← Belugo Whale Watch
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
$43.3M volumeYes 2.5¢No 98¢
Sharp lean: 0% Yes100% No
Share of money held by tracked sharps (top 1,000 Polymarket accounts) among this market's top holders.
Top Yes holders
2.5¢- 1comon119$30K
- 20x396f9914e99B2D35b7cC1A5Fb41b05d7062aF2a8-1775607429220$15K
- 30xB886580698eDE4b18DE3E446b2D8Da8bCEdd81B3-1767532547794$14K
- 4epicsundayfunk$11K
- 50xf3e9…ec41$8.6K
- 6caspersmc$7.2K
- 7lol9009$4.4K
- 8muxuebingcheng311$3.3K
- 9dante89$3.0K
- 10Fazebear$2.9K
- 11expectless$2.7K
- 12Wintaiwanwinai$2.6K
- 13vk7$2.0K
- 14
TwoEyes$1.7K - 15Crypto4thewin$1.5K
- 16NassimTaleb$1.5K
- 170x2695d6829221d37a672CA0d96CE2356dD1193720-1790120044408$1.4K
- 18charliealmanack$1.2K
- 19bowenbai$1.1K
- 20binaryOpt$941
Top 20 per side (Polymarket API limit). Values at the current price.
Top No holders
98¢- 1Avamax$533K
- 2
AnjunSharp$467K - 3
winforretire$391K - 40xB9d89bef8c935082F6a86355bD9667402D92275A-1751857844680$381K
- 5llh$311K
- 6randomgo$257K
- 70x8B4bcA1D794779E66e023D44391B2A86C5ab541B-1769764313952$211K
- 8momom$211K
- 9
allenzzz$191K - 10sheen07$132K
- 11onekey02$110K
- 12Top1-J$92K
- 130x7d5d…91d8$83K
- 14chriszyy3$82K
- 15
0xrc$81K - 160xD8E024F24d0b375E96cEE50E11D6D6D85328C1a7-1766811713744$77K
- 17po18503$66K
- 18someone2026$59K
- 19freeman123$57K
- 200x206D20D1c29Ff747cbda51B5D6005a5d05738fB6-1760769355802$56K
Top 20 per side (Polymarket API limit). Values at the current price.
Recent big trades here
- $1,957 on No @ 98¢
DEGENKHAN1h ago - $3,150 on No @ 98¢fhgf76rtruhgkhj5h ago
- $1,355 on No @ 98¢SILVERboy8h ago
- $15,440 on No @ 97¢sheen0710h ago
- $10,598 on No @ 97¢
qmarktea210h ago - $9,526 on No @ 97¢qmarktea210h ago
- $6,124 on No @ 97¢0xa642D3BFb88333933Ae697395c5251F37877B419-177803581231415h ago
- $1,748 on No @ 97¢momo51319h ago
- $1,700 on No @ 97¢lowbow22h ago
- $1,150 on No @ 97¢AVTOmbw22h ago
- $2,000 on No @ 97¢Jjw1d ago
- $1,155 on No @ 97¢xvcxrt65e1d ago
- $11,112 on No @ 97¢freeman1231d ago
- $3,721 on No @ 97¢qmarktea21d ago
- $3,233 out of No @ 97¢Servantetech2d ago
- $4,845 on No @ 97¢
budu1002d ago - $1,350 on No @ 97¢SILVERboy2d ago
- $2,000 on Yes @ 3.5¢0x2695d6829221d37a672CA0d96CE2356dD1193720-17901200444082d ago
- $6,058 on No @ 97¢qmarktea22d ago
- $2,465 out of No @ 96¢frol3d ago