 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | No | $180K | 50¢ | 76¢ | +$93K |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $180K | 50¢ | 24¢ | -$93K |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | No | $69K | 84¢ | 84¢ | -$150 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Politics | No | $23K | 93¢ | 94¢ | +$75 |
 Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $11K | 96¢ | 98¢ | +$212 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?Politics | No | $8.7K | 75¢ | 96¢ | +$2.4K |
 Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?Culture | No | $9.7K | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$54 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?Politics | No | $8.9K | 89¢ | 89¢ | -$50 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | No | $8.2K | 97¢ | 98¢ | +$98 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Politics | No | $8.0K | 96¢ | 96¢ | -$11 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $7.8K | 93¢ | 94¢ | +$72 |
 Iran Nuke before 2027?Politics | No | $7.6K | 92¢ | 95¢ | +$242 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Politics | No | $7.0K | 95¢ | 97¢ | +$126 |
 Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?Tech | No | $6.0K | 94¢ | 94¢ | -$18 |
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Weather | No | $4.8K | 97¢ | 97¢ | +$5 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $4.7K | 95¢ | 96¢ | +$25 |
 Trump out as President before 2027?Politics | No | $4.7K | 94¢ | 95¢ | +$25 |
 Trump meets with Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31?Politics | No | $4.7K | 98¢ | 98¢ | -$0 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Politics | No | $4.4K | 95¢ | 95¢ | -$7 |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HousePolitics | No | $4.3K | 87¢ | 87¢ | -$25 |
 Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics | No | $4.3K | 87¢ | 87¢ | -$25 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $4.3K | 87¢ | 87¢ | -$25 |
 Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?Politics | No | $3.9K | 97¢ | 97¢ | +$6 |
 Trump goes to space in 2026?Politics | No | $3.8K | 97¢ | 98¢ | +$36 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Politics | Yes | $4.2K | 66¢ | 58¢ | -$537 |
 Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31?Politics | No | $3.4K | 97¢ | 97¢ | -$8 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?Politics | Yes | $2.6K | 58¢ | 68¢ | +$435 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?Politics | No | $2.8K | 91¢ | 93¢ | +$47 |
 Russia coup attempt in 2026?Politics | No | $2.8K | 94¢ | 95¢ | +$15 |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Politics | Yes | $6.9K | 53¢ | 22¢ | -$4.1K |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $2.6K | 95¢ | 94¢ | -$31 |
 Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?Politics | No | $2.4K | 79¢ | 80¢ | +$15 |
 Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?Crypto | Yes | $1.7K | 24¢ | 33¢ | +$644 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027?Politics | Yes | $2.2K | 32¢ | 35¢ | +$164 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30?Politics | Yes | $2.1K | 70¢ | 76¢ | +$163 |
 Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by December 31?Politics | No | $2.0K | 92¢ | 96¢ | +$97 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Politics | Yes | $1.6K | 51¢ | 65¢ | +$433 |
 Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $1.8K | 91¢ | 98¢ | +$136 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $2.2K | 24¢ | 22¢ | -$249 |
 Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?Politics | No | $1.9K | 96¢ | 97¢ | +$21 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?Politics | No | $1.9K | 97¢ | 97¢ | +$0 |
 US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?Politics | No | $1.9K | 96¢ | 95¢ | -$12 |
 Iran nuclear test before 2027?Politics | No | $1.9K | 96¢ | 95¢ | -$22 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Politics | No | $1.9K | 94¢ | 93¢ | -$30 |
 Iran coup attempt by December 31?Politics | No | $1.8K | 90¢ | 90¢ | -$0 |
 Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Politics | No | $1.7K | 79¢ | 84¢ | +$100 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?Tech | No | $1.7K | 85¢ | 87¢ | +$56 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Politics | No | $1.7K | 93¢ | 94¢ | +$9 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $3.6K | 17¢ | 7.3¢ | -$2.0K |
 NATO dissolves before 2027?Politics | No | $1.5K | 93¢ | 98¢ | +$86 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $800 | 8.0¢ | 13¢ | +$525 |
| Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?Tech | No | $1.1K | 93¢ | 99¢ | +$63 |
 Will OpenAI announce a computer (Laptop/Desktop) in 2026?Tech | No | $1.0K | 92¢ | 96¢ | +$37 |
 Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Politics | Yes | $1.1K | 95¢ | 97¢ | +$18 |
 Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics | Yes | $1.2K | 36¢ | 32¢ | -$133 |
 Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?Soccer (other) | No | $961 | 84¢ | 89¢ | +$55 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $878 | 15¢ | 18¢ | +$114 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18?Politics | Yes | $892 | 64¢ | 71¢ | +$98 |
 Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $948 | 95¢ | 96¢ | +$7 |
 Will Syria recognize Israel by December 31?Politics | No | $900 | 90¢ | 95¢ | +$50 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 15?Politics | Yes | $924 | 91¢ | 94¢ | +$25 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by February 28, 2027?Politics | Yes | $898 | 37¢ | 39¢ | +$40 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?Politics | No | $930 | 93¢ | 93¢ | -$5 |
 Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $902 | 90¢ | 91¢ | +$3 |
 US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026?Politics | No | $874 | 87¢ | 90¢ | +$25 |
 Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?Politics | No | $900 | 90¢ | 89¢ | -$10 |
 Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?Politics | No | $824 | 82¢ | 89¢ | +$66 |
 Will Trump visit North Korea by December 31?Politics | No | $933 | 93¢ | 89¢ | -$47 |
 Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Tech | No | $815 | 91¢ | 96¢ | +$40 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?Politics | No | $774 | 70¢ | 73¢ | +$37 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Politics | No | $821 | 16¢ | 16¢ | -$46 |
| Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?Tech | No | $743 | 95¢ | 99¢ | +$31 |
 Will Iran legalize gay marriage?Politics | No | $726 | 96¢ | 98¢ | +$15 |
 Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?Politics | No | $701 | 90¢ | 95¢ | +$39 |
 Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $561 | 2.7¢ | 3.5¢ | +$145 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Politics | No | $704 | 88¢ | 88¢ | -$4 |
 Will Elon register any party before 2027?Politics | No | $597 | 82¢ | 93¢ | +$78 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $686 | 10¢ | 9.5¢ | -$62 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?Politics | No | $852 | 51¢ | 37¢ | -$238 |
 Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by December 31?Crypto | Yes | $545 | 76¢ | 86¢ | +$68 |
 Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $622 | 0.8¢ | 0.8¢ | -$39 |
 China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Politics | Yes | $555 | 28¢ | 28¢ | +$15 |
 Will Venezuela become 51st state?Politics | No | $513 | 93¢ | 98¢ | +$24 |
 Trump meets with Putin by December 31?Politics | Yes | $535 | 67¢ | 67¢ | -$6 |
 Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $1.3K | 18¢ | 7.3¢ | -$789 |
 Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?Politics | No | $501 | 95¢ | 98¢ | +$13 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2027?Politics | No | $492 | 30¢ | 31¢ | +$16 |
 Will Excelsior be relegated from the 2026-27 Eredivisie?Soccer (other) | No | $448 | 91¢ | 96¢ | +$29 |
 Will Erika Kirk announce a presidential run before 2028?Politics | No | $457 | 91¢ | 93¢ | +$7 |
| Will OpenAI announce a tablet in 2026?Tech | No | $435 | 93¢ | 97¢ | +$16 |
 Will Trump meet with Pope Leo XIV in 2026?Politics | No | $256 | 57¢ | 94¢ | +$164 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Politics | Yes | $578 | 4.5¢ | 3.3¢ | -$162 |
 Will Barack Obama announce a Presidential run before 2028?Politics | No | $396 | 95¢ | 98¢ | +$9 |
 GTA VI released by November 30?Culture | Yes | $358 | 82¢ | 93¢ | +$44 |
 Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?Politics | No | $375 | 68¢ | 73¢ | +$22 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $783 | 16¢ | 7.5¢ | -$412 |
 US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31?Politics | Yes | $370 | 35¢ | 35¢ | -$0 |
 Will MrBeast announce a Presidential run before 2028?Politics | No | $355 | 89¢ | 92¢ | +$11 |
 Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?Politics | No | $360 | 92¢ | 93¢ | +$5 |
 Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | No | $358 | 89¢ | 90¢ | +$3 |
Bought No · Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?$1824m ago
Bought No · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CT-02 House election by 20%-25%?$1617m ago
Sold Yes · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?$19825m ago
Bought No · Houthis seize an oil tanker by September 15, 2026?$2333m ago
Sold Yes · Will Andrés Eliseo Risueño Portugal win the next Arequipa mayoral elections?$01h ago
Bought No · Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?$101h ago