← Whale Watch

lorasw

Predicting since Jun 2026180 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $3.0K on Politics markets since Jun 2026.

Right now: $1.0K riding on Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?.

Biggest hit: +$2.1K on US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?PoliticsNo$56014¢42¢+$1.1K
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsYes$1.0K29¢20¢-$332
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$43644¢38¢-$61
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$1057.0¢17¢+$155
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?PoliticsNo$30467¢56¢-$52
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$14719¢28¢+$69
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?PoliticsNo$28441¢27¢-$98
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?PoliticsYes$20813¢12¢-$24
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$15652¢55¢+$8
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$1081.8¢1.6¢-$15
US x China tariff agreement by December 31?PoliticsNo$699.2¢12¢+$18
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsNo$307.6¢17¢+$39
SlingshotDAO FDV above $200M one day after launch?CryptoNo$5273¢81¢+$5
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?PoliticsYes$361.8¢2.8¢+$19
SlingshotDAO FDV above $20M one day after launch?CryptoYes$7580¢57¢-$21
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?PoliticsYes$507.4¢4.8¢-$17
UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026?PoliticsYes$233.9¢4.3¢+$2
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$240.8¢0.7¢-$5
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?PoliticsYes$642.4¢0.7¢-$45
GTA VI released before November 2026?CultureYes$13242¢3.0¢-$122
Will ANSEM flip PUMP by December 31, 2027?CryptoYes$1116¢13¢-$2
SlingshotDAO FDV above $100M one day after launch?CryptoYes$2034¢14¢-$12
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?EconomyNo$446¢84¢+$3
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$56.2¢8.3¢+$2
Greece x Turkey military engagement by December 31?PoliticsYes$44.3¢2.8¢-$2
Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?PoliticsYes$4534¢1.1¢-$43
Spread: Mexico (-2.5)World CupMexicoResolved$620¢0.0¢-$6
Will Databricks' valuation hit (LOW) $140B by June 30?TechYesResolved$00.9¢0.0¢-$0
Starmer out by June 26, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$3919¢0.0¢-$39
Will Aryna Sabalenka advance to the Final in Ladies' Singles at Wimbledon 2026?TennisYesResolved$9364¢0.0¢-$93
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?PoliticsYesResolved$7621¢0.0¢-$76
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?PoliticsNoResolved$93.0¢0.0¢-$9
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$2070.6¢0.0¢-$207
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$26517¢0.0¢-$265
Iran successfully targets shipping by June 27?PoliticsNoResolved$19232¢0.0¢-$192
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 21, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1927.3¢0.0¢-$192
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$11731¢0.0¢-$117
Will MrBeast attend UFC Freedom 250?UFC / MMAYesResolved$234.4¢0.0¢-$23
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States?PoliticsYesResolved$10.2¢0.0¢-$1
Will Lionel Messi attend UFC Freedom 250?UFC / MMAYesResolved$01.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$15811¢0.0¢-$158
Will Chris Rock attend UFC Freedom 250?UFC / MMAYesResolved$01.2¢0.0¢-$0
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)UFC / MMAConor McGregorResolved$1135¢0.0¢-$11
Will Anne Hathaway attend UFC Freedom 250?UFC / MMAYesResolved$12.4¢0.0¢-$1
Wimbledon ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Flavio CobolliTennisKaren KhachanovResolved$1155¢0.0¢-$11
Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles?Other sportsYesResolved$618¢0.0¢-$6
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the UAE?PoliticsYesResolved$00.1¢0.0¢-$0
Will Hasbulla attend UFC Freedom 250?UFC / MMAYesResolved$23.0¢0.0¢-$2
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$17512¢0.0¢-$175
Will Drake attend UFC Freedom 250?UFC / MMAYesResolved$1114¢0.0¢-$11
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Italy?PoliticsYesResolved$10.3¢0.0¢-$1
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 30-July 6?CryptoYesResolved$808.0¢0.0¢-$80
Will Jimmy Fallon attend UFC Freedom 250?UFC / MMAYesResolved$02.8¢0.0¢-$0
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Argentina?World CupYesResolved$56.0¢0.0¢-$5
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$322.3¢0.0¢-$32
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 23-29?CryptoYesResolved$10812¢0.0¢-$108
Will Fermín López score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$40.8¢0.0¢-$4
