← Belugo Whale Watch

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?
$1.6M volumeYes 8.5¢No 92¢
Sharp lean: 32% Yes68% No
Share of money held by tracked sharps (top 1,000 Polymarket accounts) among this market's top holders.
Top Yes holders
8.5¢- 1BigBoiBettin$2.5K
- 20xa2C64E2204E76C6077D0BB9c442736C79c91757b-1776097218535$2.1K
- 30x7E5246ABED17A5cFF43A17B55B30F982f45200f5-1771073039758$1.4K
- 4jimcant22$1.4K
- 5
BigRabbit$1.3K - 6
0xecaa8806a9a05049d7d5260a33dc924220e377a$947 - 7881112Sharp$885
- 8aigiul$807
- 9Themagician07$683
- 10WCBT$604
- 11
paddaaSharp$523 - 12
Porx$439 - 13
Valen9Sharp$425 - 14
ThePortrait$398 - 15riskybetalltheway$367
- 16
Hakei.$340 - 17
Toncar16$337 - 180xC869dF5acB47B8e3f61c33c5C05D79E274e2284F-1782058314705$325
- 19101456$319
- 20intwit$273
Top 20 per side (Polymarket API limit). Values at the current price.
Top No holders
92¢- 10xBE482CD6e5183BE8767f03b48EBc3FF35769683f-1768081000582$23K
- 2
How.Dare.You$18K - 3anoin123$14K
- 4SlenderMan$14K
- 5nonkenny90$12K
- 6Moonshot1019$9.5K
- 7Rummia$7.7K
- 8BigBusinessPro$6.3K
- 9Cheremsha$6.1K
- 10
iFlexdaughter$6.0K - 11sdhyky$5.5K
- 12
Mr-Krabs$4.7K - 13
Outsmarter$4.6K - 14xoua$4.6K
- 150x2bf7…be49$4.0K
- 16KrackenSrusterSharp$3.8K
- 17
denzeldumfries$3.7K - 18saikederiku$3.3K
- 19Huludubu$3.2K
- 20Marc345$3.0K
Top 20 per side (Polymarket API limit). Values at the current price.
Recent big trades here
- $1,300 on No @ 89¢0x8333521Ed10E5c714960Cde86e43B0A93e9DeF3E-17724045340811d ago
- $2,950 on No @ 89¢0x2bf7…be491d ago
- $1,793 on Yes @ 15¢jimcant222d ago
- $2,090 on No @ 87¢Lamantinka2d ago
- $4,036 out of No @ 87¢
eCash3d ago - $1,223 on Yes @ 22¢
Car3d ago - $1,268 on Yes @ 19¢
Car3d ago - $1,082 on No @ 82¢whoamipythok4d ago
- $1,292 out of Yes @ 17¢0xb3165A3C81C73BC6F7520AD67fb600A9C2Cf2d2e-17815066039664d ago
- $3,695 out of No @ 67¢0x8a8bC9920202F24e6BcEfdaf21dd9e297d9E375c-17725693860284d ago
- $1,500 on Yes @ 46¢0xC869dF5acB47B8e3f61c33c5C05D79E274e2284F-17820583147054d ago
- $1,604 on No @ 81¢0x8a8bC9920202F24e6BcEfdaf21dd9e297d9E375c-17725693860284d ago
- $1,094 out of No @ 80¢NoSteinNoGate4d ago
- $7,970 on No @ 77¢Moonshot10194d ago
- $1,146 out of No @ 72¢sadgasd4d ago
- $1,118 on No @ 63¢whig4d ago
- $1,202 out of No @ 66¢XA0574d ago
- $1,480 on No @ 74¢
iFlexdaughter4d ago - $2,503 out of No @ 70¢Evwo-Jaza4d ago
- $2,094 on No @ 70¢
Marco-Rubio4d ago