← Whale Watch
okada
Up $4.9K on Politics markets since Apr 2025.
Right now: $3.6K across 2 Politics markets.
All-time PnL
+$0This year
+$0Last 30 days
+$0Portfolio value
$0Deep stats
Bucko OracleLoading…
Profit over time
What they are betting now
| Market | Side | Stake | Entry | Now | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $3.5K | 41¢ | 56¢ | +$1.3K |
 Sam Altman signs the Pacing the Frontier statement by September 30?Tech | No | $620 | 89¢ | 95¢ | +$41 |
 Elon Musk signs the Pacing the Frontier statement by September 30?Tech | No | $600 | 90¢ | 92¢ | +$8 |
 Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $48 | 0.1¢ | 0.1¢ | -$24 |
 US bank failure by July 31?Economy | NoResolved | $900 | 90¢ | 0.0¢ | -$900 |
 Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $355 | 6.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$355 |
 Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $572 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$572 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $510 | 85¢ | 0.0¢ | -$510 |
 Will the Bank of Israel hold at the August 2026 meeting?Economy | YesResolved | $533 | 82¢ | 0.0¢ | -$533 |
 Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $335 | 6.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$335 |
 Will Andrea Martella win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?Politics | YesResolved | $619 | 87¢ | 0.0¢ | -$619 |
Where the money comes from
Realized + open PnL by category
Politics+$4.9K
Economy-$1.2K
World Cup+$534
NFL+$370
Tennis+$138
Tech+$124
Culture+$52
Soccer (other)-$44
Biggest hit
+$807
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Toughest beat
-$1.3K
Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026?
Recent moves
Cashed out No · Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?$1.5K12h ago- Bought No · Elon Musk signs the Pacing the Frontier statement by September 30?$6021d ago
- Bought No · Sam Altman signs the Pacing the Frontier statement by September 30?$6231d ago
Sold No · Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?$5971d ago
Cashed out No · Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 11, 2026?$6784d ago- Bought No · Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.3K8d ago
Cashed out Yes · Will Julian Alvarez stay at Atletico Madrid?$78914d ago
Cashed out Yes · Will Marcus Rashford stay at Manchester United?$50014d ago- Bought No · Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?$1.3K15d ago
- Bought No · Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?$60315d ago
- Bought No · Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 11, 2026?$60315d ago
Cashed out No · ChatGPT Full Outage by August 31?$55015d ago