Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $2.0K | 92¢ | 98¢ | +$124 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | No | $2.1K | 81¢ | 85¢ | +$83 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $1.5K | 37¢ | 22¢ | -$617 |
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $639 | 89¢ | 95¢ | +$43 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $830 | 75¢ | 58¢ | -$191 |
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | No | $656 | 84¢ | 81¢ | -$27 |
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?Finance | No | $397 | 84¢ | 99¢ | +$74 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics | Yes | $1.1K | 37¢ | 16¢ | -$659 |
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $304 | 76¢ | 94¢ | +$70 |
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?Politics | No | $347 | 87¢ | 86¢ | -$3 |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Tech | No | $264 | 30¢ | 37¢ | +$62 |
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $248 | 1.2¢ | 1.6¢ | +$62 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $489 | 61¢ | 32¢ | -$237 |
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Politics | No | $240 | 80¢ | 78¢ | -$8 |
Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 10,000 in 2026?Finance | No | $183 | 50¢ | 60¢ | +$33 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?Economy | Yes | $182 | 91¢ | 96¢ | +$9 |
Will GameStop acquire eBay?Finance | No | $169 | 84¢ | 93¢ | +$16 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Economy | No | $142 | 24¢ | 28¢ | +$29 |
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Weather | No | $155 | 96¢ | 97¢ | +$1 |
Iran Nuke before 2027?Politics | No | $135 | 90¢ | 96¢ | +$8 |
Fed rate hike in 2026?Economy | No | $282 | 44¢ | 21¢ | -$150 |
Kash Patel out by December 31?Politics | Yes | $192 | 38¢ | 23¢ | -$79 |
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | No | $408 | 26¢ | 6.9¢ | -$298 |
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?Politics | Yes | $117 | 9.7¢ | 8.5¢ | -$15 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $28 | 28¢ | 94¢ | +$66 |
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $206 | 1.1¢ | 0.4¢ | -$125 |
Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026?Politics | No | $65 | 86¢ | 93¢ | +$5 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $43 | 8.8¢ | 14¢ | +$23 |
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?Politics | Yes | $105 | 35¢ | 21¢ | -$44 |
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?Politics | Yes | $54 | 11¢ | 13¢ | +$8 |
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Economy | Yes | $92 | 9.4¢ | 5.5¢ | -$38 |
Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $49 | 97¢ | 99¢ | +$1 |
Clavicular and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez confirm relationship in 2026?Culture | No | $49 | 98¢ | 98¢ | -$0 |
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $87 | 0.5¢ | 0.3¢ | -$46 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $104 | 26¢ | 9.5¢ | -$66 |
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a Presidential run before 2027?Politics | No | $33 | 91¢ | 93¢ | +$1 |
Will Tucker Carlson announce a presidential run before 2028?Politics | No | $31 | 77¢ | 75¢ | -$1 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Politics | Yes | $411 | 27¢ | 1.5¢ | -$389 |
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?Politics | Yes | $84 | 41¢ | 11¢ | -$61 |
OpenAI IPO before 2027?Tech | Yes | $97 | 43¢ | 9.5¢ | -$76 |
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?Economy | No | $20 | 86¢ | 90¢ | +$1 |
Will Gretchen Whitmer announce a Presidential run before 2027?Politics | No | $18 | 89¢ | 96¢ | +$1 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $51 | 1.0¢ | 0.4¢ | -$33 |
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.4m barrels per day in 2026?Politics | Yes | $21 | 9.7¢ | 8.0¢ | -$4 |
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Economy | Yes | $22 | 0.8¢ | 0.6¢ | -$5 |
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?Politics | Yes | $13 | 2.2¢ | 2.6¢ | +$2 |
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?Politics | Yes | $25 | 25¢ | 15¢ | -$10 |
SEC removes quarterly reporting requirement?Economy | Yes | $9 | 13¢ | 21¢ | +$6 |
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $20 | 2.5¢ | 1.1¢ | -$12 |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Politics | Yes | $11 | 15¢ | 8.8¢ | -$5 |
UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026?Politics | No | $5 | 95¢ | 96¢ | +$0 |
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Politics | No | $4 | 81¢ | 82¢ | +$0 |
Canva IPO before 2027?Tech | Yes | $38 | 29¢ | 3.0¢ | -$34 |
Will Donald Trump visit Venezuela in 2026?Politics | Yes | $12 | 23¢ | 7.5¢ | -$8 |
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $8 | 0.2¢ | 0.1¢ | -$6 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?Politics | Yes | $70 | 14¢ | 0.4¢ | -$68 |
Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 2026?Economy | Down | $2 | 11¢ | 9.0¢ | -$0 |
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $1 | 0.4¢ | 0.4¢ | +$0 |
Will J.D. Vance be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?Politics | Yes | $1 | 6.0¢ | 7.0¢ | +$0 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Politics | YesResolved | $822 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$822 |
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?Culture | NoResolved | $69 | 69¢ | 0.0¢ | -$69 |
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?Politics | YesResolved | $8 | 1.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $22 | 2.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$22 |
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Politics | NoResolved | $175 | 58¢ | 0.0¢ | -$175 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 14, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $87 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$87 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $99 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$99 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?Politics | YesResolved | $26 | 2.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$26 |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?Politics | NoResolved | $3 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $186 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$186 |
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August?Crypto | NoResolved | $88 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$88 |
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15?Politics | YesResolved | $231 | 29¢ | 0.0¢ | -$231 |
Will the US add between 50k and 100k jobs in August?Economy | YesResolved | $52 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$52 |
Will Mark Sanford be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Politics | YesResolved | $12 | 2.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?Politics | YesResolved | $31 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$31 |