 Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Tech | No | $15 | 26¢ | 92¢ | +$38 |
 New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms?Politics | No | $20 | 41¢ | 96¢ | +$27 |
 Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | Yes | $11 | 10.0¢ | 38¢ | +$31 |
 Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $30 | 44¢ | 51¢ | +$5 |
 Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $15 | 49¢ | 93¢ | +$13 |
 Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on September 1?Weather | NoResolved | $20 | 72¢ | 100¢ | +$8 |
 Will the Republican Party win the LA-06 House seat?Politics | Yes | $4 | 12¢ | 93¢ | +$24 |
 Vance announces he won't run for President in 2028 this year?Politics | No | $25 | 87¢ | 93¢ | +$2 |
 Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on August 30?Weather | NoResolved | $20 | 75¢ | 100¢ | +$7 |
 Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 950m and 960m by September 30?Culture | Yes | $10 | 26¢ | 69¢ | +$16 |
 Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on September 4?Weather | NoResolved | $20 | 85¢ | 100¢ | +$4 |
 Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on September 9?Weather | NoResolved | $20 | 85¢ | 100¢ | +$4 |
 Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Politics | No | $20 | 43¢ | 50¢ | +$3 |
 Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on September 3?Weather | NoResolved | $20 | 88¢ | 100¢ | +$3 |
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $19 | 21¢ | 24¢ | +$3 |
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Tech | Yes | $15 | 7.0¢ | 9.5¢ | +$5 |
 Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?Politics | No | $21 | 86¢ | 85¢ | -$0 |
 Will South Carolina use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?Politics | No | $8 | 41¢ | 100¢ | +$12 |
 Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech | No | $15 | 71¢ | 92¢ | +$4 |
 Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | Yes | $10 | 16¢ | 31¢ | +$9 |
 Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?Economy | Yes | $10 | 40¢ | 76¢ | +$9 |
 Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?Culture | Yes | $10 | 42¢ | 77¢ | +$8 |
| Will OpenAI have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of October 2026?Tech | Yes | $15 | 54¢ | 65¢ | +$3 |
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on September 2?Weather | YesResolved | $14 | 78¢ | 100¢ | +$4 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $15 | 64¢ | 75¢ | +$2 |
 Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $15 | 76¢ | 86¢ | +$2 |
 Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?Politics | Yes | $10 | 39¢ | 64¢ | +$6 |
 Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election?Politics | No | $10 | 33¢ | 54¢ | +$6 |
| Will OpenAI be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $14 | 80¢ | 94¢ | +$2 |
 Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?Politics | No | $10 | 48¢ | 77¢ | +$6 |
 Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?Politics | Yes | $15 | 25¢ | 25¢ | +$0 |
 Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 11, 2026?Politics | No | $10 | 64¢ | 97¢ | +$5 |
 Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1480?Tech | Yes | $15 | 63¢ | 63¢ | -$0 |
 Will Marine Tondelier be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | No | $10 | 67¢ | 99¢ | +$5 |
 Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $800B and $900B on August 31?Economy | YesResolved | $10 | 68¢ | 100¢ | +$5 |
 Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | Yes | $10 | 38¢ | 55¢ | +$4 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Politics | Yes | $15 | 61¢ | 57¢ | -$1 |
 Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on September 5?Weather | NoResolved | $7 | 47¢ | 100¢ | +$7 |
| Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be less than 940m by September 30?Culture | No | $10 | 71¢ | 100¢ | +$4 |
 Will "Wildchild" - Alex Warren first week album sales be between 70k and 90k?Culture | YesResolved | $10 | 72¢ | 100¢ | +$4 |
 Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?Politics | Yes | $10 | 71¢ | 90¢ | +$3 |
 Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?Politics | Yes | $15 | 84¢ | 70¢ | -$3 |
 Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Politics | No | $10 | 53¢ | 66¢ | +$2 |
 Will Katharina Pötter win the next Osnabrück mayoral election?Politics | Yes | $10 | 58¢ | 75¢ | +$3 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Politics | No | $10 | 78¢ | 94¢ | +$2 |
 Will Anton Danko win the 2026 Poprad mayoral election?Politics | Yes | $10 | 59¢ | 70¢ | +$2 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the LA-02 House seat?Politics | Yes | $10 | 83¢ | 99¢ | +$2 |
 Will Ivanka Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?Politics | No | $10 | 83¢ | 97¢ | +$2 |
 Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026?Politics | No | $10 | 65¢ | 76¢ | +$2 |
 Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by Sep 30?Politics | No | $10 | 85¢ | 97¢ | +$1 |
 Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $10 | 58¢ | 66¢ | +$1 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Politics | No | $10 | 87¢ | 97¢ | +$1 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $10 | 78¢ | 87¢ | +$1 |
 Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?Politics | Yes | $10 | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$1 |
 Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $10 | 64¢ | 71¢ | +$1 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $10 | 86¢ | 94¢ | +$1 |
 Iran leadership change by September 30?Politics | No | $10 | 90¢ | 98¢ | +$1 |
 Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $10 | 70¢ | 76¢ | +$1 |
 Will the Republican Party win the OH-07 House seat?Politics | No | $10 | 72¢ | 78¢ | +$1 |
 Will UTJ win 11 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Politics | No | $10 | 89¢ | 95¢ | +$1 |
 Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Politics | No | $10 | 78¢ | 83¢ | +$1 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the WA-04 House seat?Politics | No | $10 | 87¢ | 93¢ | +$1 |
 Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?Politics | Yes | $10 | 54¢ | 57¢ | +$1 |
| Will Ohio use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $10 | 90¢ | 95¢ | +$1 |
| Will the Republican Party win the WA-04 House seat?Politics | Yes | $10 | 87¢ | 92¢ | +$1 |
 Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Politics | No | $10 | 68¢ | 72¢ | +$1 |
 Will Wang Chung-ming win the next Lienchiang County Magistrate election?Politics | Yes | $10 | 84¢ | 87¢ | +$0 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $10 | 51¢ | 53¢ | +$0 |
 Will United Arab List (Ra'am) win 5.5% or more of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Politics | No | $10 | 90¢ | 93¢ | +$0 |
 Will Dexter McCoy win the 2026 Fort Bend County Judge election?Politics | Yes | $10 | 75¢ | 77¢ | +$0 |
 Will Yu Shu-chen win the next Hualien County Magistrate election?Politics | Yes | $10 | 77¢ | 79¢ | +$0 |
 Will the New Mexico 2026 Senate race be within 5%?Politics | No | $10 | 86¢ | 88¢ | +$0 |
 US x China tariff agreement by December 31?Politics | Yes | $10 | 87¢ | 89¢ | +$0 |
 Will the 2028 Democratic Presidential nominee be a woman?Politics | No | $10 | 67¢ | 68¢ | +$0 |
| Will the Minnesota 2026 Senate race be within 5%?Politics | No | $10 | 76¢ | 77¢ | +$0 |
 Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Politics | No | $10 | 79¢ | 80¢ | +$0 |
 China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Politics | No | $10 | 71¢ | 72¢ | +$0 |
 Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?Culture | No | $10 | 51¢ | 51¢ | -$0 |
 Will Matúš Vallo win the 2026 Bratislava mayoral election?Politics | Yes | $10 | 89¢ | 88¢ | -$0 |
 Will Juraj Droba win the 2026 Bratislava Region gubernatorial election?Politics | Yes | $10 | 85¢ | 83¢ | -$0 |
 Will AfD win the second-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Politics | Yes | $10 | 18¢ | 18¢ | -$0 |
 Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $10 | 80¢ | 77¢ | -$0 |
 Will "Babydoll – Dominic Fike" be the #2 song for 2026?Culture | Yes | $10 | 62¢ | 60¢ | -$0 |
 Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $8 | 52¢ | 67¢ | +$2 |
| Will Moonshot be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $6 | 43¢ | 74¢ | +$4 |
 Will Wang Mei-hui win the next Chiayi City Mayor election?Politics | Yes | $10 | 84¢ | 79¢ | -$1 |
 Will SPD win the second-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Politics | Yes | $10 | 84¢ | 79¢ | -$1 |
 Will Rastislav Trnka win the 2026 Košice Region gubernatorial election?Politics | No | $10 | 42¢ | 39¢ | -$1 |
| Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics | No | $10 | 76¢ | 71¢ | -$1 |
 Will Erika Jurinová win the 2026 Žilina Region gubernatorial election?Politics | Yes | $10 | 68¢ | 63¢ | -$1 |
| Will the Iowa 2026 Senate race be within 5%?Politics | Yes | $10 | 67¢ | 62¢ | -$1 |
 Will Ján Nosko win the 2026 Banská Bystrica mayoral election?Politics | Yes | $10 | 65¢ | 60¢ | -$1 |
 Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $10 | 34¢ | 31¢ | -$1 |
 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: More Votes to AfD or SPD?Politics | AfD | $10 | 84¢ | 76¢ | -$1 |
 Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $10 | 51¢ | 46¢ | -$1 |
 Will the Republican Party win the MI-07 House seat?Politics | No | $10 | 62¢ | 54¢ | -$1 |
| Will the Ohio Special 2026 Senate race be within 5%?Politics | Yes | $10 | 68¢ | 59¢ | -$1 |
| Will the Alaska 2026 Senate race be within 5%?Politics | Yes | $10 | 72¢ | 62¢ | -$1 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $15 | 25¢ | 14¢ | -$6 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the MI-07 House seat?Politics | Yes | $10 | 61¢ | 52¢ | -$1 |
Sold Yes · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?$314m ago
Sold No · Next Z.ai GLM (5.4+) released by September 30, 2026?$1149m ago
Sold No · Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 10?$05h ago