will OpenAI release an open source model before September?

Toughest beat

-$37

Will Susan Collins vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?

Cashed out Yes · Nothing Ever Happens: AI Edition$153mo ago
Cashed out Yes · Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$243mo ago
Bought Yes · Nothing Ever Happens: AI Edition$1010mo ago
Bought Yes · Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on August 31?$1011mo ago
Bought Yes · Will OpenAi have the top AI model on August 31?$1011mo ago
Cashed out Yes · Will OpenAI release an open source model before September?$35511mo ago
Bought Yes · Will GPT-5 be released on August 8?$211mo ago
Bought Yes · Will GPT-5 be released on August 8?$511mo ago
Bought Yes · Will GPT-5 be released on August 6?$1011mo ago
Bought Yes · AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark in 2025?$1011mo ago
Bought Yes · AI wins IMO gold medal in 2025?$2011mo ago
Bought Yes · Will OpenAI have the top AI model on July 31?$151y ago