 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Politics | No | $100 | 93¢ | 99¢ | +$6 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Politics | Yes | $80 | 20¢ | 24¢ | +$14 |
 Costco increases hotdog price before 2027?Economy | No | $50 | 94¢ | 92¢ | -$1 |
 Metamask FDV above $4B one day after launch?Crypto | Yes | $10 | 2.0¢ | 6.5¢ | +$23 |
 Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?Tech | Yes | $40 | 13¢ | 1.2¢ | -$36 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?Tech | Yes | $50 | 21¢ | 0.7¢ | -$48 |
 Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $5 | 0.6¢ | 0.1¢ | -$4 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day?Tech | Yes | $59 | 20¢ | 0.4¢ | -$58 |
 Will John Ratcliffe be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Jimmy Kimmel apologize by Friday?Culture | YesResolved | $6 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?Crypto | YesResolved | $10 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will the U.S. invade Afghanistan in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 4.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will Taylor Swift be the #2 searched person on Google this year?Tech | YesResolved | $5 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Israel strikes Iran by October 3?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will BigFuture School be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 31?Tech | YesResolved | $2 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from October 3 to October 10, 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 US strikes Afghanistan by October 31?Politics | YesResolved | $55 | 1.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$55 |
| Israel strikes Iran by October 31?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
 Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85% by June 30?Tech | YesResolved | $37 | 32¢ | 0.0¢ | -$37 |
 Will the highest temperature in New York City be 73°F or below on October 6?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Iran Nuke in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $6 | 3.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
 Will Mohammed bin Salman wear a suit and tie by Thursday?Politics | YesResolved | $24 | 3.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$24 |
 Will Israel strike Yemen 5 or more times by October 31?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Trump vetoes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 3.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
| Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 3 to October 10, 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $6 | 1.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
| Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 3 to October 10, 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by March 31?Politics | YesResolved | $40 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$40 |
 Will SBF appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?Crypto | YesResolved | $20 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
 Will the Government shutdown end October 1-2?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Ethereum hit $8,000 by December 31?Crypto | YesResolved | $17 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$17 |
 Will Donald Trump be the next leader out in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $21 | 2.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$21 |
 Will CZ return to Binance by December 31?Crypto | YesResolved | $36 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$36 |
 Will Trump’s approval rating be <42.5% on October 3?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Next BLS jobs report by Oct 3, 2025, 8:30 AM ET?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will Donald Trump be the first leader out in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Cashed out No · Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by June 30?$3042mo ago
Cashed out No · Will Trump say "Gay" in June?$102mo ago
Cashed out No · Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$4003mo ago