← Whale Watch

Metusalem

Predicting since Jun 2025896 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $3.7K on Politics markets since Jun 2025.

Right now: $2.0K riding on Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?.

Biggest hit: +$1.4K on Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$2.0K92¢95¢+$47
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsNo$1.8K82¢81¢-$34
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$1.3K42¢36¢-$191
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?PoliticsNo$83876¢74¢-$24
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?EconomyYes$70780¢79¢-$8
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?PoliticsYes$66856¢56¢+$10
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$63989¢91¢+$14
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsNo$61388¢83¢-$34
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?PoliticsYes$65719¢16¢-$114
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?PoliticsYes$32631¢43¢+$135
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?PoliticsYes$5254.2¢3.6¢-$69
Fed rate hike in 2026?EconomyNo$70250¢33¢-$247
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?FinanceNo$14833¢99¢+$299
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?PoliticsYes$37281¢78¢-$18
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$30476¢88¢+$46
Will Dan Bilzerian be the Republican nominee for FL-06?PoliticsNo$27782¢99¢+$57
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$36782¢72¢-$46
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?PoliticsNo$27677¢88¢+$39
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?PoliticsYes$3419.7¢8.5¢-$41
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$3101.2¢1.1¢-$22
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?PoliticsYes$58123¢12¢-$295
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?PoliticsNo$25356¢63¢+$28
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?PoliticsNo$27692¢93¢+$2
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?PoliticsNo$44168¢40¢-$183
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?EconomyNo$40826¢15¢-$162
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$15360¢92¢+$79
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?TechNo$18731¢37¢+$32
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?PoliticsYes$25935¢28¢-$49
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?PoliticsYes$19073¢79¢+$16
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$18492¢99¢+$15
Iran leadership change by July 31?PoliticsNo$19095¢99¢+$8
Will GameStop acquire eBay?FinanceNo$16984¢88¢+$6
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$14874¢83¢+$18
Kash Patel out by December 31?PoliticsYes$19238¢31¢-$37
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?PoliticsNo$10570¢98¢+$42
Iran Nuke before 2027?PoliticsNo$13590¢95¢+$7
Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 10,000 in 2026?FinanceNo$18350¢36¢-$52
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?PoliticsYes$21035¢22¢-$81
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?PoliticsYes$10739¢47¢+$21
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?PoliticsYes$1179.7¢11¢+$9
Mohammed Ghalibaf out as Speaker of Iran Parliament by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$9193¢98¢+$5
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsNo$8874¢73¢-$1
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$730.8¢0.9¢+$5
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$7516¢17¢+$0
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$10426¢19¢-$30
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?EconomyYes$870.5¢0.4¢-$14
Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026?PoliticsNo$6586¢94¢+$6
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?PoliticsNo$11576¢47¢-$44
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?PoliticsYes$8342¢34¢-$15
Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026?CultureNo$6190¢97¢+$5
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?PoliticsYes$6611¢11¢-$3
OpenAI IPO before 2027?TechYes$9743¢21¢-$51
Will Drake be the top artist for 2026?CultureNo$4488¢88¢+$0
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?PoliticsYes$2626¢34¢+$8
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.4m barrels per day in 2026?PoliticsYes$309.7¢10¢+$1
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in July?CryptoYes$827.2¢2.3¢-$56
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?PoliticsYes$77221¢0.7¢-$748
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?PoliticsYes$2315¢16¢+$1
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?PoliticsYes$2525¢22¢-$3
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?PoliticsYes$316.0¢4.0¢-$10
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?EconomyNo$2086¢88¢+$0
US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?PoliticsYes$5920¢6.0¢-$41
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?PoliticsYes$9945¢6.5¢-$85
SEC removes quarterly reporting requirement?EconomyYes$913¢17¢+$2
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 7, 2026?PoliticsYes$8591¢10¢-$75
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?PoliticsYes$292.4¢0.7¢-$20
Canva IPO before 2027?TechYes$3829¢4.5¢-$32
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by July 31?PoliticsYes$25214¢0.3¢-$247
UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026?PoliticsNo$595¢96¢+$0
Will Donald Trump visit Venezuela in 2026?PoliticsYes$1223¢9.5¢-$7
Will Jordan Wood be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?PoliticsYes$160.7¢0.1¢-$13
Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?EconomyDown$19.0¢24¢+$1
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$27411¢0.0¢-$274
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?CryptoNoResolved$7318¢0.0¢-$73
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?PoliticsNoResolved$98835¢0.0¢-$988
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$2222¢0.0¢-$22
US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$262.4¢0.0¢-$26
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 16, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$8989¢0.0¢-$89
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 28, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$39.0¢0.0¢-$3
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$3656.6¢0.0¢-$365
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 July 6-12?CryptoYesResolved$13313¢0.0¢-$133
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in June?FinanceYesResolved$13.2¢0.0¢-$1
Will "Worst Neighbor Ever" be the top US Netflix show this week?CultureNoResolved$319¢0.0¢-$3
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$973.1¢0.0¢-$97
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 9, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$2991¢0.0¢-$29
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1487¢0.0¢-$14
Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in June 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$5546¢0.0¢-$55
World Cup: Most Player Goals Record Broken?World CupYesResolved$816.4¢0.0¢-$81
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$2726.8¢0.0¢-$272
Iran full airspace closure by July 15?PoliticsYesResolved$1616.3¢0.0¢-$161
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 12, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$108.9¢0.0¢-$10
Will Sabrina Carpenter perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?World CupYesResolved$1121¢0.0¢-$11
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?PoliticsNoResolved$46256¢0.0¢-$462
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$2295.2¢0.0¢-$229
Will USA reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$20852¢0.0¢-$208
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$10.1¢0.0¢-$1
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?FinanceYesResolved$3164.6¢0.0¢-$316
Will England reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupNoResolved$13846¢0.0¢-$138
Starmer out by June 22, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$1919¢0.0¢-$19
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 184m?CultureYesResolved$4816¢0.0¢-$48

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Politics+$3.7K
Crypto-$2.5K
Tech-$2.2K
World Cup-$933
NFL+$380
Economy-$337
Mentions-$133
Culture-$108
Finance-$10
Other sports+$10
Boxing+$4
Biggest hit
+$1.4K
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Toughest beat
-$4.3K
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?

Recent moves

  • Sold Yes · Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$1592h ago
  • Bought No · Israel closes its airspace by July 31?$2762h ago
  • Sold No · US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?$813h ago
  • MERGE US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?$1253h ago
  • Bought Yes · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$26h ago
  • Bought Yes · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$36h ago
  • Bought Yes · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$26h ago
  • Sold Yes · Israel closes its airspace by July 31?$138h ago
  • Sold Yes · Israel closes its airspace by July 31?$08h ago
  • Sold Yes · Israel closes its airspace by July 31?$08h ago
  • Sold Yes · Israel closes its airspace by July 31?$18h ago
  • Sold Yes · Israel closes its airspace by July 31?$418h ago