ProbablyNotBarronTrump

Predicting since Jan 202635 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? Culture	Yes	$2	8.0¢	5.5¢	-$1
US government shutdown Saturday?Politics	NoResolved	$1	26¢	0.0¢	-$1
US forces enter Iran by January 31?Politics	YesResolved	$1	10.0¢	0.0¢	-$1
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?Politics	YesResolved	$2	19¢	0.0¢	-$2
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$2	42¢	0.0¢	-$2
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 11, 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$1	35¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will "Melania" score at least 20 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Culture	YesResolved	$1	80¢	0.0¢	-$1
Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 31?Politics	NoResolved	$2	37¢	0.0¢	-$2
Will 5 judges rule in favor of Trump's Tarriffs?Politics	YesResolved	$1	20¢	0.0¢	-$1
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$1	42¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will the January 2026 FOMC decision result in a 25bp cut with <2 dissents?Politics	YesResolved	$2	4.8¢	0.0¢	-$2
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?Economy	NoResolved	$1	5.0¢	0.0¢	-$1
US forces enter Iran by March 31?Politics	YesResolved	$2	10.0¢	0.0¢	-$2
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Politics	YesResolved	$2	29¢	0.0¢	-$2
Will Lockheed Martin (LMT) beat quarterly earnings?Finance	YesResolved	$2	40¢	0.0¢	-$2
US strikes Iran by March 4, 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$2	68¢	0.0¢	-$2
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-15?Premier League	YesResolved	$1	87¢	0.0¢	-$1
Netanyahu out by March 31?Politics	YesResolved	$3	5.6¢	0.0¢	-$3
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Politics	NoResolved	$2	4.7¢	0.0¢	-$2
Will one person dissent the January Fed decision?Politics	YesResolved	$1	54¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will the US strike Somalia next?Politics	NoResolved	$1	31¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2026 Texas Senate Democratic Primary and General Elections?Politics	YesResolved	$3	5.6¢	0.0¢	-$3
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?NBA	YesResolved	$1	5.2¢	0.0¢	-$1

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$34

NHL+$4

Finance-$2

Culture-$1

Premier League-$1

NBA-$1

Economy-$0

Biggest hit

+$4

Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

Toughest beat

-$2

Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?

Recent moves

Cashed out Yes · Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$111mo ago
Bought Yes · Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$71mo ago
Cashed out No · Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?$12mo ago
Cashed out No · Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?$22mo ago
Bought No · Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?$13mo ago
Bought No · Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?$13mo ago
Bought No · Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?$13mo ago
Bought Yes · Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?$23mo ago
Bought Yes · US forces enter Iran by March 31?$24mo ago
Sold Yes · US strike on Cuba by December 31?$14mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-15?$14mo ago
Bought Yes · Netanyahu out by March 31?$34mo ago