← Belugo Whale Watch

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?
$298K volumeYes 22¢No 79¢
Sharp lean: 10% Yes90% No
Share of money held by tracked sharps (top 1,000 Polymarket accounts) among this market's top holders.
Top Yes holders
22¢- 1
VladimirPooper$8.3K - 2Nikitka$6.3K
- 3
tetroseSharp$2.2K - 4BigBoiBettin$2.1K
- 5mm4ker$1.2K
- 6drqwert$698
- 7Denis99$559
- 8Rurik5$516
- 9Romkos7$430
- 10
TheKinginYellow$430 - 11latvianboy$280
- 12
Copezilla$215 - 13
OneIsAll.$215 - 14Husky3312Dinosaur$187
- 15dave12345$170
- 16
Gl4d$151 - 170x24321322b33abD6850aC01b7EDE4211$151
- 18
Vasiqwe$150 - 190x1668d4b52386c4a3F472F6B045dd615cdE9843D5-1754989652496$150
- 20
balthazarSharp$129
Top 20 per side (Polymarket API limit). Values at the current price.
Top No holders
79¢- 1KrackenSrusterSharp$20K
- 2nonkenny90$7.2K
- 3JoeBlack01$6.5K
- 4
Outsmarter$6.4K - 5selador$6.3K
- 6TerreMoto$4.7K
- 7
poolcIeaner$3.9K - 8forinnerpsandr1x11222$3.9K
- 90x68688EC522468e7F8C4Ce4c286017C8C3820a90A-1761046724354$3.4K
- 10vgbyp$3.3K
- 11
Tenebrus7$2.7K - 12simplcom$2.2K
- 13serferer$2.1K
- 14cooldisplayname$1.7K
- 15tumbra$1.6K
- 16
GollumGekkoSharp$1.4K
- 17
leCommissaire$1.2K - 18Madsolbro$1.0K
- 19ddAnon$1.0K
- 20asterley$925
Top 20 per side (Polymarket API limit). Values at the current price.
Recent big trades here
- $1,036 on No @ 74¢
Outsmarter3d ago - $1,605 on Yes @ 27¢
VladimirPooper3d ago - $1,238 on Yes @ 25¢
VladimirPooper4d ago - $1,469 on Yes @ 24¢
VladimirPooper5d ago - $1,680 on Yes @ 23¢
VladimirPooper5d ago - $1,598 on No @ 79¢simplcom6d ago
- $3,900 on No @ 78¢selador7d ago
- $4,731 on No @ 76¢
Outsmarter11d ago - $2,296 on Yes @ 23¢
tetrose17d ago - $1,184 on No @ 79¢
Tenebrus723d ago - $1,830 on No @ 78¢nonkenny9023d ago
- $2,069 on No @ 77¢
Tenebrus726d ago - $3,277 on No @ 75¢0x68688EC522468e7F8C4Ce4c286017C8C3820a90A-176104672435426d ago
- $1,500 on No @ 75¢nonkenny9027d ago
- $2,250 on No @ 75¢nonkenny9027d ago
- $1,449 out of Yes @ 24¢ergosium29d ago
- $1,076 on Yes @ 22¢AiBird1mo ago
- $1,304 on No @ 78¢serferer1mo ago
- $11,800 on No @ 72¢KrackenSruster1mo ago
- $1,595 out of No @ 68¢0x0DccfaE62418c61D2F9A642e88Df39702D8Bd87c-17649329044031mo ago