← Whale Watch

Talophex

Predicting since Nov 20201,273 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $5.5K on Politics markets since Nov 2020.

Right now: $23K across 3 Politics markets.

Biggest hit: +$2.9K on Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on July 31, 2021?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
Loading…

Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
US military draft authorized in 2026?PoliticsNo$15K93¢96¢+$469
US charges Hormuz fees by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$10.0K96¢100¢+$325
US charges Hormuz fees by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$9.4K93¢98¢+$428
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?PoliticsNo$7.9K98¢99¢+$29
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?PoliticsNo$6.3K97¢97¢-$1
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?PoliticsNo$5.8K96¢94¢-$143
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?PoliticsNo$5.1K91¢95¢+$207
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?PoliticsNo$4.8K96¢97¢+$53
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?PoliticsNo$4.4K88¢95¢+$336
Iran nuclear test before 2027?PoliticsNo$4.5K93¢94¢+$39
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$4.4K93¢94¢+$14
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$4.1K88¢88¢-$1
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?FinanceNo$3.5K91¢91¢-$23
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?PoliticsNo$3.6K96¢94¢-$75
New pandemic in 2026?PoliticsNo$3.3K92¢94¢+$39
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December?FinanceNo$3.2K94¢95¢+$17
US charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$3.2K89¢90¢+$1
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?PoliticsNo$3.3K91¢87¢-$144
Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$2.8K93¢95¢+$45
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$2.7K94¢94¢+$20
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in July?FinanceNo$2.5K99¢100¢+$14
Will 100 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$2.5K99¢99¢-$10
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsNo$2.6K87¢80¢-$215
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$2.3K92¢93¢+$12
Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?PoliticsNo$2.3K94¢92¢-$60
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in July?FinanceNo$2.1K99¢100¢+$12
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by July 31? PoliticsNo$2.0K99¢100¢+$17
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?PoliticsNo$1.8K89¢95¢+$110
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?PoliticsNo$1.7K86¢88¢+$30
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by July 31?PoliticsNo$1.5K97¢100¢+$34
Will Ethereum reach $2,500 in July?CryptoNo$1.5K98¢100¢+$26
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?PoliticsNo$1.4K90¢92¢+$23
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsNo$1.2K99¢99¢-$1
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsNo$1.2K100¢100¢+$0
Trump out as President by July 31?PoliticsNo$1.0K100¢100¢+$1
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in July?CryptoNo$98298¢100¢+$13
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in July?CryptoNo$823100¢100¢+$2
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?FinanceNo$79199¢99¢+$5
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in July?FinanceNo$58898¢99¢+$6
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in July?CryptoNo$499100¢100¢+$1
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?PoliticsNo$49599¢99¢+$2
Iran invades Kuwait by July 31?PoliticsNo$49298¢99¢+$4
Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?PoliticsNo$48196¢97¢+$2
Trump out as President before 2027?PoliticsNo$46491¢94¢+$11
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?TechNo$39078¢93¢+$73
H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?PoliticsNo$44589¢92¢+$13
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$45090¢91¢+$3
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in July?FinanceNo$43498¢99¢+$4
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?PoliticsYes$41583¢87¢+$18
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in July?FinanceNo$39799¢100¢+$2
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$36594¢95¢+$2
Hormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?PoliticsNo$34498¢99¢+$4
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?TechNo$33392¢95¢+$8
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?FinanceNo$33098¢97¢-$5
Will Ethereum reach $2,750 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$36381¢67¢-$62
Hengam Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?PoliticsNo$29799¢99¢-$1
Abu Musa Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?PoliticsNo$28593¢95¢+$6
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $465 in July?FinanceNo$27692¢95¢+$8
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?FinanceNo$28896¢93¢-$8
Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?TechYes$27993¢91¢-$8
Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?PoliticsNo$24598¢100¢+$4
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $70 in July?FinanceNo$24899¢99¢+$0
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?TechNo$23494¢95¢+$4
Iran Nuke before 2027?PoliticsNo$23193¢95¢+$6
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$23092¢94¢+$4
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?PoliticsNo$21586¢93¢+$16
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$17994¢95¢+$1
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsNo$17181¢83¢+$3
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?PoliticsNo$14573¢77¢+$8
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in July?CryptoNo$14399¢100¢+$1
Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 5, 2026?PoliticsNo$10686¢86¢+$1
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$10197¢99¢+$2
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsNo$10973¢69¢-$6
US strike on Cuba by December 31?PoliticsNo$9664¢68¢+$5
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $45 in July?FinanceNo$9898¢100¢+$2
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$9999¢100¢+$1
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$9797¢99¢+$3
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $400 in July?FinanceNo$9999¢99¢-$0
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$7348¢62¢+$21
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?PoliticsNo$8780¢86¢+$6
Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?WeatherNo$8989¢88¢-$1
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?EconomyYes$8484¢85¢+$1
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?PoliticsNo$9293¢73¢-$19
Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 25, 2026?PoliticsNo$6786¢86¢-$0
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $410 in July?FinanceNo$4779¢99¢+$12
Taylor Swift pregnant before 2027?CultureNo$4582¢90¢+$4
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?PoliticsNo$4387¢97¢+$5
Hormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?PoliticsNo$4897¢95¢-$1
Will Uber ask Travis Kalanick back by June 30, 2027?TechNo$4097¢94¢-$1
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 31?PoliticsNo$4182¢69¢-$7
Greater Tunb Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?PoliticsNo$3190¢94¢+$2
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?PoliticsNo$2795¢97¢+$0
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$2197¢99¢+$0
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?FinanceYes$7373¢19¢-$54
U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by December 31?PoliticsNo$1387¢88¢+$0
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?PoliticsNo$287¢97¢+$0
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?PoliticsYes$515¢8.5¢-$2
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?PoliticsYes$221¢14¢-$1
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?PoliticsNo$194¢96¢+$0
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?PoliticsYesResolved$1786¢0.0¢-$17

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Politics+$5.5K
Other+$389
NFL-$296
Tech-$291
Finance-$278
Crypto-$266
Boxing-$223
Other sports+$95
Economy-$91
Culture+$57
College Hoops+$3
College Football+$1
Biggest hit
+$2.9K
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on July 31, 2021?
Toughest beat
-$5.6K
Will the United States report a record high 7-day COVID-19 case average before January 1, 2022?

Recent moves

  • Bought No · Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?$3317m ago
  • Bought No · Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?$25651m ago
  • Bought No · Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?$1601h ago
  • Bought No · Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?$301h ago
  • Bought No · Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?$782h ago
  • Bought No · Hengam Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?$1002h ago
  • Bought No · Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in July?$294h ago
  • Bought No · US charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026?$1775h ago
  • Bought No · Will 100 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?$4976h ago
  • Bought No · Will 100 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?$4976h ago
  • Sold No · Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?$9408h ago
  • Sold No · Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?$9408h ago