← Whale Watch

doubleone2

Predicting since Dec 2025648 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $4.9K on Culture markets since Dec 2025.

Right now: $3.5K riding on Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?.

Biggest hit: +$3.1K on Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsNo$3.5K74¢81¢+$323
Gemini 4.0 released by July 31, 2026?TechNo$2.0K96¢99¢+$79
Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?TechNo$1.3K70¢84¢+$255
Will a European country take military action on Iran by July 31?PoliticsNo$1.2K94¢97¢+$47
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?PoliticsYes$97982¢86¢+$47
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$59885¢91¢+$36
Iran leadership change by July 31?PoliticsNo$58993¢99¢+$34
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026?TechNo$60386¢88¢+$15
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?PoliticsNo$53489¢92¢+$15
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31?PoliticsNo$39967¢87¢+$119
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$43286¢99¢+$66
Greater Tunb Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?PoliticsNo$40577¢94¢+$90
Cuban regime falls in 2026?PoliticsNo$48781¢82¢+$5
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?PoliticsYes$33658¢75¢+$98
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?PoliticsYes$29048¢69¢+$130
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by July 31? PoliticsNo$39499¢99¢+$4
Iran invades Kuwait by July 31?PoliticsNo$39298¢99¢+$4
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?PoliticsYes$20370¢100¢+$85
Iran Nuke before 2027?PoliticsNo$27090¢95¢+$14
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?PoliticsNo$22374¢93¢+$56
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?PoliticsYes$42229¢16¢-$197
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?TechNo$17187¢90¢+$5
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?PoliticsNo$11782¢98¢+$24
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by July 31?PoliticsNo$8170¢100¢+$34
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?PoliticsYes$12430¢25¢-$22
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?PoliticsYes$7147¢57¢+$16
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?PoliticsNo$8582¢82¢+$0
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?PoliticsYes$8919¢12¢-$35
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 30?PoliticsNo$9531¢11¢-$63
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?PoliticsYes$1613¢27¢+$16
Will no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?TechNo$4646¢20¢-$26
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?PoliticsYes$8414¢1.8¢-$73
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?PoliticsYes$42228¢0.7¢-$412
Will a European country take military action on Iran by August 31?PoliticsNo$787¢94¢+$1
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?PoliticsYes$2635¢6.5¢-$21
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$30624¢0.3¢-$303
Will Houthis successfully target shipping on July 26, 2026?PoliticsNo$362¢74¢+$1
Will Tesla open orders for the Robovan before 2027?TechNo$174¢92¢+$0

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Culture-$4.9K
Tech+$4.7K
Other+$973
Politics-$511
Weather+$373
Crypto+$202
Mentions+$177
eSports+$64
UFC / MMA+$34
Boxing-$5
Other sports+$2
Biggest hit
+$3.1K
Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?
Toughest beat
-$6.2K
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?

Recent moves

  • Sold Yes · Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?$122h ago
  • Sold Yes · US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?$862h ago
  • Sold Yes · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?$4012h ago
  • Sold Yes · US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15?$1872h ago
  • Sold Yes · US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?$132h ago
  • Bought Yes · US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?$123h ago
  • Bought No · Will Houthis successfully target shipping on July 26, 2026?$33h ago
  • Bought No · Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?$853h ago
  • Bought No · Will a European country take military action on Iran by July 31?$1114h ago
  • Sold Yes · US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?$305h ago
  • Sold Yes · Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?$275h ago
  • Sold Yes · Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?$135h ago