← Belugo Whale Watch

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
$39.0M volumeYes 3.6¢No 96¢
Sharp lean: 1% Yes99% No
Share of money held by tracked sharps (top 1,000 Polymarket accounts) among this market's top holders.
Top Yes holders
3.6¢- 1comon119$47K
- 20x396f9914e99B2D35b7cC1A5Fb41b05d7062aF2a8-1775607429220$22K
- 30xB886580698eDE4b18DE3E446b2D8Da8bCEdd81B3-1767532547794$21K
- 4epicsundayfunk$17K
- 5caspersmc$11K
- 6lol9009$6.5K
- 7muxuebingcheng311$6.0K
- 8expectless$4.1K
- 9vk7$3.0K
- 10
TwoEyesSharp$2.5K - 11Crypto4thewin$2.2K
- 12NassimTaleb$2.2K
- 13charliealmanack$1.8K
- 14bowenbai$1.6K
- 15binaryOpt$1.4K
- 16
ArmageddonRewardsBilly$1.3K - 17Rufr$1.2K
- 18octagonpizzalover$1.1K
- 19BTC7777777$1.1K
- 20GuavaGuy$1.1K
Top 20 per side (Polymarket API limit). Values at the current price.
Top No holders
96¢- 1
winforretire$380K - 2llh$379K
- 30xB9d89bef8c935082F6a86355bD9667402D92275A-1751857844680$376K
- 40xC97b0b2A2547bB3eD57167092EF8a6e816C347E5-1770003388001$314K
- 590u88$231K
- 6momom$208K
- 7
AnjunSharp$187K - 8
allenzzz$185K - 9faafd$115K
- 10sheen07$115K
- 11
0xrc$112K - 12onekey02$109K
- 130x8B4bcA1D794779E66e023D44391B2A86C5ab541B-1769764313952$108K
- 140x4A414DB40E9e3FF8515540D84600c2Df49e5f4c4-1780756760891$102K
- 150x7d5d…91d8$82K
- 16
videlake$75K - 170xD8E024F24d0b375E96cEE50E11D6D6D85328C1a7-1766811713744$67K
- 18po18503$65K
- 19kllkdfs$60K
- 20ElectricSamurai$59K
Top 20 per side (Polymarket API limit). Values at the current price.
Recent big trades here
- $1,840 on No @ 96¢FranklinArma318h ago
- $3,217 out of No @ 96¢
realxijinping1d ago - $1,655 out of No @ 96¢
realxijinping1d ago - $1,923 out of No @ 96¢
OneIsAll.2d ago - $1,478 on No @ 96¢ElectricSamurai2d ago
- $5,203 on No @ 96¢ElectricSamurai2d ago
- $1,118 on No @ 96¢ElectricSamurai2d ago
- $2,296 on No @ 96¢ElectricSamurai2d ago
- $2,239 out of No @ 96¢black4jin3d ago
- $1,262 out of No @ 96¢sikyaku3d ago
- $3,248 out of No @ 96¢
DingXianSiTai3d ago - $2,791 on No @ 96¢SILF3d ago
- $1,391 on No @ 96¢SILF3d ago
- $16,145 on No @ 96¢ElectricSamurai3d ago
- $3,000 on No @ 96¢fengwuxiang4d ago
- $6,713 on No @ 96¢oijfoijwoiroiwoirui24d ago
- $1,485 out of No @ 96¢-0-4d ago
- $1,437 out of No @ 96¢shecan4d ago
- $6,912 out of No @ 96¢0x4A414DB40E9e3FF8515540D84600c2Df49e5f4c4-17807567608914d ago
- $2,138 on No @ 96¢572849104d ago