← Whale Watch

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Predicting since Jun 2022192 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $26K on Politics markets since Jun 2022.

Right now: $11K riding on Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?.

Biggest hit: +$13K on Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by September 1, 2022?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsNo$11K75¢80¢+$593
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?PoliticsNo$9.4K42¢42¢-$25
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?PoliticsNo$7.7K90¢92¢+$153
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$5.3K77¢82¢+$326
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?PoliticsNo$5.2K94¢96¢+$119
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?PoliticsNo$4.0K53¢63¢+$777
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?PoliticsYes$3.8K55¢56¢+$129
Will the federal gas tax be suspended by November 2, 2026?PoliticsNo$2.9K79¢76¢-$141
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?PoliticsNo$2.3K94¢99¢+$132
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?PoliticsYes$2.6K77¢65¢-$392
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?PoliticsNo$2.2K72¢66¢-$203
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?PoliticsNo$1.7K55¢52¢-$90
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes$1.5K60¢63¢+$63
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?PoliticsYes$93064¢90¢+$362
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$97281¢99¢+$215
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?PoliticsNo$90075¢95¢+$234
US strike on Cuba by December 31?PoliticsNo$97869¢68¢-$21
Will Count Binface win 20–30% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?PoliticsNo$87280¢81¢+$5
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?PoliticsYes$64181¢100¢+$151
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$62675¢93¢+$149
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?PoliticsNo$91176¢64¢-$146
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$71159¢42¢-$214
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?PoliticsYes$29637¢60¢+$180
Will Count Binface win 10–20% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?PoliticsNo$56070¢53¢-$136
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?PoliticsYes$22951¢69¢+$81
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?PoliticsNo$26079¢94¢+$48
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?PoliticsNo$36030¢23¢-$90
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?PoliticsYes$13129¢55¢+$115
Will Count Binface win 30–40% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?PoliticsNo$21287¢94¢+$17
Will no one dissent the July Fed decision?EconomyYes$18423¢27¢+$32
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes$21126¢24¢-$22
US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?PoliticsYes$12227¢9.5¢-$79
Will any state enact a data center moratorium by December 31?PoliticsNo$1423¢33¢+$6
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?NBAYes$2.3K47¢0.1¢-$2.3K
UFC 318: Costa vs. KopylovUFC / MMAKopylov Resolved$1.0K67¢0.0¢-$1.0K
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?PoliticsYesResolved$901.8¢0.0¢-$90
Texas Strategic Bitcoin Reserve Act (H.B. 1598) signed in 2025?CryptoYesResolved$9635¢0.0¢-$96
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?EconomyYesResolved$12525¢0.0¢-$125
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2025?EconomyYesResolved$14028¢0.0¢-$140
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?EconomyYesResolved$8517¢0.0¢-$85
Will Trump remove 10% blanket tariff before July?PoliticsYesResolved$15030¢0.0¢-$150
Will Levi Strauss & Co. say "Inventory" 10+ times during earnings call?MentionsYesResolved$2098¢0.0¢-$20
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?PoliticsNoResolved$31570¢0.0¢-$315
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?PoliticsNoResolved$1.4K69¢0.0¢-$1.4K
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-8.5)Other sportsPhoenix MercuryResolved$63653¢0.0¢-$636
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-9.5)Other sportsPhoenix MercuryResolved$45657¢0.0¢-$456
Phoenix Mercury vs. Las Vegas AcesOther sportsPhoenix MercuryResolved$32427¢0.0¢-$324

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$26K
Crypto+$5.4K
Other-$3.9K
Tech+$3.6K
NBA-$3.4K
Finance-$1.9K
UFC / MMA+$1.9K
Other sports+$1.5K
Economy+$1.2K
Culture+$997
Mentions+$470
World Cup+$385
Biggest hit
+$13K
Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by September 1, 2022?
Toughest beat
-$13K
Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by September 1, 2022?

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$623h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$5423h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$5723h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$3523h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$3623h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$5523h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$5523h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$5423h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$923h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$3623h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$5723h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$3523h ago