 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Politics | No | $92 | 92¢ | 92¢ | -$0 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Politics | No | $62 | 95¢ | 96¢ | +$0 |
 Will July 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?Weather | Yes | $54 | 88¢ | 95¢ | +$4 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $57 | 88¢ | 80¢ | -$6 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | No | $52 | 80¢ | 80¢ | -$0 |
 Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $41 | 91¢ | 90¢ | -$0 |
 Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Politics | Yes | $40 | 91¢ | 93¢ | +$1 |
 Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?Politics | No | $39 | 87¢ | 85¢ | -$1 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Politics | No | $36 | 89¢ | 93¢ | +$1 |
| Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?Weather | Yes | $31 | 87¢ | 95¢ | +$2 |
 US recession by end of 2026?Economy | No | $31 | 89¢ | 88¢ | -$0 |
| Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?Weather | Yes | $22 | 32¢ | 46¢ | +$9 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $29 | 81¢ | 85¢ | +$1 |
| Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?Politics | No | $27 | 79¢ | 76¢ | -$1 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $21 | 84¢ | 88¢ | +$1 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31?Politics | No | $20 | 82¢ | 80¢ | -$1 |
 Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?Politics | Yes | $19 | 96¢ | 98¢ | +$0 |
 New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms?Politics | No | $19 | 96¢ | 96¢ | -$0 |
| Will Count Binface win 20–30% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?Politics | Yes | $14 | 15¢ | 20¢ | +$4 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $17 | 84¢ | 87¢ | +$0 |
 Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Formula 1 | Yes | $11 | 55¢ | 75¢ | +$4 |
 Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?Politics | No | $14 | 93¢ | 94¢ | +$0 |
 Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?Economy | No | $14 | 91¢ | 88¢ | -$1 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $12 | 61¢ | 64¢ | +$1 |
| Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in July 2026?Weather | Yes | $13 | 85¢ | 84¢ | -$0 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?Politics | No | $10 | 95¢ | 95¢ | +$0 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?Politics | No | $9 | 94¢ | 95¢ | +$0 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $8 | 85¢ | 89¢ | +$0 |
 Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?Politics | No | $11 | 75¢ | 58¢ | -$3 |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?Politics | No | $9 | 91¢ | 87¢ | -$0 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $8 | 78¢ | 81¢ | +$0 |
| Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026?Politics | No | $8 | 95¢ | 94¢ | -$0 |
 Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?Economy | Yes | $9 | 85¢ | 77¢ | -$1 |
| Will Count Binface win 10–20% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?Politics | Yes | $3 | 20¢ | 50¢ | +$5 |
 Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or more in July?Economy | Yes | $9 | 68¢ | 56¢ | -$2 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026?Economy | No | $10 | 48¢ | 34¢ | -$3 |
 Will Ed Markey be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Massachusetts?Politics | Yes | $6 | 69¢ | 69¢ | -$0 |
 Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by less than 20%?Politics | Yes | $3 | 5.7¢ | 9.7¢ | +$2 |
 Will Thorsten Frei be the next leader of the German Union (CDU/CSU)?Politics | No | $6 | 2.5¢ | 2.4¢ | -$0 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $6 | 57¢ | 56¢ | -$0 |
 Bank of England rate hike in 2026?Economy | Yes | $6 | 39¢ | 36¢ | -$1 |
| Will Count Binface win 30–40% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?Politics | Yes | $11 | 12¢ | 5.5¢ | -$6 |
| Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?Politics | No | $5 | 92¢ | 97¢ | +$0 |
 Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027?Economy | No | $5 | 96¢ | 96¢ | +$0 |
 US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?Politics | No | $5 | 96¢ | 95¢ | -$0 |
 Will USD/JPY hit 120 (Low) in 2026?Finance | No | $4 | 88¢ | 95¢ | +$0 |
| Will Count Binface win at least 40% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?Politics | No | $5 | 93¢ | 95¢ | +$0 |
 Iran Nuke before 2027?Politics | No | $5 | 93¢ | 95¢ | +$0 |
 Will CDU win the second most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?Politics | Yes | $5 | 90¢ | 94¢ | +$0 |
 Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $5 | 93¢ | 93¢ | +$0 |
 Iran full airspace closure by July 31?Politics | No | $3 | 68¢ | 93¢ | +$1 |
 Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $345 end of July?Finance | Yes | $5 | 90¢ | 92¢ | +$0 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $5 | 91¢ | 92¢ | +$0 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the LA-02 House seat?Politics | Yes | $4 | 94¢ | 95¢ | +$0 |
 Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at <$6,000 in December?Finance | No | $4 | 88¢ | 90¢ | +$0 |
 Will annual inflation be 3.3% in July?Economy | Yes | $4 | 32¢ | 36¢ | +$0 |
 Cuban regime falls in 2026?Politics | No | $4 | 87¢ | 86¢ | -$0 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?Politics | Yes | $4 | 81¢ | 85¢ | +$0 |
| Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $4 | 83¢ | 80¢ | -$0 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $4 | 80¢ | 80¢ | -$0 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Politics | No | $4 | 70¢ | 79¢ | +$0 |
| Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by between 20% and 40%?Politics | Yes | $5 | 8.7¢ | 6.9¢ | -$1 |
| Will annual inflation be 3.4% in July?Economy | Yes | $4 | 44¢ | 36¢ | -$1 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?Politics | Yes | $3 | 66¢ | 69¢ | +$0 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?Politics | No | $3 | 69¢ | 68¢ | -$0 |
 Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?Politics | No | $3 | 66¢ | 68¢ | +$0 |
 Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | Yes | $3 | 33¢ | 31¢ | -$0 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?Politics | Yes | $3 | 59¢ | 59¢ | -$0 |
| Will Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?Politics | Yes | $4 | 38¢ | 25¢ | -$1 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Politics | No | $3 | 57¢ | 45¢ | -$1 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $3 | 51¢ | 44¢ | -$0 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $2 | 21¢ | 20¢ | -$0 |
| Will the ECB announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?Economy | Yes | $3 | 31¢ | 18¢ | -$1 |
| Will monthly inflation stay flat (0.0%) in July?Economy | Yes | $1 | 20¢ | 30¢ | +$1 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $1 | 25¢ | 24¢ | -$0 |
 Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Formula 1 | Yes | $1 | 12¢ | 11¢ | -$0 |
| Will Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by December 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by July 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $3 | 64¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Sold No · US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?$31d ago