← Belugo Whale Watch

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
$15.6M volumeYes 50¢No 50¢
Sharp lean: 99% Yes1% No
Share of money held by tracked sharps (top 1,000 Polymarket accounts) among this market's top holders.
Top Yes holders
50¢- 198better$269K
- 2
BrokieSharp$167K - 3hose$76K
- 4GCottrell93Sharp$74K
- 5Pog$62K
- 6
0xcf19c420814435ffb1c459588208ed23a7ee6402Sharp$57K - 7
Cadabra$56K - 8Anon5566$48K
- 9Inhabit$38K
- 10wan123Sharp$33K
- 11pizzabillgates$31K
- 12
chungguskhanSharp$30K - 13EatprayloveSharp$26K
- 14
ScottyNoooSharp$24K - 15someone2026$21K
- 16iraa3$21K
- 17escapingthemaze$20K
- 18dresden77$18K
- 19
2B9S$12K - 200xb82645578B5D6665d89Ddfd748375B314796635A-1781370532295$12K
Top 20 per side (Polymarket API limit). Values at the current price.
Top No holders
50¢- 10xa5ef…2966$1.3M
- 20x21a22c9e1d5E3f92D680C49aFad87f40bc055f83-1768570519514$6.4K
- 3baran-ludoman$5.5K
- 4
Polybius$5.0K - 5
0x5039…946d$5.0K - 60x8605…aa83$2.6K
- 70x19974ce5980baE3d4c4D1a67CFce60C655492e36-1760671412706$2.3K
- 80x8Df23c9e29AB33623725Fe75F5636Fc4DeCd788d-1768771092176$1.8K
- 9
LeopoldArschenbrenner$1.7K - 10
Haradwaith$1.5K - 11dxddee$1.3K
- 12pop$1.2K
- 13
BasedJonStewart$1.2K - 140xCBED92A9dc14802a2957De4a7d81d3c6a038BbB9-1771998936959Sharp$1.2K
- 15WillBeQuant$1.1K
- 160x7724…51f2$1.1K
- 17tsihkodiives$1.0K
- 18anciano$954
- 19rdbaSharp$948
- 20krystalp$942
Top 20 per side (Polymarket API limit). Values at the current price.
Recent big trades here
- $1,072 out of Yes @ 50¢suntori2d ago
- $1,169 on Yes @ 50¢0xf9dc…37c14d ago
- $1,081 on Yes @ 50¢0x656b…0dc14d ago
- $1,398 out of No @ 50¢0x051c…7b054d ago
- $1,613 on Yes @ 50¢
Robbb5d ago - $1,884 on No @ 50¢0x051c…7b056d ago
- $2,500 on No @ 49¢0x8605…aa836d ago
- $1,765 on Yes @ 53¢0x55a1…5a266d ago
- $1,551 out of Yes @ 53¢bourn226d ago
- $3,552 out of No @ 47¢luck000047d ago
- $3,397 out of No @ 48¢luck000048d ago
- $9,462 on Yes @ 50¢Pog8d ago
- $2,539 on Yes @ 49¢Eazy89d ago
- $1,116 out of No @ 52¢0x12b3…6aef11d ago
- $10,168 on Yes @ 48¢Pog11d ago
- $1,200 out of Yes @ 48¢0xcf81…910612d ago
- $1,149 on Yes @ 48¢0x5abe…ed0312d ago
- $1,178 out of Yes @ 48¢0x2c77…b9a812d ago
- $1,548 on Yes @ 48¢Pog12d ago
- $1,483 on Yes @ 47¢0x5c05…f69213d ago