 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | No | $4.0K | 50¢ | 80¢ | +$2.4K |
 Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?Politics | Yes | $4.8K | 94¢ | 99¢ | +$222 |
 Will Thorsten Frei be the next leader of the German Union (CDU/CSU)?Politics | Yes | $4.0K | 97¢ | 98¢ | +$59 |
 Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?Politics | Yes | $3.7K | 95¢ | 96¢ | +$23 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?Politics | No | $3.6K | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$43 |
 Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?Politics | No | $1.8K | 93¢ | 96¢ | +$49 |
| Will Bev Craig win the greatest number of valid first preference votes in the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?Politics | Yes | $1.5K | 87¢ | 96¢ | +$160 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $4.0K | 50¢ | 20¢ | -$2.4K |
 Will Hakainde Hichilema win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?Politics | Yes | $1.2K | 88¢ | 89¢ | +$7 |
 Will Jair Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?Politics | No | $1.0K | 97¢ | 99¢ | +$14 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics | Yes | $1.2K | 69¢ | 57¢ | -$200 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $607 | 44¢ | 63¢ | +$254 |
| Will Jorginho Mello win the Governor of Santa Catarina election?Politics | Yes | $692 | 89¢ | 89¢ | -$4 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $896 | 31¢ | 24¢ | -$220 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $734 | 64¢ | 56¢ | -$89 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $581 | 83¢ | 86¢ | +$18 |
 Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?Politics | Yes | $466 | 59¢ | 71¢ | +$94 |
 Macron out by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $512 | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$2 |
 Will Sian Astley win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?Politics | No | $467 | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$23 |
 Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?Politics | Yes | $485 | 97¢ | 96¢ | -$7 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Politics | No | $470 | 86¢ | 84¢ | -$15 |
 Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $372 | 74¢ | 90¢ | +$76 |
 Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Politics | Yes | $403 | 34¢ | 33¢ | -$12 |
 Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?Politics | No | $382 | 96¢ | 97¢ | +$7 |
 Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?Soccer (other) | No | $360 | 80¢ | 81¢ | +$5 |
 Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?Politics | No | $335 | 82¢ | 89¢ | +$28 |
| Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester mayoral election by less than 5%?Politics | No | $304 | 85¢ | 99¢ | +$50 |
 Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics | Yes | $76 | 1.4¢ | 6.6¢ | +$279 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $305 | 37¢ | 43¢ | +$45 |
 Spain snap election called in 2026?Politics | No | $300 | 70¢ | 81¢ | +$44 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | No | $287 | 68¢ | 81¢ | +$55 |
 Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?Politics | Yes | $290 | 97¢ | 95¢ | -$5 |
| Andy Burnham out as UK PM by August 31?Politics | No | $261 | 99¢ | 99¢ | -$0 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $207 | 23¢ | 27¢ | +$40 |
| Will Julian Alvarez join Barcelona?Soccer (other) | No | $119 | 37¢ | 72¢ | +$115 |
 Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $195 | 66¢ | 79¢ | +$37 |
 Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics | Yes | $91 | 1.4¢ | 3.5¢ | +$135 |
 Will Catherine West be in the Burnham cabinet?Politics | No | $195 | 88¢ | 100¢ | +$26 |
 Celonis IPO before 2027?Tech | No | $205 | 83¢ | 88¢ | +$11 |
 Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $165 | 12¢ | 16¢ | +$43 |
 Will BN win the 2026 Negeri Sembilan general elections?Politics | Yes | $150 | 46¢ | 62¢ | +$54 |
 Will Nigel Farage up his vote share in Clacton?Politics | Yes | $179 | 86¢ | 98¢ | +$23 |
 Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?Politics | No | $177 | 88¢ | 90¢ | +$4 |
 Will Jordan Bardella advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?Politics | No | $185 | 92¢ | 84¢ | -$17 |
 Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | Yes | $165 | 2.7¢ | 2.8¢ | +$3 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31?Politics | No | $138 | 69¢ | 80¢ | +$21 |
 Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics | Yes | $45 | 1.4¢ | 4.9¢ | +$110 |
 Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics | Yes | $107 | 1.5¢ | 2.1¢ | +$42 |
 Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?Politics | Yes | $271 | 94¢ | 51¢ | -$125 |
| Spain snap election called in 2026?Politics | Yes | $286 | 39¢ | 20¢ | -$144 |
 Will PH win the 2026 Negeri Sembilan general elections?Politics | Yes | $202 | 54¢ | 38¢ | -$63 |
