Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?Politics | No | $83K | 93¢ | 95¢ | +$1.6K |
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?Politics | No | $73K | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$811 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | No | $52K | 87¢ | 81¢ | -$3.9K |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $40K | 81¢ | 81¢ | +$205 |
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $33K | 82¢ | 86¢ | +$1.5K |
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?Politics | No | $29K | 67¢ | 69¢ | +$1.3K |
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics | No | $25K | 82¢ | 86¢ | +$1.1K |
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?Politics | No | $21K | 80¢ | 95¢ | +$3.7K |
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Politics | No | $23K | 72¢ | 73¢ | +$278 |
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?Politics | No | $22K | 96¢ | 96¢ | +$94 |
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?Politics | No | $16K | 91¢ | 99¢ | +$1.4K |
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $15K | 77¢ | 88¢ | +$2.1K |
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $15K | 96¢ | 99¢ | +$487 |
Will Steve Witkoff sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Politics | No | $13K | 90¢ | 99¢ | +$1.3K |
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Politics | No | $13K | 88¢ | 88¢ | -$73 |
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Politics | No | $10K | 78¢ | 99¢ | +$2.6K |
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics | No | $11K | 93¢ | 96¢ | +$365 |
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?Politics | No | $9.8K | 88¢ | 93¢ | +$557 |
Will Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Politics | No | $9.3K | 92¢ | 99¢ | +$719 |
Will GameStop acquire eBay?Finance | No | $8.5K | 85¢ | 88¢ | +$200 |
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Politics | No | $7.8K | 90¢ | 98¢ | +$686 |
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $8.5K | 83¢ | 79¢ | -$390 |
Iran leadership change by December 31?Politics | No | $8.4K | 84¢ | 80¢ | -$450 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?Politics | Yes | $4.2K | 22¢ | 41¢ | +$3.6K |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?Politics | No | $6.5K | 81¢ | 94¢ | +$1000 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Politics | Yes | $3.2K | 21¢ | 50¢ | +$4.2K |
Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Politics | No | $6.5K | 89¢ | 99¢ | +$675 |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?Politics | Yes | $4.4K | 72¢ | 99¢ | +$1.6K |
Will Benjamin Netanyahu sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Politics | No | $5.7K | 97¢ | 99¢ | +$144 |
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $6.2K | 72¢ | 68¢ | -$358 |
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Politics | Yes | $4.6K | 58¢ | 74¢ | +$1.2K |
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics | No | $5.7K | 92¢ | 93¢ | +$47 |
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $4.9K | 93¢ | 99¢ | +$329 |
Will Mohammed bin Salman sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Politics | No | $4.5K | 91¢ | 99¢ | +$418 |
Iran leadership change by July 31?Politics | No | $4.9K | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$58 |
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?Politics | No | $4.5K | 23¢ | 24¢ | +$83 |
Iran leadership change by September 30?Politics | No | $4.5K | 90¢ | 89¢ | -$75 |
Will Mojtaba Khamenei sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Politics | No | $4.3K | 97¢ | 99¢ | +$90 |
Fed rate hike in 2026?Economy | Yes | $3.2K | 65¢ | 69¢ | +$170 |
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?Politics | No | $2.4K | 48¢ | 63¢ | +$705 |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Politics | No | $2.3K | 78¢ | 87¢ | +$255 |
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $9.9K | 26¢ | 6.5¢ | -$7.4K |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Politics | No | $2.0K | 67¢ | 79¢ | +$360 |
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?Politics | Yes | $3.0K | 31¢ | 22¢ | -$882 |
Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?Politics | No | $1.9K | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$35 |
Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026?Culture | No | $1.5K | 72¢ | 76¢ | +$64 |
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Politics | No | $650 | 65¢ | 63¢ | -$25 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?Politics | Yes | $348 | 45¢ | 61¢ | +$124 |
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Politics | No | $426 | 73¢ | 76¢ | +$18 |
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?Politics | Yes | $540 | 27¢ | 13¢ | -$280 |
| Will Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?Politics | Yes | $270 | 27¢ | 25¢ | -$25 |
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by October 31?Politics | Yes | $105 | 17¢ | 22¢ | +$28 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Politics | Yes | $140 | 0.7¢ | 0.7¢ | -$10 |
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Tech | No | $108 | 88¢ | 90¢ | +$2 |
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?Politics | Yes | $124 | 39¢ | 31¢ | -$27 |
Will Laurence Fox get second place in the Clacton by-election?Politics | Yes | $81 | 5.6¢ | 3.8¢ | -$27 |
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by July 31? Politics | No | $51 | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$1 |
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Politics | No | $16 | 73¢ | 99¢ | +$6 |
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by July 31?Politics | Yes | $700 | 14¢ | 0.3¢ | -$685 |
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $467 | 6.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$467 |
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?Politics | NoResolved | $4 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Will Trump visit Pakistan by April 30?Politics | YesResolved | $541 | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$541 |
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $4.9K | 9.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4.9K |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 22, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $100 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $8.9K | 4.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8.9K |
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?Politics | YesResolved | $5.3K | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5.3K |
Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?Politics | YesResolved | $164 | 1.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$164 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $338 | 4.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$338 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 7.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $476 | 0.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$476 |
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $2.3K | 7.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2.3K |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $3.8K | 9.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3.8K |
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1.5K | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.5K |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $206 | 1.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$206 |
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by August 31?Politics | NoResolved | $2.4K | 61¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2.4K |
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $210 | 2.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$210 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $22K | 6.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$22K |
| Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?Politics | NoResolved | $27K | 87¢ | 0.0¢ | -$27K |
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 7?Politics | YesResolved | $9 | 82¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $5.4K | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5.4K |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $200 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$200 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $9.1K | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9.1K |
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31?Politics | NoResolved | $24K | 63¢ | 0.0¢ | -$24K |
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?Politics | YesResolved | $210 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$210 |
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through December 31?Politics | YesResolved | $23K | 49¢ | 0.0¢ | -$23K |
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Politics | NoResolved | $4 | 68¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |