Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $88K | 11¢ | 19¢ | +$70K |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $130K | 19¢ | 20¢ | +$7.6K |
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Politics | No | $44K | 41¢ | 91¢ | +$53K |
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Politics | No | $67K | 61¢ | 66¢ | +$4.8K |
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Politics | Yes | $18K | 50¢ | 93¢ | +$15K |
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $24K | 37¢ | 43¢ | +$3.6K |
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?Politics | No | $25K | 90¢ | 94¢ | +$1.1K |
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $75K | 21¢ | 6.5¢ | -$52K |
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics | No | $23K | 46¢ | 45¢ | -$750 |
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $23K | 46¢ | 44¢ | -$1.2K |
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?Politics | Yes | $73K | 19¢ | 4.8¢ | -$55K |
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HousePolitics | Yes | $14K | 41¢ | 44¢ | +$730 |
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Politics | No | $8.2K | 28¢ | 34¢ | +$1.9K |
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?Politics | No | $4.9K | 59¢ | 100¢ | +$3.4K |
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Politics | No | $6.1K | 39¢ | 44¢ | +$702 |
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics | No | $5.3K | 63¢ | 62¢ | -$36 |
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $3.8K | 52¢ | 67¢ | +$1.1K |
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?Politics | Yes | $6.3K | 7.3¢ | 5.2¢ | -$1.8K |
Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?Politics | No | $4.4K | 44¢ | 42¢ | -$250 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $4.0K | 0.7¢ | 0.7¢ | -$464 |
US strike on Cuba by December 31?Politics | Yes | $4.2K | 41¢ | 33¢ | -$866 |
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $2.7K | 72¢ | 84¢ | +$446 |
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $2.7K | 38¢ | 44¢ | +$392 |
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?Politics | No | $2.7K | 88¢ | 97¢ | +$279 |
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | No | $2.5K | 23¢ | 21¢ | -$230 |
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Politics | Yes | $3.3K | 23¢ | 13¢ | -$1.5K |
Will Marie Gluesenkamp Perez advance to the general election for WA-03?Politics | Yes | $1.5K | 87¢ | 98¢ | +$192 |
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?Politics | No | $936 | 66¢ | 95¢ | +$407 |
Will the Democratic Party win the WA-03 House seat?Politics | Yes | $1.4K | 79¢ | 75¢ | -$77 |
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?Politics | Yes | $847 | 9.0¢ | 12¢ | +$234 |
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?Politics | No | $670 | 49¢ | 79¢ | +$393 |
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $323 | 29¢ | 79¢ | +$542 |
Will the Republican Party win the WA-03 House seat?Politics | No | $861 | 81¢ | 77¢ | -$45 |
Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by December 31?Politics | Yes | $558 | 9.1¢ | 13¢ | +$208 |
Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?Politics | No | $788 | 15¢ | 12¢ | -$178 |
Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $757 | 15¢ | 12¢ | -$176 |
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?Politics | Yes | $2.4K | 3.2¢ | 0.7¢ | -$1.9K |
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $411 | 73¢ | 89¢ | +$87 |
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?Economy | Yes | $182 | 8.0¢ | 20¢ | +$268 |
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Politics | No | $267 | 61¢ | 68¢ | +$28 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $147 | 82¢ | 80¢ | -$3 |
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Politics | No | $156 | 30¢ | 28¢ | -$12 |
| Will the Republican Party win the TN-09 House seat?Politics | Yes | $49 | 36¢ | 83¢ | +$64 |
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics | No | $220 | 46¢ | 18¢ | -$133 |
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?Politics | Yes | $3.3K | 12¢ | 0.1¢ | -$3.3K |
Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026?Politics | Yes | $1.6K | 7.7¢ | 0.1¢ | -$1.5K |
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?NBA | Yes | $712 | 29¢ | 0.1¢ | -$711 |
Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-10.5)College Hoops | Northern Iowa PanthersResolved | $10K | 51¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10K |
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $516 | 5.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$516 |
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?NHL | YesResolved | $43K | 36¢ | 0.0¢ | -$43K |
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?Politics | YesResolved | $181 | 40¢ | 0.0¢ | -$181 |
Utah State Aggies vs. Villanova Wildcats: O/U 147.5College Hoops | UnderResolved | $5.0K | 53¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5.0K |
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?Politics | YesResolved | $1.2K | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.2K |
Iran closes its airspace by May 7?Politics | YesResolved | $216 | 5.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$216 |
Will Rick Jackson win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?Politics | NoResolved | $19 | 55¢ | 0.0¢ | -$19 |
Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?Politics | YesResolved | $75 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$75 |
Akron Zips vs. Texas Tech Red RaidersCollege Hoops | Akron ZipsResolved | $13K | 27¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13K |
Spread: Pistons (-11.5)NBA | PistonsResolved | $668 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$668 |
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?Politics | NoResolved | $3.0K | 3.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3.0K |
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $3.8K | 9.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3.8K |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $36K | 4.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$36K |
Rockets vs. LakersNBA | RocketsResolved | $22K | 47¢ | 0.0¢ | -$22K |
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?Politics | YesResolved | $4.0K | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4.0K |
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?Politics | YesResolved | $6.0K | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6.0K |
Timberwolves vs. NuggetsNBA | TimberwolvesResolved | $28K | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$28K |
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?Politics | NoResolved | $15K | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15K |
Will James Talarico win the Texas Democratic Senate Primary by between 5% and 10.00%?Politics | NoResolved | $320 | 32¢ | 0.0¢ | -$320 |
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?Politics | YesResolved | $6.3K | 37¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6.3K |
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?Politics | YesResolved | $25K | 31¢ | 0.0¢ | -$25K |
Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-9.5)College Hoops | Northern Iowa PanthersResolved | $10.0K | 45¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10.0K |
Will Jordan strike Iran by March 31?Politics | YesResolved | $243 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$243 |
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $766 | 1.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$766 |
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?Politics | YesResolved | $1.2K | 37¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.2K |
Knicks vs. 76ersNBA | 76ersResolved | $23K | 32¢ | 0.0¢ | -$23K |
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?Politics | YesResolved | $11K | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11K |
Will Jerome Powell be confirmed as Fed Chair?Politics | YesResolved | $75 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$75 |
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?Politics | YesResolved | $148 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$148 |
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?Politics | NoResolved | $16K | 9.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$16K |
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 19?Politics | YesResolved | $58 | 5.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$58 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $4.6K | 32¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4.6K |
Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?Politics | YesResolved | $1.5K | 46¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.5K |
Colorado Rockies vs. Milwaukee BrewersMLB | Milwaukee BrewersResolved | $8.6K | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8.6K |
Jimmy Lai released by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $489 | 4.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$489 |
Knicks vs. CavaliersNBA | CavaliersResolved | $18K | 36¢ | 0.0¢ | -$18K |
Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Nebraska CornhuskersCollege Hoops | Vanderbilt CommodoresResolved | $15K | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15K |
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?Politics | YesResolved | $431 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$431 |
Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?Politics | YesResolved | $485 | 8.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$485 |
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?Politics | YesResolved | $6.2K | 31¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6.2K |
Will the State of the Union be 130 minutes or longer?Politics | YesResolved | $8.6K | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8.6K |
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?Politics | YesResolved | $67K | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$67K |
Spread: Alabama Crimson Tide (-11.5)College Hoops | Hofstra PrideResolved | $15K | 49¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15K |
Pistons vs. MagicNBA | PistonsResolved | $22K | 44¢ | 0.0¢ | -$22K |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $56K | 9.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$56K |
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $4.4K | 5.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4.4K |
Hawks vs. KnicksNBA | HawksResolved | $19K | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$19K |
Will Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Politics | YesResolved | $808 | 6.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$808 |
Will Claire Valdez be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?Politics | NoResolved | $2.9K | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2.9K |
Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?Politics | YesResolved | $75 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$75 |
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Politics | NoResolved | $5.5K | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5.5K |
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $126 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$126 |