← Whale Watch

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Predicting since Feb 20248,025 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $103K on Politics markets since Feb 2024.

Right now: $514K across 10 Politics markets.

Biggest hit: +$17K on Will Trump launch a coin before the election?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsNo$250K50¢80¢+$149K
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$250K50¢20¢-$149K
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsNo$20K76¢81¢+$1.3K
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsNo$8.2K97¢98¢+$106
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?PoliticsNo$5.9K68¢95¢+$2.3K
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$4.7K91¢95¢+$169
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by August 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$3.2K73¢98¢+$1.1K
Iran Nuke before 2027?PoliticsNo$2.8K88¢95¢+$216
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$3.5K18¢13¢-$1000
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?CryptoYes$2.1K25¢30¢+$376
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by December 31?PoliticsYes$2.4K98¢100¢+$42
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?PoliticsNo$2.1K93¢96¢+$71
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$2.7K44¢36¢-$533
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?NBANo$1.1K52¢100¢+$1.0K
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by December 31?PoliticsNo$2.0K92¢94¢+$41
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1.8K91¢97¢+$120
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?PoliticsYes$2.1K71¢56¢-$435
Trump goes to space in 2026?PoliticsNo$1.6K95¢98¢+$48
NATO dissolves before 2027?PoliticsNo$1.5K93¢97¢+$65
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?PoliticsNo$1.3K60¢63¢+$55
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?PoliticsNo$62031¢63¢+$630
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?PoliticsNo$93983¢98¢+$170
Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?PoliticsNo$1.1K96¢100¢+$40
Will Syria recognize Israel by December 31?PoliticsNo$90090¢93¢+$25
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsNo$1.3K24¢17¢-$371
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$1.2K23¢17¢-$304
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$8008.0¢8.5¢+$50
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?PoliticsYes$55761¢88¢+$238
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?PoliticsNo$70691¢97¢+$49
Will Iran legalize gay marriage?PoliticsNo$72696¢98¢+$13
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?PoliticsNo$70190¢94¢+$28
Will Elon register any party before 2027?PoliticsNo$59782¢97¢+$103
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$6220.8¢0.9¢+$39
Will Venezuela become 51st state?PoliticsNo$51393¢97¢+$18
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$5612.7¢2.5¢-$42
Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?PoliticsNo$50195¢97¢+$12
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?PoliticsNo$44574¢80¢+$32
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$2592.9¢4.9¢+$176
US strike on Colombia by December 31?PoliticsYes$30319¢25¢+$87
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?CryptoYes$5914.6¢2.9¢-$219
Will Trump meet with Pope Leo XIV in 2026?PoliticsNo$25657¢82¢+$112
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?PoliticsYes$50619¢12¢-$182
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$3271.1¢1.1¢-$15
Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31?PoliticsNo$26481¢91¢+$30
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?PoliticsYes$25122¢22¢-$3
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?PoliticsYes$32032¢25¢-$75
Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?PoliticsYes$27354¢46¢-$44
GTA 6 launch postponed again?TechYes$35016¢10¢-$130
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in July?CryptoYes$2812.2¢1.7¢-$70
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?PoliticsYes$29919¢13¢-$91
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?PoliticsYes$296.0¢43¢+$174
Will Dow say "Carbon" 5+ times during earnings call?MentionsNo$17185¢100¢+$30
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?PoliticsYes$26426¢18¢-$90
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?PoliticsYes$36018¢7.5¢-$207
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$12699¢99¢-$1
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?PoliticsYes$18447¢32¢-$60
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$11085¢93¢+$10
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?PoliticsYes$33717¢5.5¢-$227
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$951.4¢1.6¢+$10
Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2026?PoliticsYes$22777¢36¢-$122
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$6462¢95¢+$34
Will a European country take military action on Iran by August 31?PoliticsYes$966.2¢6.0¢-$3
Kash Patel out by December 31?PoliticsYes$23177¢31¢-$138
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$15920¢11¢-$71
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?PoliticsYes$14411¢6.0¢-$66
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?PoliticsYes$5635.0¢0.7¢-$490
Mike Johnson out as Speaker by December 31?PoliticsNo$4965¢90¢+$19
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?TechYes$10345¢29¢-$37
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$19019¢6.5¢-$125
Will Trump pardon Derek Chauvin before 2027?PoliticsYes$1188.8¢4.8¢-$54
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in July?CryptoYes$1011.0¢0.5¢-$45
Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$7932¢20¢-$31
Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2026?PoliticsYes$11824¢9.0¢-$73
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in July?CryptoYes$500.5¢0.4¢-$15
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?PoliticsNo$2162¢95¢+$11
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?PoliticsYes$471.8¢1.1¢-$17
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$2794¢93¢-$0
Will Netflix close Warner Bros acquisition?PoliticsNo$2288¢100¢+$3
Will a European country take military action on Iran by July 31?PoliticsYes$222.9¢2.8¢-$1
Christopher Luxon out by September 30?PoliticsYes$1924¢26¢+$1
Bitmine sells any Ethereum in 2026?CryptoNo$1157¢84¢+$5
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$182.6¢1.9¢-$5
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?PoliticsYes$1320¢9.5¢-$7
Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?PoliticsNo$480¢93¢+$1

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Politics+$103K
Other+$7.8K
Mentions+$6.1K
Crypto+$3.6K
Culture+$1.4K
Tech+$1.4K
NBA+$1.0K
Finance+$955
Weather+$946
Economy-$517
Premier League+$461
Other sports+$348
Biggest hit
+$17K
Will Trump launch a coin before the election?
Toughest beat
-$8.8K
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Recent moves

  • Sold No · Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$6.3K4h ago
  • Sold No · Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$3.0K4h ago
  • Sold No · Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$8.5K4h ago
  • Sold No · Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$2.7K4h ago
  • Sold No · Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$4.4K5h ago
  • Bought No · Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?$1.4K11h ago
  • Cashed out Los Angeles Angels vs. San Francisco Giants AND Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Washington Nationals AND San Diego Padres vs. Miami Marlins AND Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox$15715h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?$2315h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will a European country take military action on Iran by August 31?$116h ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22?$33116h ago
  • Cashed out Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Mackenzie McDonald vs Edas Butvilas AND Segovia: Matteo Martineau vs Oliver Crawford AND Bloomfield Hills: Alex Michelsen vs Dhakshineswar Suresh AND Winnipeg: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Liam Draxl AND Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Trevor Svajda vs Elias Ymer AND Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Christopher O'Connell vs Andres Martin$17816h ago
  • Sold No · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?$46817h ago