← Whale Watch

Polybius

Predicting since Jul 2024168 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $12K on Politics markets since Jul 2024.

Right now: $14K riding on Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?.

Biggest hit: +$128K on Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?PoliticsNo$14K88¢96¢+$1.3K
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$11K28¢20¢-$3.3K
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsNo$6.7K66¢57¢-$935
Xi Jinping out before 2027?PoliticsNo$4.3K85¢95¢+$513
Trump out as President before 2027?PoliticsNo$2.3K93¢93¢-$13
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?PoliticsNo$1.7K82¢86¢+$72
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?PoliticsYes$1.3K52¢44¢-$209
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?EconomyYes$63159¢85¢+$282
Will Extended launch a token by September 30 2026?CryptoYes$60060¢47¢-$135
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsNo$30499¢100¢+$3
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$4662.6¢1.7¢-$167
Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?CryptoYes$274¢76¢+$0
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?PoliticsNo$239¢37¢-$0
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026?eSportsYesResolved$8517¢0.0¢-$85
United States vs. Australia: Australia O/U 0.5World CupOverResolved$3657¢0.0¢-$36
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$1.0K10¢0.0¢-$1.0K
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00AM-1:05AM ETCryptoUpResolved$22526¢0.0¢-$225
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:35PM-11:40PM ETCryptoUpResolved$7572¢0.0¢-$75
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$200.2¢0.0¢-$20
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?PoliticsYesResolved$76551¢0.0¢-$765
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1314¢0.0¢-$13
Will Australia win on 2026-06-19?World CupYesResolved$5019¢0.0¢-$50
Trump declassifies new UFO files by December 31?PoliticsNoResolved$019¢0.0¢-$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:45PM-10:50PM ETCryptoDownResolved$54.0¢0.0¢-$5
Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs MODUS (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier PlayoffseSportsRune EatersResolved$1068¢0.0¢-$10

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$12K
Crypto+$1.7K
Premier League+$1.6K
World Cup-$527
Finance+$412
Economy+$269
Boxing+$162
Culture+$159
Mentions-$113
NFL-$61
Tech+$41
eSports+$26
Biggest hit
+$128K
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Toughest beat
-$20K
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Recent moves

  • Cashed out No · Will Asaad Alnajjar win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$514d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Rick Caruso win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$514d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Gina Viola win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$514d ago