← Whale Watch

Outsid3rTrading

Predicting since Nov 20241,553 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $78K on NBA markets since Nov 2024.

Right now: $72K across 3 Politics markets.

Biggest hit: +$71K on US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsNo$35K50¢80¢+$21K
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsNo$28K81¢81¢-$219
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?PoliticsNo$27K90¢91¢+$150
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?PoliticsYes$25K83¢86¢+$850
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsNo$20K99¢99¢-$10
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?PoliticsNo$17K83¢86¢+$500
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$35K50¢20¢-$21K
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?PoliticsYes$12K93¢96¢+$414
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes$11K57¢63¢+$1.1K
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$9.8K92¢99¢+$801
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$9.5K95¢100¢+$465
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?PoliticsNo$9.8K88¢88¢-$22
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?PoliticsNo$9.2K92¢96¢+$390
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?PoliticsNo$9.2K92¢95¢+$250
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$9.1K91¢92¢+$50
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?NBANo$4.2K51¢100¢+$4.1K
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$9.5K95¢80¢-$1.5K
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?PoliticsNo$6.5K93¢95¢+$105
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?PoliticsNo$5.2K87¢95¢+$450
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$5.0K62¢68¢+$440
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$4.7K78¢89¢+$630
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$4.1K75¢94¢+$1.0K
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?PoliticsNo$7.3K82¢56¢-$2.3K
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$4.8K96¢99¢+$168
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?PoliticsYes$5.1K84¢79¢-$291
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?PoliticsNo$5.5K79¢66¢-$891
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?PoliticsYes$5.5K79¢66¢-$955
Iran leadership change by December 31?PoliticsNo$3.8K76¢80¢+$175
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?PoliticsNo$3.8K48¢43¢-$440
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?PoliticsYes$3.2K39¢38¢-$78
Iran leadership change by July 31?PoliticsNo$2.9K95¢99¢+$122
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?PoliticsNo$2.2K75¢92¢+$490
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?PoliticsNo$1.9K65¢73¢+$240
Will Count Binface win 20–30% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?PoliticsNo$2.1K82¢81¢-$42
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?PoliticsNo$2.6K64¢42¢-$900
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?PoliticsNo$2.3K77¢52¢-$765
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?PoliticsYes$1.5K77¢73¢-$87
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes$1.4K24¢24¢-$21
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$1.6K17¢13¢-$434
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?PoliticsYes$76038¢59¢+$410
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?PoliticsYes$1.6K33¢21¢-$625
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?PoliticsYes$96016¢17¢+$30
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?PoliticsYes$48024¢28¢+$80
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$76038¢1.5¢-$730
UFC Fight Night: Thomas Petersen vs. Valter Walker (Heavyweight, Prelims)UFC / MMAThomas PetersenResolved$1.8K37¢0.0¢-$1.8K

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

NBA+$78K
World Cup+$54K
NHL-$35K
Politics+$25K
Soccer (other)-$17K
UFC / MMA-$16K
Boxing-$14K
MLB-$10K
Tennis-$10.0K
Crypto+$9.7K
NFL+$9.7K
Premier League+$7.2K
Biggest hit
+$71K
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Toughest beat
-$22K
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?$9605h ago
  • Sold No · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?$1.2K5h ago
  • Sold No · Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$2.1K12h ago
  • Sold No · Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$012h ago
  • Sold No · Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$49012h ago
  • Sold No · Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$18212h ago
  • Sold No · Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$98412h ago
  • Bought No · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?$4981d ago
  • Bought No · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?$1231d ago
  • Bought No · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?$4.6K1d ago
  • Bought No · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?$21d ago
  • Bought No · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?$231d ago