AdamPapa

Predicting since Oct 202529 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Politics	Yes	$20	17¢	7.5¢	-$11
Xi Jinping out before 2027?Politics	Yes	$10	9.7¢	4.9¢	-$5
US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$10	1.8¢	0.0¢	-$10
US strikes Iran by January 24, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$10	0.4¢	0.0¢	-$10
Will Khamenei leave Iran by February 28, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$10	7.1¢	0.0¢	-$10
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$5	4.9¢	0.0¢	-$5
US strikes Iran by January 25, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$7	2.4¢	0.0¢	-$7
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$10	2.6¢	0.0¢	-$10
Xi Jinping out in 2025?Politics	YesResolved	$2	3.9¢	0.0¢	-$2
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$6	6.0¢	0.0¢	-$6
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$3	0.8¢	0.0¢	-$3
xAI IPO before 2027?Tech	YesResolved	$10	14¢	0.0¢	-$10
Will the US capture Khamenei before 2027?Politics	YesResolved	$10	11¢	0.0¢	-$10
Israel strikes Iran by January 24, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$12	0.5¢	0.0¢	-$12
US strikes Iran by January 30, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$1	0.2¢	0.0¢	-$1
Once Upon a Farm IPO before 2027?Tech	NoResolved	$5	1.2¢	0.0¢	-$5
Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 16?Politics	YesResolved	$10	4.9¢	0.0¢	-$10
US strikes Iran by February 1, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$10	3.5¢	0.0¢	-$10
US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$10	2.2¢	0.0¢	-$10
Israel strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$2	2.4¢	0.0¢	-$2
SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?Tech	NoResolved	$15	15¢	0.0¢	-$15
US strikes Iran by January 17, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$4	1.9¢	0.0¢	-$4
Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?Politics	YesResolved	$9	4.7¢	0.0¢	-$9
Israel strikes Iran by January 25, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$5	1.5¢	0.0¢	-$5
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?Tech	YesResolved	$50	8.4¢	0.0¢	-$50
Will Elon Musk’s $1T Tesla pay deal pass?Finance	NoResolved	$50	5.3¢	0.0¢	-$50
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$3	3.3¢	0.0¢	-$3

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$159

Tech-$80

Finance-$15

Biggest hit

+$35

Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on October 23?

Toughest beat

-$4

US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?

Recent moves

Bought Yes · Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?$303mo ago
Bought Yes · Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?$204mo ago
Bought Yes · US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?$34mo ago
Bought Yes · US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?$105mo ago
Bought Yes · US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?$105mo ago
Bought Yes · US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?$105mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Khamenei leave Iran by February 28, 2026?$105mo ago
Bought Yes · US strikes Iran by February 1, 2026?$105mo ago
Bought Yes · US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$65mo ago
Bought No · Once Upon a Farm IPO before 2027?$55mo ago
Bought Yes · US strikes Iran by January 30, 2026?$15mo ago
Bought No · SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?$65mo ago