← Whale Watch
0xf663552D2AD4dCA80CD02b3a6E369A8916Bdde7d-1738619856562
Down $4.7K on Politics markets since Feb 2025.
Right now: $25K riding on US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by...? (2 week pause).
Biggest hit: +$4.4K on Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?.
All-time PnL
+$0This year
+$0Last 30 days
+$0Portfolio value
$0Deep stats
Bucko OracleLoading…
Profit over time
What they are betting now
| Market | Side | Stake | Entry | Now | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?Politics | No | $25K | 72¢ | 49¢ | -$8.0K |
| 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?Politics | No | $4.2K | 94¢ | 93¢ | -$38 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?Politics | No | $2.7K | 82¢ | 93¢ | +$342 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?Politics | No | $1.6K | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$91 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Politics | No | $777 | 77¢ | 86¢ | +$86 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 30?Politics | No | $65 | 11¢ | 7.5¢ | -$21 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 29?Politics | No | $47 | 7.0¢ | 5.5¢ | -$10 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 28?Politics | No | $26 | 4.6¢ | 3.5¢ | -$6 |
 Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 20?Politics | NoResolved | $1.8K | 63¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.8K |
Where the money comes from
Realized + open PnL by category
Politics-$4.7K
World Cup+$576
Finance+$85
Crypto-$12
Biggest hit
+$4.4K
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?
Toughest beat
-$184
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?
Recent moves
- Bought No · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$381h ago
- Bought No · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$1461h ago
- Bought No · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$2992h ago
- Bought No · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$522h ago
- Sold Yes · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$3412h ago
- Bought Yes · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$3152h ago
- Bought Yes · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$562h ago
- Bought No · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$2842h ago
- Bought No · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$152h ago
- Bought No · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$4973h ago
- Bought No · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$4973h ago
- Bought No · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$153h ago