 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | No | $6.0K | 50¢ | 76¢ | +$3.1K |
 Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $7.5K | 96¢ | 98¢ | +$216 |
 Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?Politics | No | $6.8K | 83¢ | 85¢ | +$92 |
 Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?Politics | Yes | $6.0K | 97¢ | 97¢ | -$9 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $4.7K | 86¢ | 88¢ | +$103 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $4.5K | 59¢ | 53¢ | -$499 |
 Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?Politics | No | $3.6K | 84¢ | 90¢ | +$257 |
 Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME Person of the Year 2026?Culture | No | $3.6K | 85¢ | 85¢ | -$21 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $2.5K | 33¢ | 45¢ | +$896 |
 Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics | No | $3.3K | 97¢ | 98¢ | +$39 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $6.0K | 50¢ | 24¢ | -$3.1K |
 Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?Politics | Yes | $2.2K | 94¢ | 98¢ | +$95 |
 Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $2.1K | 96¢ | 99¢ | +$62 |
 Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $2.1K | 97¢ | 99¢ | +$36 |
 Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?Politics | Yes | $1.3K | 66¢ | 75¢ | +$159 |
 Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $1.1K | 90¢ | 94¢ | +$44 |
 Will the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026?Other | No | $1.0K | 82¢ | 90¢ | +$96 |
 Will Jorginho Mello win the Governor of Santa Catarina election?Politics | Yes | $1.0K | 89¢ | 97¢ | +$95 |
 Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?Politics | Yes | $1.0K | 88¢ | 90¢ | +$17 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $734 | 64¢ | 75¢ | +$116 |
 Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | No | $745 | 67¢ | 64¢ | -$31 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?Politics | No | $490 | 70¢ | 86¢ | +$112 |
 Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?Politics | No | $554 | 85¢ | 86¢ | +$1 |
 Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics | Yes | $188 | 2.2¢ | 6.0¢ | +$319 |
 Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $331 | 4.8¢ | 6.7¢ | +$128 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $408 | 50¢ | 50¢ | +$2 |
 Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $372 | 74¢ | 82¢ | +$36 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | No | $287 | 68¢ | 86¢ | +$76 |
 Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $333 | 79¢ | 83¢ | +$17 |
 Will Linke be in the next Berlin state government?Politics | Yes | $297 | 67¢ | 79¢ | +$51 |
| Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Politics | Yes | $229 | 34¢ | 51¢ | +$116 |
 Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics | Yes | $80 | 1.5¢ | 6.2¢ | +$257 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics | Yes | $1.2K | 69¢ | 20¢ | -$841 |
 Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?Politics | Yes | $405 | 9.8¢ | 7.4¢ | -$98 |
 Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $195 | 66¢ | 85¢ | +$53 |
 Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $207 | 6.0¢ | 6.5¢ | +$17 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $207 | 23¢ | 20¢ | -$22 |
 Will Jordan Bardella advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?Politics | No | $185 | 92¢ | 92¢ | -$2 |
 Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?Politics | No | $177 | 88¢ | 91¢ | +$5 |
 Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | Yes | $165 | 2.7¢ | 2.9¢ | +$15 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31?Politics | No | $138 | 69¢ | 87¢ | +$35 |
 Spain snap election called in 2026?Politics | Yes | $286 | 39¢ | 20¢ | -$140 |
| Spain snap election called in 2026?Politics | No | $125 | 70¢ | 80¢ | +$18 |
 Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics | Yes | $91 | 1.4¢ | 2.2¢ | +$51 |
| Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $174 | 85¢ | 67¢ | -$36 |
 Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $116 | 77¢ | 89¢ | +$17 |
 Andy Burnham out as UK PM by December 31?Politics | No | $124 | 89¢ | 95¢ | +$8 |
 Will Christopher Nolan win Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?Culture | No | $127 | 41¢ | 42¢ | +$2 |
 Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $85 | 2.1¢ | 3.0¢ | +$36 |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $83 | 12¢ | 16¢ | +$24 |
 Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | Yes | $187 | 2.3¢ | 1.3¢ | -$85 |
 Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Politics | No | $91 | 91¢ | 88¢ | -$3 |
 Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $58 | 4.0¢ | 5.7¢ | +$25 |
 Will Narendra Modi win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics | Yes | $89 | 1.4¢ | 1.3¢ | -$7 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $70 | 88¢ | 94¢ | +$4 |
| Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?Politics | No | $94 | 66¢ | 46¢ | -$28 |
 Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics | Yes | $42 | 1.4¢ | 2.1¢ | +$20 |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $42 | 2.6¢ | 3.5¢ | +$13 |
 Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics | Yes | $26 | 1.4¢ | 3.0¢ | +$29 |
 Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics | Yes | $68 | 1.4¢ | 1.1¢ | -$15 |
 Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $67 | 0.8¢ | 0.7¢ | -$13 |
 Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration before 2027?Politics | No | $45 | 79¢ | 92¢ | +$7 |
 Will António Guterres win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics | Yes | $104 | 1.2¢ | 0.6¢ | -$52 |
 Will Jair Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?Politics | No | $47 | 97¢ | 98¢ | +$1 |
 Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $36 | 0.7¢ | 0.8¢ | +$3 |
 Doug Ford out as PC Party Leader by December 31?Politics | No | $27 | 69¢ | 95¢ | +$10 |
 Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | Yes | $89 | 5.7¢ | 2.1¢ | -$57 |
 Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $25 | 0.5¢ | 0.5¢ | +$3 |
 Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics | Yes | $24 | 1.4¢ | 1.5¢ | +$2 |
 Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $23 | 2.1¢ | 1.8¢ | -$3 |
 Will Coalition Avenir Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?Politics | Yes | $11 | 13¢ | 24¢ | +$9 |
 Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $18 | 2.5¢ | 2.6¢ | +$1 |
 Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $10 | 0.9¢ | 1.6¢ | +$7 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $16 | 11¢ | 9.8¢ | -$2 |
 Will AfD win the most seats in 1 German state election in September 2026?Politics | Yes | $14 | 13¢ | 13¢ | +$1 |
| Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | Yes | $14 | 2.2¢ | 2.1¢ | -$0 |
 Will Bernard Cazeneuve announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?Politics | No | $10 | 35¢ | 48¢ | +$4 |
 Will Khaled Mashal win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics | Yes | $91 | 1.4¢ | 0.2¢ | -$78 |
 Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics | Yes | $21 | 1.4¢ | 0.9¢ | -$8 |
 Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | Yes | $13 | 2.0¢ | 1.8¢ | -$1 |
 Will the Democrats win the Minnesota governor race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $10 | 93¢ | 96¢ | +$0 |
 Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $21 | 1.9¢ | 0.9¢ | -$11 |
 Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $5 | 1.2¢ | 2.6¢ | +$6 |
 Will Mohammed bin Salman win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics | Yes | $91 | 1.4¢ | 0.1¢ | -$81 |
| Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $6 | 1.0¢ | 1.6¢ | +$3 |
 Celonis IPO before 2027?Tech | No | $8 | 83¢ | 95¢ | +$1 |
 Will Donald Trump visit Mexico in 2026?Politics | Yes | $21 | 16¢ | 6.5¢ | -$13 |
| Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $8 | 11¢ | 12¢ | +$0 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $89 | 8.0¢ | 0.7¢ | -$81 |
| Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $18 | 37¢ | 16¢ | -$11 |
 Will Parti libéral du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?Politics | Yes | $48 | 16¢ | 2.4¢ | -$41 |
 Will Bernard Cazeneuve win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | Yes | $86 | 0.7¢ | 0.1¢ | -$80 |
 Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | Yes | $67 | 0.6¢ | 0.1¢ | -$61 |
 Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $10 | 1.2¢ | 0.5¢ | -$5 |
 Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics | Yes | $12 | 1.4¢ | 0.5¢ | -$8 |
 Will Michelle Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?Politics | No | $4 | 97¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
 Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics | Yes | $26 | 1.4¢ | 0.1¢ | -$23 |
| Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?Politics | No | $4 | 43¢ | 26¢ | -$2 |
 Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $13 | 2.6¢ | 0.3¢ | -$11 |
| Will François Hollande announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?Politics | No | $2 | 63¢ | 42¢ | -$1 |
