0xcf19c420814435ffb1c459588208ed23a7ee6402

Predicting since Feb 2024418 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $119K on Politics markets since Feb 2024.

Right now: $41K riding on Republican Presidential Nominee 2028.

Biggest hit: +$157K on US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?.

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics	Yes	$41K	36¢	51¢	+$17K
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics	Yes	$17K	61¢	77¢	+$4.3K
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Politics	No	$17K	86¢	94¢	+$1.5K
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics	Yes	$22K	12¢	9.0¢	-$5.4K
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics	Yes	$11K	4.7¢	6.3¢	+$3.7K
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics	Yes	$10K	4.1¢	5.7¢	+$3.9K
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HousePolitics	Yes	$9.8K	34¢	37¢	+$610
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Politics	Yes	$5.7K	14¢	21¢	+$2.4K
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?Politics	No	$7.9K	83¢	84¢	+$31
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?Politics	No	$3.5K	71¢	94¢	+$1.1K
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics	Yes	$3.8K	7.4¢	7.8¢	+$178
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Politics	No	$3.3K	82¢	91¢	+$371
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics	Yes	$2.5K	2.5¢	3.5¢	+$962
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Politics	Yes	$1.8K	54¢	67¢	+$417
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Politics	No	$1.8K	77¢	87¢	+$225
Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Politics	Yes	$792	32¢	64¢	+$780
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics	Yes	$1.2K	14¢	14¢	-$47
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Politics	No	$1.0K	41¢	38¢	-$85
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Politics	No	$854	50¢	52¢	+$25
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?Politics	No	$831	82¢	85¢	+$31
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?Soccer (other)	No	$565	78¢	89¢	+$80
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics	Yes	$325	1.9¢	2.5¢	+$117
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics	Yes	$527	2.1¢	1.7¢	-$113
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Politics	No	$338	41¢	36¢	-$46
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Politics	No	$26	18¢	18¢	+$0
Will three people dissent the September Fed decision?Economy	Yes	$36	36¢	19¢	-$17
Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?Politics	Yes	$45	45¢	4.0¢	-$41
Will Steve Witkoff visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$279	14¢	0.0¢	-$279
Will Jared Kushner visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$144	11¢	0.0¢	-$144

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$119K

World Cup+$23K

Tennis+$15K

Champions League+$9.8K

Finance+$7.4K

Economy-$6.8K

Crypto-$4.5K

Soccer (other)+$2.9K

Tech-$2.8K

Mentions+$2.4K

Premier League+$305

UFC / MMA-$172

Biggest hit

+$157K

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Toughest beat

-$52K

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Recent moves

Sold Yes · Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?$12055s ago
Sold Yes · Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$29h ago
Sold Yes · Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$711h ago
Bought No · Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?$3812h ago
Sold Yes · Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$116h ago
Sold Yes · Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$816h ago
Sold Yes · Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$817h ago
Sold Yes · Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$017h ago
Sold Yes · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?$1.8K19h ago
Sold Yes · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?$10019h ago
Sold Yes · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?$4019h ago
Sold Yes · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?$20019h ago