Wimbledon 2026: Will a Qualifier Reach the Round of 16?TennisNoResolved$1048¢0.0¢-$10
Will no listed leader be out before 2027?PoliticsYesResolved$20.1¢0.0¢-$2
Will Jon Stewart attend UFC Freedom 250?UFC / MMAYesResolved$11.6¢0.0¢-$1
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$480.8¢0.0¢-$48
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country?PoliticsYesResolved$10.2¢0.0¢-$1
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?PoliticsYesResolved$23916¢0.0¢-$239
Will JD Vance attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?PoliticsYesResolved$4031¢0.0¢-$40
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Kazakhstan?PoliticsYesResolved$00.1¢0.0¢-$0
Will N'Golo Kanté score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$715¢0.0¢-$7
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?PoliticsYesResolved$41.1¢0.0¢-$4
Will Sabrina Carpenter attend UFC Freedom 250?UFC / MMAYesResolved$74.0¢0.0¢-$7
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country?PoliticsYesResolved$92.4¢0.0¢-$9
MLP San Diego: California Black Bears vs Columbus SlidersOther sportsCalifornia Black BearsResolved$15.9¢0.0¢-$1
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1163.9¢0.0¢-$116
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$98.3¢0.0¢-$9
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?World CupYesResolved$53.3¢0.0¢-$5
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iran?PoliticsYesResolved$00.1¢0.0¢-$0
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on July 15?PoliticsNoResolved$82.3¢0.0¢-$8
Will Selena Gomez attend UFC Freedom 250?UFC / MMAYesResolved$12.6¢0.0¢-$1
Will Microstrategy announce selling any Bitcoin July 7-13?CryptoYesResolved$5313¢0.0¢-$53
Will Sydney Sweeney attend UFC Freedom 250?UFC / MMAYesResolved$25.9¢0.0¢-$2
France vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5World CupUnderResolved$349¢0.0¢-$3
Will Bad Bunny attend UFC Freedom 250?UFC / MMAYesResolved$50.9¢0.0¢-$5
Will Lady Gaga attend UFC Freedom 250?UFC / MMAYesResolved$01.4¢0.0¢-$0
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$280.5¢0.0¢-$28
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another Middle East/North Africa country?PoliticsYesResolved$20.5¢0.0¢-$2
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iraq?PoliticsYesResolved$00.1¢0.0¢-$0
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?PoliticsYesResolved$10.4¢0.0¢-$1
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$5839¢0.0¢-$58
Will Larry David attend UFC Freedom 250?UFC / MMAYesResolved$21.4¢0.0¢-$2
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Turkey?PoliticsYesResolved$20.4¢0.0¢-$2
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase July 7-13?CryptoYesResolved$10525¢0.0¢-$105
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?TechYesResolved$550¢0.0¢-$5
Will Elon Musk attend UFC Freedom 250?UFC / MMAYesResolved$1314¢0.0¢-$13
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?PoliticsNoResolved$3060¢0.0¢-$30
Will Alicia Keys attend UFC Freedom 250?UFC / MMAYesResolved$10.9¢0.0¢-$1
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$287.0¢0.0¢-$28
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Saudi Arabia?PoliticsYesResolved$00.1¢0.0¢-$0
Will Jake Paul attend UFC Freedom 250?UFC / MMAYesResolved$1913¢0.0¢-$19
Will LAB reach $18 before 2027?CryptoNoResolved$1938¢0.0¢-$19
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Russia?PoliticsYesResolved$00.1¢0.0¢-$0
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$134.3¢0.0¢-$13
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria?PoliticsYesResolved$102.7¢0.0¢-$10

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$3.0K
World Cup+$282
Crypto-$278
Tennis+$136
UFC / MMA-$106
Culture-$105
Tech+$30
NBA-$22
Other sports-$7
Economy+$5
Biggest hit
+$2.1K
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Toughest beat
-$87
Will Marta Kostyuk be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$4351d ago
  • Sold No · US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?$9501d ago
  • Bought Yes · NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?$1022d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$1502d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$1503d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$83d ago
  • Sold No · Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?$663d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$173d ago
  • Bought No · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$325d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$1075d ago
  • Sold No · Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?$1356d ago
  • Bought No · US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?$1566d ago