← Whale Watch

OnlyNickel

Predicting since Jan 2026166 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗
All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$7525¢92¢+$200
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31PoliticsYes$18337¢32¢-$29
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?FinanceYes$1128.8¢9.5¢+$9
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?PoliticsNo$8833¢44¢+$29
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$6030¢51¢+$41
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?PoliticsYes$7525¢31¢+$17
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?PoliticsYes$5025¢28¢+$6
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$5511¢9.5¢-$7
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$464.6¢3.3¢-$14
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$2231¢45¢+$9
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in July?FinanceNo$6020¢9.0¢-$33
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?PoliticsYes$6020¢6.5¢-$41
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$606.0¢1.3¢-$48
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$85.1¢8.2¢+$5
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?PoliticsYes$177.7¢3.6¢-$9
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$81.6¢1.6¢-$0
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$43.9¢5.1¢+$1
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?PoliticsYes$418¢19¢+$0
Will Jorge Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?PoliticsYes$40.9¢0.7¢-$1
Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?PoliticsYes$51.5¢0.4¢-$4
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?PoliticsYes$312¢4.3¢-$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 2:55PM-3:00PM ETCryptoUpResolved$355¢0.0¢-$3
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 1, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$311¢0.0¢-$3
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June?FinanceNoResolved$5020¢0.0¢-$50
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$311¢0.0¢-$3
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 2, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$38.0¢0.0¢-$3
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,400 by end of June?FinanceNoResolved$4716¢0.0¢-$47
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 10, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$37.0¢0.0¢-$3
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 8:40AM-8:45AM ETCryptoDownResolved$219¢0.0¢-$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 2:25PM-2:30PM ETCryptoUpResolved$538¢0.0¢-$5
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$1631¢0.0¢-$16
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?PoliticsYesResolved$120.4¢0.0¢-$12
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Argentina?World CupYesResolved$108.0¢0.0¢-$10
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$12.0¢0.0¢-$1
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?PoliticsYesResolved$283.3¢0.0¢-$28
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 2?FinanceUpResolved$217¢0.0¢-$2
Iran strike on Qatar by February 28, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$428¢0.0¢-$4
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$391.5¢0.0¢-$39
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?PoliticsYesResolved$309.3¢0.0¢-$30
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 9, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$47.0¢0.0¢-$4
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$20.2¢0.0¢-$2
Will Trump dance today?PoliticsNoResolved$130.2¢0.0¢-$13
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 1 Argentina?World CupYesResolved$109.0¢0.0¢-$10
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?PoliticsNoResolved$162.0¢0.0¢-$16
Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 16 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$21.9¢0.0¢-$2
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?PoliticsYesResolved$1711¢0.0¢-$17
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?PoliticsNoResolved$510¢0.0¢-$5
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?FinanceYesResolved$230¢0.0¢-$2
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 5, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$12.1¢0.0¢-$1
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June?FinanceYesResolved$694.8¢0.0¢-$69
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?World CupYesResolved$1020¢0.0¢-$10
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$63.4¢0.0¢-$6
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$60.6¢0.0¢-$6
Will Trump announce new sanctions on China?PoliticsYesResolved$74.0¢0.0¢-$7
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 2:20PM-2:25PM ETCryptoDownResolved$540¢0.0¢-$5
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$26.0¢0.0¢-$2
Will Bath & Body Works (BBWI) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceNoResolved$66.0¢0.0¢-$6
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 3:50PM-3:55PM ETCryptoUpResolved$156¢0.0¢-$1
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of June?FinanceYesResolved$873.0¢0.0¢-$87
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in July?FinanceNoResolved$3216¢0.0¢-$32
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$22.8¢0.0¢-$2
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,900 by end of June?FinanceYesResolved$502.8¢0.0¢-$50
US forces enter Iran by March 14?PoliticsYesResolved$114¢0.0¢-$1
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Xi Jinping by May 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$32.0¢0.0¢-$3
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?TechNoResolved$1919¢0.0¢-$19
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase February 24-March 2?CryptoNoResolved$56.3¢0.0¢-$5
Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?PoliticsNoResolved$1010¢0.0¢-$10
Will GitLab (GTLB) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceNoResolved$216¢0.0¢-$2
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$105.2¢0.0¢-$10
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $390 on March 4?FinanceNoResolved$418¢0.0¢-$4
Will Khamenei tweet again on March 13, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$317¢0.0¢-$3
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,800 by end of June?FinanceYesResolved$1935.7¢0.0¢-$193
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $200 on March 4?FinanceNoResolved$612¢0.0¢-$6
Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$10.2¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 5:00PM-5:05PM ETCryptoUpResolved$253¢0.0¢-$2

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Finance+$826
Politics+$619
World Cup+$94
Tech-$27
La Liga+$16
Crypto-$2
Biggest hit
+$473
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?
Toughest beat
-$60
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at >$84 in June?

Recent moves

  • Bought No · Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in July?$584h ago
  • Bought No · Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in July?$04h ago
  • Bought No · Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in July?$24h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31$4716h ago
  • Bought No · Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?$1919h ago
  • Bought No · Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?$2819h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$241d ago
  • Bought Yes · US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?$222d ago
  • Bought No · Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in July?$22d ago
  • Bought No · Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in July?$302d ago
  • Sold Yes · Iran full airspace closure by July 31?$1183d ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1506d ago