 Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1520 by December 31?Tech | Yes | $23 | 31¢ | 96¢ | +$47 |
 Will Russia target Kyiv on September 7, 2026?Politics | No | $35 | 56¢ | 95¢ | +$24 |
 US-Saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026?Politics | No | $15 | 25¢ | 90¢ | +$39 |
 Will Polymarket mindshare hit 80% by December 31?Tech | No | $24 | 50¢ | 91¢ | +$20 |
 Will Ronaldo Caiado win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Goiás?Politics | No | $32 | 72¢ | 95¢ | +$10 |
 UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026?Politics | No | $34 | 84¢ | 96¢ | +$5 |
 Will Meta be the #3 AI Lab at the end of October 2026 (Style Control On)?Tech | No | $39 | 70¢ | 69¢ | -$1 |
 Consensys IPO closing market cap above $3B?Crypto | No | $22 | 57¢ | 93¢ | +$14 |
| Will Polymarket mindshare hit 75% by December 31?Tech | No | $14 | 35¢ | 89¢ | +$21 |
 Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by December 31?Politics | No | $16 | 32¢ | 71¢ | +$19 |
 Will Moonshot be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?Tech | No | $18 | 47¢ | 88¢ | +$15 |
 Will Clavicular visit Japan in 2026?Culture | Yes | $11 | 23¢ | 67¢ | +$21 |
 Felix Protocol FDV above $50M one day after launch?Crypto | No | $19 | 57¢ | 93¢ | +$12 |
 Will Grüne be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?Politics | No | $9 | 25¢ | 82¢ | +$20 |
 Cambria FDV above $30M one day after launch?Crypto | Yes | $17 | 47¢ | 77¢ | +$11 |
 Will Kenneth Östberg be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västmanland?Politics | No | $10 | 28¢ | 84¢ | +$19 |
 Will the Alaska 2026 Senate race be within 5%?Politics | Yes | $25 | 63¢ | 68¢ | +$2 |
 Will André do Prado win the second-most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?Politics | No | $26 | 53¢ | 55¢ | +$1 |
 Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31?Politics | No | $21 | 59¢ | 75¢ | +$5 |
 Will Teresa Surita win the most votes in the 2026 Roraima Senate election?Politics | No | $21 | 44¢ | 56¢ | +$6 |
 Will Axel von der Ohe win the next Hannover mayoral election?Politics | No | $21 | 78¢ | 92¢ | +$4 |
 Will Pacifica launch a token by September 30 2026?Crypto | No | $16 | 66¢ | 99¢ | +$8 |
 Will Alibaba have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?Tech | No | $18 | 76¢ | 100¢ | +$6 |
 Will Cadu de Lula win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election?Politics | No | $21 | 68¢ | 76¢ | +$2 |
 Will Databricks' valuation hit (LOW) $185B by September 30?Finance | No | $14 | 48¢ | 81¢ | +$10 |
 Will ISM Services PMI be between 57.0 and 57.9 in September?Economy | Yes | $10 | 20¢ | 47¢ | +$13 |
 Will "Babydoll – Dominic Fike" be the #2 song for 2026?Culture | Yes | $17 | 47¢ | 62¢ | +$6 |
 Sweden Parliamentary Election: S Over/Under 31%?Politics | Under | $17 | 56¢ | 76¢ | +$6 |
 Will Space Exploration Technologies’ market capitalization be between $1.75T and $2.00T at the end of September 2026?Finance | No | $16 | 51¢ | 73¢ | +$7 |
 Will the Republican Party win the MI-04 House seat?Politics | No | $28 | 56¢ | 45¢ | -$6 |
 Will the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season be Edouard?Weather | No | $15 | 66¢ | 95¢ | +$7 |
| Pacifica FDV above $500M one day after launch?Crypto | No | $17 | 75¢ | 95¢ | +$5 |
 Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by September 30?Politics | No | $19 | 87¢ | 96¢ | +$2 |
 Will Mike Thompson win the CA-04 House seat?Politics | No | $25 | 39¢ | 33¢ | -$4 |
 Will Toy Story 5 win Best Animated Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?Culture | No | $19 | 59¢ | 64¢ | +$2 |
