← Whale Watch

elmcap2

Predicting since Apr 20231,907 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $1.2M on Politics markets since Apr 2023.

Right now: $5.8M across 2 Politics markets.

Biggest hit: +$202K on Will Biden finish his term?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsNo$2.9M50¢80¢+$1.7M
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$2.9M50¢20¢-$1.7M
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?PoliticsNo$168K88¢96¢+$14K
Trump out as President by July 31?PoliticsNo$170K99¢100¢+$1.1K
Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?NBAYes$147K99¢100¢+$520
Trump out as President before 2027?PoliticsNo$137K91¢94¢+$3.8K
Will LeBron James play for the Washington Wizards in 2026-27?NBANo$100K100¢100¢+$50
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? CultureNo$86K90¢95¢+$3.9K
Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?PoliticsNo$88K99¢100¢+$985
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?PoliticsNo$80K94¢97¢+$2.5K
New "Stranger Things" episode released by July 31? CultureNo$77K99¢100¢+$797
Will LeBron James play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27?NBANo$71K99¢100¢+$630
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?PoliticsNo$64K86¢95¢+$6.6K
China x Japan military clash before 2027?PoliticsNo$59K93¢93¢-$12
Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?NBANo$53K99¢100¢+$335
Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Clippers in 2026-27?NBANo$50K100¢100¢+$25
Will LeBron James play for the Dallas Mavericks in 2026-27?NBANo$50K100¢100¢+$25
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?PoliticsNo$50K99¢99¢+$50
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$38K91¢95¢+$1.6K
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?PoliticsYes$30K93¢96¢+$938
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?PoliticsNo$23K89¢97¢+$2.1K
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?PoliticsYes$24K50¢50¢+$83
Will OpenAI IPO by July 31 2026?TechNo$14K98¢100¢+$232
Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026?CryptoNo$13K94¢97¢+$531
Will LeBron James play for the New York Knicks in 2026-27?NBANo$11K99¢100¢+$94
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?PoliticsYes$9.7K88¢92¢+$418
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?PoliticsNo$10.0K94¢95¢+$102
Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$8.9K89¢93¢+$448
Will OpenAI IPO by August 31 2026?TechNo$7.9K97¢99¢+$147
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?PoliticsNo$7.1K95¢96¢+$54
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$5.4K85¢91¢+$408
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?CryptoNo$5.0K50¢54¢+$350
Major CEX insolvent in 2026?CryptoNo$4.7K90¢95¢+$234
Will Pete Hegseth sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?PoliticsNo$4.5K98¢99¢+$40
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?PoliticsYes$3.8K51¢57¢+$488
Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026?CryptoNo$4.3K95¢95¢-$15
Will Anthropic IPO by July 31, 2026?FinanceNo$3.9K98¢100¢+$63
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31?TechNo$3.4K86¢90¢+$179
Will Dreamcash launch a token by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$3.3K88¢92¢+$157
US takes Panama Canal before 2027?PoliticsNo$2.7K90¢96¢+$182
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $500B by December 31?TechNo$2.6K91¢91¢-$11
Will GameStop acquire eBay?FinanceYes$2.7K13¢13¢-$104
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$2.3K80¢87¢+$209
Will OpenSea launch a token by September 30, 2026?CryptoNo$2.3K90¢97¢+$168
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31?TechNo$2.3K93¢93¢-$13
Will Trump pardon Do Kwon before 2027?PoliticsNo$2.0K94¢97¢+$70
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?CryptoNo$2.0K93¢96¢+$54
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsNo$2.0K100¢100¢+$1
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?PoliticsNo$1.8K86¢97¢+$222
Will Greece send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$2.0K98¢100¢+$22
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1.8K92¢96¢+$60
Will Tim Walz resign by July 31?PoliticsNo$1.8K99¢100¢+$20
Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1.7K98¢100¢+$19
Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1.7K98¢99¢+$17
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?CryptoNo$1.6K90¢94¢+$76
Will Tempo launch a token by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$1.7K93¢94¢+$9
Will Unit launch a token by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$1.5K92¢97¢+$84
Will King Abdullah II sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?PoliticsNo$1.6K99¢99¢+$10
Trump meets with Mojtaba Khamenei by July 31?PoliticsNo$1.5K99¢100¢+$18
Will LeBron James play for the Denver Nuggets in 2026-27?NBANo$1.4K100¢100¢+$1
Base FDV above $500M one day after launch?CryptoYes$1.4K65¢64¢-$27
Trump out as President before GTA VI?PoliticsYes$1.2K49¢50¢+$12
Trump out as President before GTA VI?PoliticsNo$1.1K49¢51¢+$35
Waymo IPO before 2027?TechNo$85980¢97¢+$175
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$97598¢99¢+$17
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?PoliticsNo$93093¢95¢+$15
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?TechNo$80080¢82¢+$22
Will Trump pardon Himself before 2027?PoliticsNo$69193¢94¢+$10
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$65987¢88¢+$8
Will Mohamed bin Zayed Al Nahyan sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?PoliticsNo$63399¢99¢+$2
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?PoliticsNo$59592¢97¢+$32
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2027?CryptoYes$51051¢50¢-$10
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2027?CryptoYes$48664¢66¢+$13
Will Australia send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$49599¢100¢+$3
Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$39390¢93¢+$14
Will Dreamcash launch a token by September 30, 2026?CryptoNo$28895¢97¢+$7
Record crypto liquidation in 2026?CryptoNo$23690¢93¢+$8
Obama arrested before 2027?PoliticsNo$18993¢97¢+$8
Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$16575¢83¢+$18
Will Kanye West and Bianca Censori separate in 2026?CultureNo$16484¢88¢+$8
Anduril Industries IPO before 2027?TechNo$14282¢92¢+$17
Will Ventuals launch a token by September 30 2026?CryptoNo$14396¢99¢+$4
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?PoliticsNo$6989¢95¢+$4
Will Hyperliquid introduce KYC by September 30, 2026?CryptoNo$6792¢95¢+$2
US national Ethereum reserve before 2027?PoliticsNo$5693¢96¢+$2
Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?PoliticsNo$5292¢93¢+$1
Will Trump repeal Presidential term limits in 2026?PoliticsNo$4991¢95¢+$2
Will Hyperliquid introduce KYC by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$4289¢93¢+$2
UFC Fight Night: Ramazan Temirov vs. Steve Erceg (Flyweight, Main Card)UFC / MMASteve ErcegResolved$2.4K49¢0.0¢-$2.4K

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Politics+$1.2M
Culture+$60K
NFL-$56K
Crypto+$44K
Tech+$15K
Boxing-$7.9K
NBA+$4.0K
Mentions+$1.9K
Finance+$1.6K
Economy+$1.2K
Basketball (other)+$900
UFC / MMA-$863
Biggest hit
+$202K
Will Biden finish his term?
Toughest beat
-$47K
Will Lamar Jackson win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?

Recent moves

  • Bought No · Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$293m ago
  • Bought Yes · Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?$18m ago
  • Bought Yes · Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?$214m ago
  • Bought Yes · Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?$215m ago
  • Bought Yes · Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?$217m ago
  • Bought No · Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$4361h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?$21h ago
  • Bought No · Will LeBron James play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27?$4541h ago
  • Bought No · Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$1.6K1h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?$472h ago
  • Bought No · Will LeBron James play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27?$1.9K2h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?$233h ago