← Belugo Whale Watch

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
$7.7M volumeYes 63¢No 38¢
Sharp lean: 95% Yes5% No
Share of money held by tracked sharps (top 1,000 Polymarket accounts) among this market's top holders.
Top Yes holders
63¢- 1
unknwnfnd$435K - 2
ScottyNoooSharp$155K - 30x636cd3e5750597c165796701e30339D856D8a2cF-1729340044075$70K
- 4hideki.hirata$68K
- 5abed1$49K
- 6sassy31535$44K
- 7BitcoinerRetired$40K
- 888865$26K
- 9vic7$23K
- 10Hedger87$19K
- 11Pelu22$17K
- 12
LiquidatedDegen$15K - 13
ImJustKenSharp$14K - 14
Ryxon21$13K - 15
Outsid3rTrading$12K - 16
MisTKySharp$12K - 17symplya36$12K
- 18musa77$12K
- 19
ForaPT26$11K - 20IrineuVcNaoSabeNemEu$10K
Top 20 per side (Polymarket API limit). Values at the current price.
Top No holders
38¢- 10xa5ef…2966$793K
- 2
Jimmy-Carvalho-Opcoes$22K - 3kylox$18K
- 4NSNO$16K
- 5
WrongManyTimes$11K - 6
RememberAmalekSharp$9.1K - 7Johnsansculotte$8.1K
- 8
Freedom-BY$6.7K - 9JackLogan$4.5K
- 10
zerovinteum$3.9K - 110x3692467739D87ec2877D2AAb06eb676e933bFC12-1760026571604$3.8K
- 120x35d44846FB2e9bd1686b050A4CAe30cDE9B7f15B-1777562039908$3.6K
- 13valetecaolho$3.2K
- 14McMurphy$3.1K
- 15pirulirubeibe$3.0K
- 16BikesAreTheBikes$2.8K
- 17SmartOpt$2.7K
- 18LFG24$2.3K
- 19Banez$2.2K
- 200x9F77A1746Ff504C081376A707260778C6E33E7fc-1759540141967$2.1K
Top 20 per side (Polymarket API limit). Values at the current price.
Recent big trades here
- $1,505 on Yes @ 61¢hideki.hirata1d ago
- $3,900 out of No @ 39¢damed211d ago
- $5,673 on Yes @ 61¢
Ryxon212d ago - $7,645 out of No @ 39¢0xbCa82fF9891c5358b33D565C4F4739e4d812b680-17794815740043d ago
- $1,365 out of No @ 39¢0x88c1…017e3d ago
- $1,698 out of No @ 39¢0xbCa82fF9891c5358b33D565C4F4739e4d812b680-17794815740043d ago
- $1,592 on No @ 40¢Bigggggggg3d ago
- $3,000 on Yes @ 61¢0x6B67037DC9a8D1f6f7B34C562181675743F91169-17741788717193d ago
- $1,964 on Yes @ 61¢
myex4d ago - $2,160 on Yes @ 61¢spicyappleton5d ago
- $1,051 out of No @ 40¢0xbCa82fF9891c5358b33D565C4F4739e4d812b680-17794815740045d ago
- $20,232 out of Yes @ 59¢StudentMoney6d ago
- $2,726 out of Yes @ 60¢0x1b296Ecf556EF9a93887C82836343f58C1Ff1227-17219095067606d ago
- $3,854 on Yes @ 61¢musa776d ago
- $1,132 out of Yes @ 60¢Saud926d ago
- $8,632 out of Yes @ 60¢Thethiagoshow7d ago
- $1,680 out of Yes @ 60¢Tenk19947d ago
- $3,157 on Yes @ 61¢
MR-vorcaro2return8d ago - $3,052 on Yes @ 62¢Thethiagoshow10d ago
- $1,708 out of Yes @ 61¢Quarzo10d ago