← Whale Watch

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Predicting since Nov 2024889 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $11K on Politics markets since Nov 2024.

Right now: $2.5K across 3 Politics markets.

Biggest hit: +$2.3K on Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?PoliticsYes$86743¢34¢-$177
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?PoliticsYes$54454¢57¢+$31
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?PoliticsNo$93462¢37¢-$387
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?PoliticsYes$45315¢16¢+$12
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?PoliticsNo$91761¢28¢-$490
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsYes$51926¢21¢-$109
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?PoliticsYes$43043¢31¢-$125
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?PoliticsNo$44263¢44¢-$137
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?PoliticsYes$1.0K27¢7.0¢-$754
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?PoliticsNo$20527¢30¢+$19
Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?PoliticsYes$17950¢52¢+$9
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?PoliticsNo$64343¢13¢-$456
Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?PoliticsYes$16646¢41¢-$20
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?PoliticsYes$19639¢26¢-$68
Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$1389.2¢8.5¢-$10
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?PoliticsYes$14882¢65¢-$32
Israel closes its airspace by August 15?PoliticsYes$17234¢20¢-$74
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?PoliticsYes$805.3¢6.5¢+$17
Will July 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?WeatherYes$8181¢93¢+$12
Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?PoliticsYes$6544¢52¢+$12
Israel military action against Greater Beirut by July 31?PoliticsYes$14414¢7.5¢-$69
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?PoliticsYes$94224¢1.5¢-$884
Will there be fewer than 25 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on July 31?PoliticsYes$5521¢21¢+$0
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?PoliticsYes$43043¢5.5¢-$375
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?PoliticsYes$3434¢34¢-$1
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$2518¢20¢+$3
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?PoliticsYes$7530¢6.5¢-$59
Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31?PoliticsYes$2053¢32¢-$8
US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?PoliticsYes$2222¢11¢-$12
Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?PoliticsYes$155.0¢3.5¢-$5
Will Rebels capture Gao by December 31?PoliticsYes$1733¢19¢-$7
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsYes$113¢13¢-$0

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$11K
Finance-$2.6K
Weather-$647
Culture+$143
Tech-$98
Olympics-$88
Other sports-$87
NBA-$46
Other+$38
Crypto-$33
World Cup+$13
NFL-$7
Biggest hit
+$2.3K
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?
Toughest beat
-$2.2K
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?

Recent moves

  • Sold Yes · Will there be Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by July 31, 2026?$771d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will there be Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by July 31, 2026?$6061d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will there be Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by July 31, 2026?$661d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?$01d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will there be Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by July 31, 2026?$2181d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will there be Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by July 31, 2026?$71d ago
  • Sold Yes · Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?$1151d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will there be Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by July 31, 2026?$951d ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by July 31, 2026?$1501d ago
  • Bought No · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?$2402d ago
  • Sold Yes · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?$2622d ago
  • Bought Yes · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?$2702d ago