← Belugo Whale Watch

Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?
$342K volumeYes 5.5¢No 95¢
Sharp lean: 8% Yes92% No
Share of money held by tracked sharps (top 1,000 Polymarket accounts) among this market's top holders.
Top Yes holders
5.5¢- 1vsesoso$3.6K
- 2whysoslow$1.6K
- 3gatorrSharp$1.2K
- 4
cataction$605 - 5
EternalDecay$571 - 6
meagainsttheworld$476 - 70x63767Dc16D7703f58B486Da998567c1693A3F5A1-1774313888289$403
- 8
UniversalCarrier$272 - 9
knrad$190 - 10lorasw$157
- 11e.tensor$149
- 120xff7c…b233$134
- 130xA4C8e06a8aaAa459D22158640915761e091BB0ec-1770985522535$110
- 14
Poopek$107 - 15oovoov$100
- 16petryshakm$92
- 17Dimir$73
- 18Esipovich$61
- 19
Odinsdottir$55 - 200x869Aa17ACb1Fb23CAC2e4ccaed589AE3aD82bd64-1774802364653$55
Top 20 per side (Polymarket API limit). Values at the current price.
Top No holders
95¢- 1gorovi$31K
- 2
DFK$30K - 3keribit$28K
- 4kevtp$26K
- 50xE1203cDbA824c2516e3e6b46db7a87b83811283E-1771971814057$15K
- 6whigSharp$14K
- 7
Aq4ExePrd22Jn$5.7K - 8
xset$4.7K - 9
Bromley86$3.8K - 10
DegenerateJanet$2.9K - 11feffefe$2.8K
- 12
i400$2.4K - 13
DEGENKHAN$2.0K - 14
ABALOSPRESOPOLITICO$1.9K - 15
Talophex$1.9K - 16Elias.Thornwell$958
- 17il1$945
- 18
Ahpo$945 - 19HotDogs$855
- 20clumsyderpino$582
Top 20 per side (Polymarket API limit). Values at the current price.
Recent big trades here
- $4,696 on No @ 94¢kevtp5d ago
- $1,003 out of No @ 93¢
DEGENKHAN18d ago - $4,750 on No @ 95¢0xE1203cDbA824c2516e3e6b46db7a87b83811283E-177197181405729d ago
- $9,500 on No @ 95¢0xE1203cDbA824c2516e3e6b46db7a87b83811283E-17719718140571mo ago
- $1,470 on Yes @ 7.0¢gatorr1mo ago
- $1,880 on No @ 94¢
DegenerateJanet1mo ago - $4,650 on No @ 93¢keribit1mo ago
- $1,860 on No @ 93¢
DFK1mo ago - $1,395 on No @ 93¢
i4001mo ago - $2,000 on No @ 93¢gorovi1mo ago
- $10,000 on No @ 93¢gorovi1mo ago
- $1,922 on No @ 94¢gorovi1mo ago
- $1,925 on No @ 93¢gorovi1mo ago
- $1,930 on No @ 93¢gorovi1mo ago
- $1,924 on No @ 93¢gorovi1mo ago
- $3,000 on No @ 95¢gorovi2mo ago
- $3,900 on No @ 95¢gorovi2mo ago
- $2,924 on No @ 94¢gorovi2mo ago
- $2,300 on No @ 92¢
Aq4ExePrd22Jn2mo ago