← Belugo Whale Watch

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?
$703K volumeYes 4.5¢No 96¢
Sharp lean: 0% Yes100% No
Share of money held by tracked sharps (top 1,000 Polymarket accounts) among this market's top holders.
Top Yes holders
4.5¢- 10xD62840CF26Fab216a46C5c9e9920487098e243c1-1761619024616$2.6K
- 20x981205e2d5d6cCA7e01D9ef248515444cDd0644f-1775695734175$643
- 3JAHBS$629
- 40x3Ac4443Fec5D95795D6857C52C0C6884C3200E8B-1773197078829$450
- 50x2FC0b4515B357e152a5a07FD7AfaCb1C496EeaC0-1760609295959$438
- 60x12406DcCf3bd2901Ff09B01Aa3717AFF60541468-1771591252042$409
- 7DemoKratic$251
- 80xd11c…e38a$217
- 9Idli$169
- 10gaugeinvariance$161
- 11gatorrSharp$158
- 12UpTight$157
- 130xe172412ca65dD142Ff035630cc2945ADeC8D248A-1764747516771$133
- 14tiger555$121
- 15charze$105
- 160xb9e9…e211$90
- 17matejbets$90
- 18dyffe$80
- 19yfaichan$75
- 200x1151a8eA57b5B25105B4F01fBd22bfd07fe7C9aB-1769285568771$71
Top 20 per side (Polymarket API limit). Values at the current price.
Top No holders
96¢- 1pershin$43K
- 2
elmcap2Sharp$40K - 3insidero$14K
- 4borchi$9.5K
- 5
MajoriT$8.1K - 6bear-bees$7.2K
- 7
CarSharp$4.9K - 80x8B4bcA1D794779E66e023D44391B2A86C5ab541B-1769764313952$4.8K
- 9
Noooooooop$3.8K - 10nashen$2.9K
- 11Loigc$2.7K
- 12cocococococo$2.3K
- 13Krass$2.3K
- 14notworthit$2.2K
- 15
Metusalem$2.1K - 160x1120302502570D77242690376e8348Fd095d5Efa-1764245970619$2.1K
- 17il1$1.9K
- 18
meowtai$1.9K - 19nofreemoney26$1.9K
- 20deTka$1.7K
Top 20 per side (Polymarket API limit). Values at the current price.
Recent big trades here
- $6,423 on No @ 95¢bear-bees7d ago
- $7,103 out of No @ 95¢
Talophex12d ago - $5,111 on No @ 95¢pershin13d ago
- $2,263 out of No @ 94¢
MouthBreather14d ago - $1,323 out of No @ 94¢
siick19d ago - $3,968 out of No @ 94¢
siick19d ago - $2,356 out of No @ 94¢NeH29d ago
- $1,335 out of No @ 95¢pada1mo ago
- $1,784 on No @ 95¢pada1mo ago
- $1,279 out of No @ 93¢
DirkDiggler671mo ago - $1,410 on No @ 94¢il12mo ago
- $1,358 out of No @ 93¢
NotTheBadWolf2mo ago - $1,213 out of Yes @ 6.0¢0x4C418Ee504704CAb2fac611eC1fDE1041b90d286-17743757047752mo ago
- $3,711 on No @ 92¢pershin2mo ago
- $1,010 on No @ 91¢0xDafd27c48807E5f5A576BD8a3854342C47A65FFb-17581251624132mo ago
- $1,643 on Yes @ 8.8¢0x4C418Ee504704CAb2fac611eC1fDE1041b90d286-17743757047752mo ago
- $1,865 out of No @ 92¢
GobiDesertCanoePro2mo ago - $1,860 on No @ 93¢
MouthBreather2mo ago - $1,380 out of No @ 92¢fgnfyjd2mo ago
- $1,104 out of No @ 92¢jiguyfesh2mo ago