← Whale Watch

Gl4d

Predicting since Nov 20241,127 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $14K on World Cup markets since Nov 2024.

Right now: $5.9K across 3 Politics markets.

Biggest hit: +$1.7K on Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$3.6K95¢98¢+$133
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?PoliticsNo$2.6K87¢84¢-$111
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsNo$1.7K76¢81¢+$95
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?PoliticsYes$1.6K99¢100¢+$11
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by August 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$1.4K93¢98¢+$82
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31?PoliticsNo$1.4K95¢95¢-$8
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?PoliticsNo$1.2K78¢77¢-$30
Iran leadership change by July 31?PoliticsNo$1.0K94¢99¢+$51
Will Tadej Pogačar win the 2026 Tour De France?Other sportsYes$1.0K94¢100¢+$60
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?NBANo$61962¢100¢+$381
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?PoliticsYes$77851¢60¢+$130
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$88468¢68¢-$6
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?PoliticsNo$85595¢95¢+$2
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 28, 2026?PoliticsYes$86096¢94¢-$10
Will Nico Schlotterbeck stay at Borussia Dortmund?Soccer (other)Yes$78094¢95¢+$8
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?PoliticsYes$63373¢79¢+$54
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?PoliticsNo$57482¢95¢+$88
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?PoliticsYes$54678¢88¢+$70
Will Rafael Leao stay at AC Milan?Soccer (other)No$95773¢45¢-$369
Iran leadership change by August 31?PoliticsNo$44088¢95¢+$33
Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid?Soccer (other)No$1468.8¢27¢+$300
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)Yes$22723¢44¢+$209
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?PoliticsNo$31931¢43¢+$116
Will LeBron's next contract average under $4M per year?NBAYes$42196¢98¢+$7
Will LeBron James play for the Washington Wizards in 2026-27?NBANo$39699¢100¢+$3
Will LeBron James play for the Oklahoma City Thunder in 2026-27?NBANo$39699¢100¢+$3
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?PoliticsNo$38797¢99¢+$10
Will LeBron's next contract average $4M-$10M per year?NBANo$38797¢98¢+$6
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$31746¢56¢+$72
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes$55234¢24¢-$173
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Formula 1Yes$28471¢87¢+$62
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?PoliticsYes$33567¢69¢+$10
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$30138¢43¢+$42
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?PoliticsYes$24130¢42¢+$96
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?PoliticsYes$27621¢23¢+$26
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?NBANo$24381¢100¢+$56
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?CryptoYes$22023¢30¢+$60
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?PoliticsNo$22163¢74¢+$39
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?PoliticsYes$32019¢13¢-$99
Kash Patel out by December 31?PoliticsYes$37562¢32¢-$186
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?PoliticsYes$20067¢56¢-$31
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$16824¢24¢-$4
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?NFLNo$14950¢49¢-$2
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?Formula 1Yes$7515¢28¢+$67
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?PoliticsYes$18446¢34¢-$46
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?PoliticsNo$15863¢55¢-$22
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?PoliticsNo$16080¢67¢-$27
Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?PoliticsYes$14436¢33¢-$14
Will Vinicius Junior join Bayern Munich?Soccer (other)No$10496¢100¢+$4
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$9884¢93¢+$10
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?Formula 1Yes$17435¢21¢-$72
Will Daniel Negreanu cash in the WSOP 2026 Main Event?eSportsNo$100100¢99¢-$1
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$10413¢12¢-$12
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?PoliticsYes$11917¢13¢-$28
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?PoliticsYes$19866¢27¢-$119
Will Aurelien Tchouameni stay at Real Madrid?Soccer (other)Yes$8596¢83¢-$12
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Formula 1Yes$37238¢6.5¢-$309
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?PoliticsYes$6060¢59¢-$2
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Formula 1No$10365¢31¢-$54
Will Nico Schlotterbeck join Bayern Munich?Soccer (other)No$4099¢100¢+$0
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Formula 1Yes$325.3¢3.6¢-$10
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?PoliticsYes$7232¢5.5¢-$59
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Formula 1Yes$506.5¢1.6¢-$38
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)Yes$8817¢1.4¢-$80
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$691¢94¢+$0
Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)Yes$1238.8¢0.4¢-$118
Will Yan Diomande stay at RB Leipzig?Soccer (other)Yes$9666¢3.3¢-$91
Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?NBANo$52988¢0.4¢-$527
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?NBAYes$1.2K39¢0.1¢-$1.2K
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?World CupYesResolved$70247¢0.0¢-$702
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$9218¢0.0¢-$92
Will Vinicius Junior be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$1619.0¢0.0¢-$161
Iran successfully targets shipping by June 27?PoliticsNoResolved$11228¢0.0¢-$112
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States?PoliticsYesResolved$34.1¢0.0¢-$3
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$49910.0¢0.0¢-$499
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$13617¢0.0¢-$136
Will Luis Diaz be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$1451.1¢0.0¢-$145
Colombia vs. Ghana: O/U 2.5World CupOverResolved$41446¢0.0¢-$414
Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$5427¢0.0¢-$54
England vs. DR Congo: DR Congo O/U 0.5World CupUnderResolved$42761¢0.0¢-$427
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 2.5World CupUnderResolved$27234¢0.0¢-$272
Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to AdvanceWorld CupSenegalResolved$93362¢0.0¢-$933
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$66856¢0.0¢-$668
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?World CupNoResolved$38660¢0.0¢-$386
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$1107.9¢0.0¢-$110
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno BustaTennisPablo Carreno BustaResolved$64020¢0.0¢-$640
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?World CupYesResolved$37037¢0.0¢-$370
UFC 329: Wang Cong vs. Tracy Cortez (Women's Flyweight, Early Prelims)UFC / MMATracy CortezResolved$37647¢0.0¢-$376
United States vs. Belgium: Team to AdvanceWorld CupUnited StatesResolved$43254¢0.0¢-$432
Will Neymar Jr. score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupNoResolved$22965¢0.0¢-$229
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$3630.8¢0.0¢-$363
Over $32.5M committed to the Credible public sale?CryptoNoResolved$20514¢0.0¢-$205
Will Trump praise Pelé by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$3010¢0.0¢-$30
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 1.5World CupOverResolved$54468¢0.0¢-$544
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$1216.0¢0.0¢-$121
Will LeBron James attend the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final?World CupYesResolved$10964¢0.0¢-$109
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceWorld CupPortugalResolved$15334¢0.0¢-$153
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$878.7¢0.0¢-$87
Will Antonio Rüdiger score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$11912¢0.0¢-$119
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5World CupOverResolved$45657¢0.0¢-$456

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

World Cup-$14K
Politics+$9.0K
Tennis-$3.5K
Crypto+$3.0K
Tech+$2.0K
Culture-$1.5K
NBA-$1.3K
Soccer (other)+$949
Olympics+$899
NFL+$820
UFC / MMA-$747
Formula 1-$601
Biggest hit
+$1.7K
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson?
Toughest beat
-$3.3K
Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoor

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 28, 2026?$47423m ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 28, 2026?$9623m ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by August 31, 2026?$78523m ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 28, 2026?$19337m ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 28, 2026?$9842m ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?$78547m ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?$301h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?$1991h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?$9451h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?$2201h ago
  • Sold No · US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?$212h ago
  • Sold No · US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?$3392h ago