 Will Giles Watling get second place in the Clacton by-election?Politics | No | $138 | 99¢ | 99¢ | -$0 |
 Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics | Yes | $26 | 1.4¢ | 7.2¢ | +$107 |
 Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?Politics | Yes | $114 | 87¢ | 98¢ | +$15 |
| Andy Burnham out as UK PM by December 31?Politics | No | $124 | 89¢ | 91¢ | +$2 |
| Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester mayoral election by at least 15%?Politics | Yes | $56 | 37¢ | 83¢ | +$70 |
 Will Narendra Modi win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics | Yes | $89 | 1.4¢ | 1.7¢ | +$18 |
 Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | Yes | $110 | 3.0¢ | 2.9¢ | -$5 |
 Will António Guterres win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics | Yes | $91 | 1.4¢ | 1.5¢ | +$6 |
 Will FDP win the second most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?Politics | No | $92 | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$1 |
| Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester mayoral election by 5–10%?Politics | No | $66 | 73¢ | 97¢ | +$21 |
 Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $85 | 2.1¢ | 2.1¢ | +$1 |
 Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Politics | No | $91 | 91¢ | 77¢ | -$14 |
 Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $58 | 4.0¢ | 5.1¢ | +$17 |
 Will Jovan Owusu-Nepaul get second place in the Clacton by-election?Politics | No | $74 | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$1 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $70 | 88¢ | 92¢ | +$3 |
 Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics | Yes | $68 | 1.4¢ | 1.5¢ | +$4 |
 No-confidence vote against Spain PM Sanchez by July 31?Politics | No | $59 | 97¢ | 99¢ | +$1 |
 Will Bernard Cazeneuve win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | Yes | $86 | 0.7¢ | 0.4¢ | -$31 |
 Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration before 2027?Politics | No | $45 | 79¢ | 91¢ | +$7 |
 Will Michelle Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $21 | 0.4¢ | 1.1¢ | +$30 |
 Will Khaled Mashal win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics | Yes | $91 | 1.4¢ | 0.7¢ | -$46 |
 Will Mohammed bin Salman win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics | Yes | $91 | 1.4¢ | 0.7¢ | -$46 |
 Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $67 | 0.8¢ | 0.5¢ | -$22 |
 Will Parti libéral du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?Politics | Yes | $48 | 16¢ | 13¢ | -$9 |
 Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $29 | 3.8¢ | 5.1¢ | +$9 |
 Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics | Yes | $42 | 1.4¢ | 1.2¢ | -$6 |
 Doug Ford out as PC Party Leader by December 31?Politics | No | $27 | 69¢ | 78¢ | +$4 |
 Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics | Yes | $42 | 1.4¢ | 0.9¢ | -$14 |
 Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | Yes | $67 | 0.6¢ | 0.3¢ | -$39 |
 Will The Greens win the second most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?Politics | No | $26 | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
 Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?Politics | Yes | $30 | 13¢ | 11¢ | -$7 |
| Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $59 | 26¢ | 11¢ | -$35 |
 Spain snap election called by August 31, 2026?Politics | No | $22 | 98¢ | 98¢ | +$0 |
| Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | Yes | $14 | 2.2¢ | 3.2¢ | +$7 |
 Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested before 2027?Politics | No | $17 | 74¢ | 89¢ | +$3 |
 Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics | No | $18 | 96¢ | 96¢ | +$0 |
 Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $18 | 2.5¢ | 2.4¢ | -$1 |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $17 | 2.8¢ | 2.6¢ | -$1 |
| Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester mayoral election by 10–15%?Politics | Yes | $53 | 38¢ | 11¢ | -$38 |
 Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics | Yes | $26 | 1.4¢ | 0.8¢ | -$11 |
 Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $10 | 1.2¢ | 1.6¢ | +$3 |
 Will Coalition Avenir Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?Politics | Yes | $11 | 13¢ | 15¢ | +$2 |
 Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | Yes | $13 | 2.0¢ | 1.8¢ | -$2 |
 Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $21 | 1.9¢ | 0.9¢ | -$11 |
| Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $18 | 37¢ | 21¢ | -$8 |
| Will the Democrats win the Minnesota governor race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $10 | 93¢ | 94¢ | +$0 |
 Will Donald Trump visit Mexico in 2026?Politics | Yes | $21 | 16¢ | 8.0¢ | -$11 |
 Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $5 | 1.2¢ | 2.4¢ | +$5 |
 Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $13 | 2.6¢ | 1.8¢ | -$4 |
Bought Yes · Will PN win the 2026 Negeri Sembilan general elections?$059m ago