 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?Politics | No | $12K | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$221 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $12K | 90¢ | 92¢ | +$175 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?Politics | No | $11K | 94¢ | 95¢ | +$175 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics | Yes | $9.2K | 71¢ | 57¢ | -$1.7K |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Politics | No | $5.9K | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$28 |
 Iran leadership change by July 31?Politics | No | $4.5K | 96¢ | 99¢ | +$141 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Politics | No | $4.1K | 86¢ | 85¢ | -$58 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Politics | No | $3.1K | 91¢ | 92¢ | +$31 |
| Will a European country take military action on Iran by July 31?Politics | No | $3.0K | 98¢ | 97¢ | -$15 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?Finance | No | $3.0K | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$39 |
| Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $2.8K | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$20 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $2.6K | 81¢ | 79¢ | -$51 |
| Will 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $2.2K | 96¢ | 97¢ | +$41 |
 Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $2.6K | 87¢ | 73¢ | -$418 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?Politics | No | $2.1K | 96¢ | 95¢ | -$15 |
| Iran invades Kuwait by July 31?Politics | No | $2.0K | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$15 |
| Iran leadership change by August 31?Politics | No | $1.6K | 91¢ | 95¢ | +$67 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Politics | No | $1.7K | 78¢ | 80¢ | +$34 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 24?Politics | Yes | $1.7K | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$5 |
| Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $1.7K | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$19 |
 Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $1.6K | 89¢ | 93¢ | +$57 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Politics | No | $1.6K | 91¢ | 92¢ | +$13 |
| Mohammed Ghalibaf out as Speaker of Iran Parliament by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $1.6K | 95¢ | 98¢ | +$51 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in July?Finance | No | $1.6K | 90¢ | 87¢ | -$56 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | No | $1.5K | 76¢ | 80¢ | +$70 |
 Trump out as President before 2027?Politics | No | $1.5K | 93¢ | 94¢ | +$10 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $1.5K | 83¢ | 86¢ | +$39 |
 Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?Politics | No | $1.5K | 89¢ | 90¢ | +$20 |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $1.5K | 43¢ | 44¢ | +$9 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $1.3K | 96¢ | 96¢ | -$1 |
| Will a European country take military action on Iran by August 31?Politics | No | $1.2K | 92¢ | 94¢ | +$22 |
 Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Politics | No | $1.1K | 95¢ | 98¢ | +$37 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 31?Politics | No | $1.2K | 96¢ | 96¢ | -$6 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $1.1K | 82¢ | 84¢ | +$22 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 23?Politics | Yes | $1.1K | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$2 |
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $1.1K | 99¢ | 99¢ | -$2 |
 Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $902 | 88¢ | 96¢ | +$77 |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $940 | 94¢ | 94¢ | +$4 |
 Will GameStop acquire eBay?Finance | No | $923 | 87¢ | 88¢ | +$4 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in July?Finance | No | $849 | 95¢ | 99¢ | +$32 |
 Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $816 | 95¢ | 99¢ | +$32 |
 Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81Crypto | No | $629 | 67¢ | 89¢ | +$203 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?Politics | No | $813 | 97¢ | 98¢ | +$7 |
 Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by July 31?Politics | No | $799 | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$9 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?Politics | Yes | $739 | 67¢ | 74¢ | +$70 |
 Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $767 | 88¢ | 91¢ | +$21 |
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Politics | No | $785 | 93¢ | 93¢ | -$2 |
| Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $766 | 96¢ | 98¢ | +$17 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?Politics | No | $765 | 87¢ | 89¢ | +$13 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?Politics | No | $767 | 96¢ | 97¢ | +$9 |
| Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?Crypto | No | $665 | 77¢ | 89¢ | +$96 |
 Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $728 | 97¢ | 99¢ | +$20 |
 Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?Politics | No | $747 | 90¢ | 88¢ | -$17 |
| Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by August 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $642 | 88¢ | 98¢ | +$77 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $677 | 53¢ | 56¢ | +$34 |
 Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?Politics | No | $722 | 87¢ | 82¢ | -$42 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Politics | No | $670 | 88¢ | 88¢ | -$1 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Politics | No | $591 | 77¢ | 81¢ | +$36 |
 Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?Tech | No | $617 | 95¢ | 95¢ | +$3 |
| Will 100 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $596 | 99¢ | 99¢ | -$4 |
| Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?Politics | No | $554 | 95¢ | 97¢ | +$7 |
 Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $481 | 77¢ | 90¢ | +$79 |
 Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?Soccer (other) | No | $553 | 83¢ | 84¢ | +$5 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $559 | 85¢ | 83¢ | -$11 |
| Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31Politics | Yes | $714 | 41¢ | 32¢ | -$169 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by September 30?Politics | No | $547 | 94¢ | 93¢ | -$7 |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? Politics | No | $519 | 90¢ | 89¢ | -$8 |
| Greater Tunb Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?Politics | No | $481 | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$7 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | Yes | $756 | 28¢ | 18¢ | -$283 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026?Politics | No | $457 | 98¢ | 98¢ | +$3 |
 Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?Politics | No | $471 | 91¢ | 88¢ | -$14 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $460 | 85¢ | 84¢ | -$7 |
 SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $449 | 88¢ | 89¢ | +$3 |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?Politics | Yes | $521 | 7.7¢ | 6.7¢ | -$69 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?Finance | No | $435 | 91¢ | 94¢ | +$10 |
| Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $405 | 83¢ | 91¢ | +$39 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $431 | 56¢ | 56¢ | +$7 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?Politics | Yes | $422 | 84¢ | 88¢ | +$16 |
 Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $428 | 97¢ | 99¢ | +$9 |
 Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Politics | No | $418 | 94¢ | 98¢ | +$19 |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Politics | No | $437 | 93¢ | 93¢ | -$2 |
 U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31? Politics | No | $430 | 86¢ | 87¢ | +$3 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by July 31? Politics | No | $417 | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$2 |
| Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $424 | 84¢ | 83¢ | -$8 |
 Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $403 | 89¢ | 91¢ | +$8 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $377 | 84¢ | 91¢ | +$29 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?Politics | Yes | $394 | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$6 |
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Weather | No | $388 | 97¢ | 97¢ | -$2 |
 Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31?Politics | No | $368 | 86¢ | 88¢ | +$4 |
 Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in July?Finance | No | $321 | 72¢ | 82¢ | +$47 |
 Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Politics | Yes | $488 | 40¢ | 30¢ | -$122 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?Politics | No | $362 | 90¢ | 91¢ | +$2 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $356 | 91¢ | 92¢ | +$1 |
| Iran leadership change by September 30?Politics | No | $355 | 89¢ | 89¢ | +$1 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $333 | 59¢ | 63¢ | +$21 |
 Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $307 | 78¢ | 88¢ | +$37 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | No | $324 | 64¢ | 67¢ | +$15 |
 GTA 6 launch postponed again?Tech | No | $340 | 90¢ | 90¢ | -$1 |
 Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?Politics | Yes | $298 | 78¢ | 86¢ | +$30 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $492 | 19¢ | 13¢ | -$167 |
Bought Yes · Will the Taiwan People’s Party (TPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?$018m ago
Sold No · Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by July 31, 2026?$2842m ago
Sold No · Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31?$31153m ago