← Belugo Whale Watch

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
$2.1M volumeYes 36¢No 65¢
Sharp lean: 14% Yes86% No
Share of money held by tracked sharps (top 1,000 Polymarket accounts) among this market's top holders.
Top Yes holders
36¢- 10xB886580698eDE4b18DE3E446b2D8Da8bCEdd81B3-1767532547794$8.0K
- 2BigBoiBettin$5.5K
- 3vovatoxic$3.9K
- 4mm4ker$3.7K
- 5katsumotosan$3.5K
- 6StoneMarble$3.5K
- 7Crabinn$2.6K
- 8
CarSharp$2.2K - 9
Trading4Fridge$2.0K - 10intwit$1.8K
- 11AAVVAA$1.4K
- 120x6a7492cB65cD415C2ee9476CEE3f38AE5cBABEcd-1736971979467$1.3K
- 13
Metusalem$1.1K - 14rfhbtdhtf$1.0K
- 15uyfguh$1.0K
- 16Donkolo$932
- 17BBTAN$757
- 18
StarMaster$731 - 19hku2090$722
- 20Geminae.Columbae$710
Top 20 per side (Polymarket API limit). Values at the current price.
Top No holders
65¢- 1WzapS$14K
- 2God$13K
- 3Artets$10K
- 4
RememberAmalekSharp$6.9K - 5BigBusinessPro$6.1K
- 6KrackenSrusterSharp$5.2K
- 7LPTT$3.4K
- 87203$3.0K
- 9
0x714b…d071$2.6K - 10
Outsmarter$2.3K - 11Jango8$1.9K
- 12amused85$1.9K
- 13bipbipbop$1.7K
- 14EatprayloveSharp$1.6K
- 15
0x011f2d377e56119fb09196dffb0948ae5571112$1.5K - 16anoin123$1.3K
- 17
radioigor$1.3K - 18
poolcIeaner$1.3K - 19ihorkoval$1.2K
- 200xCd1d7D849282aFDD3cda242cAFA5c99a749f6542-1781500144714$1.2K
Top 20 per side (Polymarket API limit). Values at the current price.
Recent big trades here
- $6,090 on No @ 64¢BigBusinessPro1d ago
- $1,020 on Yes @ 36¢uyfguh2d ago
- $2,216 out of No @ 63¢JoeBlack012d ago
- $1,300 on No @ 65¢
radioigor3d ago - $1,377 on No @ 63¢
Outsmarter9d ago - $4,000 on No @ 60¢WzapS11d ago
- $1,200 on Yes @ 40¢BigBoiBettin18d ago
- $1,517 out of Yes @ 37¢riskybet9221d ago
- $1,021 out of Yes @ 38¢riskybet9221d ago
- $1,131 on Yes @ 39¢rfhbtdhtf21d ago
- $1,070 out of No @ 60¢vladius321d ago
- $1,472 out of Yes @ 40¢riskybet9223d ago
- $2,000 on No @ 59¢WzapS23d ago
- $1,017 out of Yes @ 41¢riskybet9224d ago
- $2,000 on Yes @ 46¢riskybet9227d ago
- $3,000 on Yes @ 44¢riskybet9227d ago
- $1,593 on Yes @ 44¢0x6a7492cB65cD415C2ee9476CEE3f38AE5cBABEcd-173697197946727d ago
- $1,266 out of No @ 58¢0xB122804cA4F47698F78A374859E5bd36Eb72B065-177246648674028d ago
- $3,083 out of No @ 61¢LPTT1mo ago
- $4,000 on No @ 61¢LPTT1mo ago