 Outstanding lead actress in a limited or anthology series or movie?Culture | No | $18 | 57¢ | 64¢ | +$2 |
 Will Plasma reach $1.80 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $12 | 59¢ | 96¢ | +$8 |
 Sweden Parliamentary Election: Liberals Win Seats?Politics | Yes | $6 | 28¢ | 100¢ | +$14 |
 Anthony Fauci charged by December 31?Politics | Yes | $23 | 49¢ | 43¢ | -$3 |
 Will Extended launch a token by September 30 2026?Crypto | No | $13 | 66¢ | 99¢ | +$7 |
 Will Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?Politics | No | $20 | 78¢ | 78¢ | -$0 |
 Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?Politics | No | $5 | 18¢ | 73¢ | +$15 |
 Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by December 31?Politics | No | $13 | 56¢ | 85¢ | +$7 |
 Will Fabien Roussel be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | Yes | $10 | 43¢ | 85¢ | +$10 |
 Will Max Miller drop out of the OH-07 race by September 30?Politics | No | $6 | 33¢ | 99¢ | +$13 |
 Dreamcash FDV above $50M one day after launch?Crypto | No | $8 | 35¢ | 81¢ | +$11 |
 What will be the next Fed rate change?Economy | Hike | $11 | 57¢ | 94¢ | +$7 |
 Will Tomáš Portlík be the next Mayor of Prague?Politics | Yes | $20 | 46¢ | 44¢ | -$1 |
 Will Dr. Daniel Santos win the Governor of Pará election?Politics | No | $17 | 61¢ | 66¢ | +$1 |
 Will Linke win 35-39 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Politics | No | $18 | 71¢ | 75¢ | +$1 |
 Will Sandra Hüller win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?Culture | No | $13 | 66¢ | 92¢ | +$5 |
 Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027?Tech | No | $6 | 27¢ | 87¢ | +$13 |
 OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?Tech | Yes | $15 | 61¢ | 74¢ | +$3 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Politics | No | $14 | 68¢ | 92¢ | +$5 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat?Politics | Yes | $12 | 49¢ | 76¢ | +$6 |
 No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the September 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $7 | 36¢ | 96¢ | +$11 |
| Will Sarah Snook – “All Her Fault” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actress in a limited or anthology series or movie?Culture | No | $15 | 71¢ | 86¢ | +$3 |
 Will Lambda's valuation hit (LOW) $10.75B by September 30?Finance | Yes | $14 | 42¢ | 55¢ | +$4 |
 Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15?Politics | No | $13 | 63¢ | 89¢ | +$5 |
 USMCA extended in 2026?Politics | No | $12 | 58¢ | 89¢ | +$6 |
 Will Slaven Kovačević be the Croat Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election?Politics | No | $13 | 57¢ | 76¢ | +$4 |
 Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in September?Politics | Yes | $17 | 45¢ | 47¢ | +$1 |
 Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $7 | 36¢ | 91¢ | +$10 |
 Will Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil?Politics | Yes | $13 | 57¢ | 75¢ | +$4 |
 Multipli.fi FDV above $200M one day after launch?Crypto | No | $17 | 45¢ | 46¢ | +$0 |
 Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2026?Crypto | Yes | $18 | 52¢ | 49¢ | -$1 |
| Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?Crypto | Yes | $20 | 78¢ | 65¢ | -$3 |
 Will Baidu be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?Politics | No | $12 | 71¢ | 99¢ | +$5 |
 Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?Tech | No | $13 | 52¢ | 67¢ | +$4 |
 Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $925B by September 30?Tech | No | $8 | 30¢ | 66¢ | +$9 |
 Will Iran target Qatar by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $10 | 51¢ | 88¢ | +$7 |
 Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be between $0.50 and $0.55 on September 30, 2026?Tech | No | $8 | 47¢ | 92¢ | +$8 |
 Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2027?Crypto | No | $13 | 48¢ | 59¢ | +$3 |
 Will over 50 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?Politics | Yes | $10 | 38¢ | 60¢ | +$6 |
 Will Anduril's valuation hit (LOW) $92.5B by September 30?Finance | Yes | $46 | 40¢ | 14¢ | -$29 |
 Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Amapá?Politics | No | $13 | 38¢ | 48¢ | +$3 |
 Will 190-209 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 7-September 13?Politics | No | $5 | 25¢ | 78¢ | +$11 |
 Will Daniel Vilela win the Governor of Goiás election?Politics | Yes | $9 | 57¢ | 96¢ | +$6 |
 Will Pluralis launch a token by March 31, 2027?Crypto | No | $17 | 63¢ | 58¢ | -$1 |
 Mega Charizard Y ex Price Over/Under $405.34 on September 30?Culture | Under | $14 | 82¢ | 91¢ | +$2 |
 Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.4% and 0.7%?Economy | No | $7 | 40¢ | 87¢ | +$8 |
 Will Delegado André David win the most votes in the 2026 Sergipe Senate election?Politics | Yes | $23 | 57¢ | 37¢ | -$8 |
 Decibel FDV above $50M one day after launch?Crypto | No | $13 | 54¢ | 63¢ | +$2 |
 Canva IPO before 2027?Tech | No | $10 | 68¢ | 99¢ | +$5 |
| Crypto Market Structure legislation becomes law in 2026?Politics | Yes | $9 | 22¢ | 37¢ | +$6 |
 Brie Larson as Captain Marvel?Culture | Yes | $11 | 37¢ | 52¢ | +$4 |
 Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of October 2026?Tech | No | $6 | 29¢ | 79¢ | +$9 |
| Cambria FDV above $40M one day after launch?Crypto | No | $13 | 47¢ | 54¢ | +$2 |
 Will Cilliers Brink be the next mayor of Tshwane?Politics | No | $17 | 45¢ | 38¢ | -$3 |
 Will Lana Del Rey release an album in 2026?Culture | Yes | $12 | 53¢ | 65¢ | +$3 |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Tocantins?Politics | Yes | $3 | 12¢ | 68¢ | +$12 |
 Will $LAPTOP dip to $0.10 by September 30, 2026?Crypto | Yes | $9 | 41¢ | 62¢ | +$5 |
 Will Nansen launch a token by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $6 | 42¢ | 94¢ | +$8 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the NY-11 House seat?Politics | No | $7 | 49¢ | 94¢ | +$7 |
 Will SPD win 22-25 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Politics | No | $3 | 20¢ | 88¢ | +$11 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the FL-25 House seat?Politics | Yes | $15 | 74¢ | 70¢ | -$1 |
 Will the South African Reserve Bank make no change to the repo rate after the September meeting?Economy | No | $13 | 62¢ | 67¢ | +$1 |
 Concrete FDV above $50M one day after launch?Crypto | Yes | $9 | 63¢ | 96¢ | +$5 |
| Will Herculano Armando Bequinsa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?Politics | No | $12 | 86¢ | 99¢ | +$2 |
| Will Moonshot be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?Tech | No | $8 | 57¢ | 99¢ | +$6 |
Bought Yes · Will Iran target Iraq by September 15, 2026?$51h ago
Sold No · Will Katharina Pötter win the next Osnabrück mayoral election?$21h ago
Bought Yes · Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.21% in September?$23h ago
Sold No · Will Onyeka Oshionwu win the next Göttingen mayoral election?$33h ago
Bought Yes · Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?$54h ago
Sold Yes · Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 40 and 45 million views in week 1?$54h ago
Bought No · Will Trump praise Javier Milei in September?$34h ago