← Belugo Whale Watch

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?
$816K volumeYes 3.1¢No 97¢
Sharp lean: 2% Yes98% No
Share of money held by tracked sharps (top 1,000 Polymarket accounts) among this market's top holders.
Top Yes holders
3.1¢- 1
gambler13$3.5K - 2WCBT$607
- 3
tetroseSharp$467 - 4TheReturnOfDarthMaulSharp$465
- 5881112Sharp$393
- 6
PMPD$310 - 7
VladimirPooper$197 - 80x3188E94f597a5a01747D1441F0A3a4806F378f1E-1764295652426$113
- 9
santashrek81$93 - 10HerrieDavisSharp$77
- 11
smellyEllie$62 - 12AmericanIsraelPublicAffairsCommittee$62
- 13LilleBjoern$62
- 14
Avitz33$53 - 150xFf61d952C84a435C43548C993fE7Fa7E7Cbc0351-1788790410401$53
- 16Kas29$48
- 170xFc9DCC478c40bC61A3261978bc9f8C6BCC3F9d68-1767537044643$45
- 180xfa39…977f$45
- 19BigBoiBettin$40
- 20bigmaw$31
Top 20 per side (Polymarket API limit). Values at the current price.
Top No holders
97¢- 1hopedieslastSharp$40K
- 2nonkenny90$27K
- 3TerreMoto$18K
- 4KrackenSrusterSharp$16K
- 5simplcom$14K
- 6MonacoLover$14K
- 7flawfenceSharp$12K
- 8
AngryRhino$9.7K - 9nedsta$7.7K
- 10
Outsmarter$6.6K - 11
ArmageddonRewardsBillySharp$3.9K - 12Marc345$3.3K
- 13pollybond$2.9K
- 14Manzana698$2.9K
- 15
Rr55$2.5K - 16
leCommissaire$2.4K - 17JoeBlack01$2.4K
- 18
AlAhmeda$2.3K - 19
rexcom$2.3K - 20
randomWalkingShrimp$2.2K
Top 20 per side (Polymarket API limit). Values at the current price.
Recent big trades here
- $2,622 out of No @ 95¢
0xa7517ed74c6b07843946e0e69cad10a9fa94e052d ago - $1,921 out of No @ 96¢
ArmageddonRewardsBilly4d ago - $3,478 on No @ 96¢nedsta4d ago
- $1,621 on Yes @ 6.0¢
gambler134d ago - $1,920 on No @ 96¢nedsta8d ago
- $1,920 on No @ 96¢nedsta9d ago
- $1,152 on No @ 96¢
rexcom11d ago - $2,202 out of No @ 95¢
leCommissaire12d ago - $1,737 out of No @ 95¢
rexcom12d ago - $1,056 out of No @ 94¢Madsolbro18d ago
- $5,982 on No @ 94¢TerreMoto28d ago
- $7,377 on No @ 93¢
0xa7517ed74c6b07843946e0e69cad10a9fa94e0528d ago - $1,656 on No @ 92¢nonkenny9028d ago
- $2,158 on No @ 93¢MonacoLover29d ago
- $3,771 on No @ 92¢
AngryRhino29d ago - $1,635 on No @ 92¢nonkenny9029d ago
- $1,365 on No @ 91¢
yen4u29d ago - $1,930 out of No @ 91¢0x8333521Ed10E5c714960Cde86e43B0A93e9DeF3E-177240453408129d ago
- $10,939 out of No @ 91¢selador29d ago
- $1,066 on Yes @ 7.0¢0xC3Db6a07351313cc684759Dee1722D2bB1e90F98-17682470474551mo ago