← Belugo Whale Watch

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
$10.2M volumeYes 53¢No 48¢
Sharp lean: 93% Yes7% No
Share of money held by tracked sharps (top 1,000 Polymarket accounts) among this market's top holders.
Top Yes holders
53¢- 1
unknwnfnd$405K - 2TheReturnOfDarthMaul$302K
- 3
ScottyNoooSharp$162K - 40x636cd3e5750597c165796701e30339D856D8a2cF-1729340044075$59K
- 5hideki.hirata$57K
- 6abed1$41K
- 7Pvgren$38K
- 8sassy31535$37K
- 9
Eire$32K - 10flawfenceSharp$21K
- 11vic7$19K
- 12neutralwave23$19K
- 13SAPA9588$19K
- 14StudentMoney$16K
- 15Hedger87$16K
- 16
MisTKySharp$16K - 170x58f1…abdd$16K
- 18Pelu22$14K
- 19
Outsid3rTrading$13K - 20diadjaidSharp$13K
Top 20 per side (Polymarket API limit). Values at the current price.
Top No holders
48¢- 10xa5ef…2966$1.6M
- 2
Jimmy-Carvalho-Opcoes$28K - 378979879879879$24K
- 4kylox$23K
- 5Johnsansculotte$20K
- 6NSNO$20K
- 7
RememberAmalekSharp$12K - 8
Freedom-BY$8.3K - 9McMurphy$7.5K
- 100x35d44846FB2e9bd1686b050A4CAe30cDE9B7f15B-1777562039908$5.7K
- 11JackLogan$5.7K
- 12
zerovinteum$4.9K - 130x3692467739D87ec2877D2AAb06eb676e933bFC12-1760026571604$4.8K
- 14LulaVaiPerderSharp$4.2K
- 15okada$4.1K
- 16pirulirubeibe$3.8K
- 17BikesAreTheBikes$3.6K
- 18nonome23$3.4K
- 19SmartOpt$3.4K
- 20vitorloures$3.0K
Top 20 per side (Polymarket API limit). Values at the current price.
Recent big trades here
- $2,528 out of Yes @ 52¢LeRoiSoleil2h ago
- $1,802 on Yes @ 53¢Pvgren7h ago
- $1,060 on Yes @ 53¢Pvgren7h ago
- $2,249 on No @ 48¢valetecaolho10h ago
- $1,958 on Yes @ 53¢Esperancoso11h ago
- $1,060 on Yes @ 53¢Pvgren15h ago
- $1,590 on Yes @ 53¢diadjaid18h ago
- $6,764 out of Yes @ 52¢Paper118h ago
- $2,430 out of Yes @ 54¢bangbingbong20h ago
- $2,176 out of Yes @ 54¢
OkieDokiePeon21h ago - $2,772 on No @ 45¢7897987987987921h ago
- $2,120 on Yes @ 53¢Pvgren22h ago
- $33,900 out of Yes @ 53¢BitcoinerRetired22h ago
- $1,100 on Yes @ 55¢Pvgren22h ago
- $2,611 out of Yes @ 54¢eduardopileggi23h ago
- $1,257 on No @ 46¢okada23h ago
- $2,546 on No @ 45¢7897987987987923h ago
- $4,979 on No @ 45¢789798798798791d ago
- $2,770 on Yes @ 57¢LeRoiSoleil1d ago
- $1,045 on Yes @ 55¢Pvgren1d ago