← Belugo Whale Watch

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
$43.5M volumeYes 2.4¢No 98¢
Sharp lean: 0% Yes100% No
Share of money held by tracked sharps (top 1,000 Polymarket accounts) among this market's top holders.
Top Yes holders
2.4¢- 1comon119$29K
- 20x396f9914e99B2D35b7cC1A5Fb41b05d7062aF2a8-1775607429220$15K
- 30xB886580698eDE4b18DE3E446b2D8Da8bCEdd81B3-1767532547794$14K
- 4epicsundayfunk$11K
- 50xf3e9…ec41$8.3K
- 6caspersmc$6.9K
- 7lol9009$4.2K
- 8dante89$2.9K
- 9Fazebear$2.8K
- 10expectless$2.6K
- 11Wintaiwanwinai$2.5K
- 12vk7$1.9K
- 13
TwoEyes$1.6K - 14
wugeyi$1.6K - 15Crypto4thewin$1.4K
- 16NassimTaleb$1.4K
- 170x2695d6829221d37a672CA0d96CE2356dD1193720-1790120044408$1.4K
- 18charliealmanack$1.2K
- 19bowenbai$1.1K
- 20binaryOpt$902
Top 20 per side (Polymarket API limit). Values at the current price.
Top No holders
98¢- 1Avamax$533K
- 2
AnjunSharp$435K - 3
winforretire$392K - 40xB9d89bef8c935082F6a86355bD9667402D92275A-1751857844680$381K
- 5llh$311K
- 6randomgo$242K
- 70x8B4bcA1D794779E66e023D44391B2A86C5ab541B-1769764313952$212K
- 8momom$211K
- 9
allenzzz$191K - 10sheen07$132K
- 11onekey02$110K
- 12Top1-J$92K
- 130x7d5d…91d8$83K
- 14chriszyy3$82K
- 15
0xrc$82K - 160xD8E024F24d0b375E96cEE50E11D6D6D85328C1a7-1766811713744$77K
- 17po18503$66K
- 18someone2026$59K
- 19freeman123$57K
- 200x206D20D1c29Ff747cbda51B5D6005a5d05738fB6-1760769355802$56K
Top 20 per side (Polymarket API limit). Values at the current price.
Recent big trades here
- $1,847 on No @ 98¢dushen33016m ago
- $1,300 on No @ 98¢adrtyyy71h ago
- $4,732 out of No @ 98¢FranklinArma32h ago
- $1,077 on No @ 98¢
ponczyk5h ago - $12,132 out of No @ 98¢Cyberpunk955h ago
- $1,028 out of Yes @ 2.1¢muxuebingcheng31110h ago
- $14,653 out of No @ 98¢randomgo11h ago
- $1,373 out of No @ 98¢0x4914…eaec17h ago
- $1,374 on No @ 98¢0x4914…eaec17h ago
- $1,401 out of No @ 98¢0x4914…eaec17h ago
- $1,402 on No @ 98¢0x4914…eaec17h ago
- $1,433 out of No @ 98¢0x4a22…555118h ago
- $1,435 on No @ 98¢0x4a22…555118h ago
- $1,464 out of No @ 98¢0x4a22…555118h ago
- $1,465 on No @ 98¢0x4a22…555118h ago
- $1,494 out of No @ 98¢0x4a22…555118h ago
- $1,496 on No @ 98¢0x4a22…555118h ago
- $1,527 out of No @ 98¢0x4a22…555118h ago
- $1,529 on No @ 98¢0x4a22…555118h ago
- $1,559 out of No @ 98¢0x4a22…555118h ago