← Whale Watch

wan123

Predicting since Dec 2025420 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $1.7M on Politics markets since Dec 2025.

Right now: $651K across 8 Politics markets.

Biggest hit: +$1.2M on US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
Loading…

Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$88K11¢19¢+$70K
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsNo$130K19¢20¢+$7.6K
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?PoliticsNo$44K41¢91¢+$53K
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?PoliticsNo$67K61¢66¢+$4.8K
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?PoliticsYes$18K50¢93¢+$15K
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$24K37¢43¢+$3.6K
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?PoliticsNo$25K90¢94¢+$1.1K
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$75K21¢6.5¢-$52K
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?PoliticsNo$23K46¢45¢-$750
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?PoliticsYes$23K46¢44¢-$1.2K
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?PoliticsYes$73K19¢4.8¢-$55K
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HousePoliticsYes$14K41¢44¢+$730
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?PoliticsNo$8.2K28¢34¢+$1.9K
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?PoliticsNo$4.9K59¢100¢+$3.4K
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?PoliticsNo$6.1K39¢44¢+$702
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?PoliticsNo$5.3K63¢62¢-$36
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$3.8K52¢67¢+$1.1K
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?PoliticsYes$6.3K7.3¢5.2¢-$1.8K
Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?PoliticsNo$4.4K44¢42¢-$250
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$4.0K0.7¢0.7¢-$464
US strike on Cuba by December 31?PoliticsYes$4.2K41¢33¢-$866
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$2.7K72¢84¢+$446
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?PoliticsYes$2.7K38¢44¢+$392
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?PoliticsNo$2.7K88¢97¢+$279
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?PoliticsNo$2.5K23¢21¢-$230
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?PoliticsYes$3.3K23¢13¢-$1.5K
Will Marie Gluesenkamp Perez advance to the general election for WA-03?PoliticsYes$1.5K87¢98¢+$192
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?PoliticsNo$93666¢95¢+$407
Will the Democratic Party win the WA-03 House seat?PoliticsYes$1.4K79¢75¢-$77
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?PoliticsYes$8479.0¢12¢+$234
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?PoliticsNo$67049¢79¢+$393
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?PoliticsYes$32329¢79¢+$542
Will the Republican Party win the WA-03 House seat?PoliticsNo$86181¢77¢-$45
Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by December 31?PoliticsYes$5589.1¢13¢+$208
Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?PoliticsNo$78815¢12¢-$178
Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$75715¢12¢-$176
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?PoliticsYes$2.4K3.2¢0.7¢-$1.9K
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$41173¢89¢+$87
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?EconomyYes$1828.0¢20¢+$268
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?PoliticsNo$26761¢68¢+$28
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$14782¢80¢-$3
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?PoliticsNo$15630¢28¢-$12
Will the Republican Party win the TN-09 House seat?PoliticsYes$4936¢83¢+$64
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?PoliticsNo$22046¢18¢-$133
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?PoliticsYes$3.3K12¢0.1¢-$3.3K
Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026?PoliticsYes$1.6K7.7¢0.1¢-$1.5K
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?NBAYes$71229¢0.1¢-$711
Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-10.5)College HoopsNorthern Iowa PanthersResolved$10K51¢0.0¢-$10K
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$5165.9¢0.0¢-$516
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?NHLYesResolved$43K36¢0.0¢-$43K
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$18140¢0.0¢-$181
Utah State Aggies vs. Villanova Wildcats: O/U 147.5College HoopsUnderResolved$5.0K53¢0.0¢-$5.0K
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?PoliticsYesResolved$1.2K20¢0.0¢-$1.2K
Iran closes its airspace by May 7?PoliticsYesResolved$2165.2¢0.0¢-$216
Will Rick Jackson win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?PoliticsNoResolved$1955¢0.0¢-$19
Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?PoliticsYesResolved$750.2¢0.0¢-$75
Akron Zips vs. Texas Tech Red RaidersCollege HoopsAkron ZipsResolved$13K27¢0.0¢-$13K
Spread: Pistons (-11.5)NBAPistonsResolved$66828¢0.0¢-$668
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?PoliticsNoResolved$3.0K3.9¢0.0¢-$3.0K
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$3.8K9.5¢0.0¢-$3.8K
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$36K4.9¢0.0¢-$36K
Rockets vs. LakersNBARocketsResolved$22K47¢0.0¢-$22K
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?PoliticsYesResolved$4.0K12¢0.0¢-$4.0K
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?PoliticsYesResolved$6.0K23¢0.0¢-$6.0K
Timberwolves vs. NuggetsNBATimberwolvesResolved$28K19¢0.0¢-$28K
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?PoliticsNoResolved$15K26¢0.0¢-$15K
Will James Talarico win the Texas Democratic Senate Primary by between 5% and 10.00%?PoliticsNoResolved$32032¢0.0¢-$320
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$6.3K37¢0.0¢-$6.3K
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$25K31¢0.0¢-$25K
Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-9.5)College HoopsNorthern Iowa PanthersResolved$10.0K45¢0.0¢-$10.0K
Will Jordan strike Iran by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$24311¢0.0¢-$243
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$7661.8¢0.0¢-$766
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?PoliticsYesResolved$1.2K37¢0.0¢-$1.2K
Knicks vs. 76ersNBA76ersResolved$23K32¢0.0¢-$23K
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$11K11¢0.0¢-$11K
Will Jerome Powell be confirmed as Fed Chair?PoliticsYesResolved$750.2¢0.0¢-$75
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?PoliticsYesResolved$14826¢0.0¢-$148
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?PoliticsNoResolved$16K9.4¢0.0¢-$16K
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 19?PoliticsYesResolved$585.3¢0.0¢-$58
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$4.6K32¢0.0¢-$4.6K
Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$1.5K46¢0.0¢-$1.5K
Colorado Rockies vs. Milwaukee BrewersMLBMilwaukee BrewersResolved$8.6K23¢0.0¢-$8.6K
Jimmy Lai released by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$4894.3¢0.0¢-$489
Knicks vs. CavaliersNBACavaliersResolved$18K36¢0.0¢-$18K
Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Nebraska CornhuskersCollege HoopsVanderbilt CommodoresResolved$15K24¢0.0¢-$15K
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?PoliticsYesResolved$43122¢0.0¢-$431
Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?PoliticsYesResolved$4858.7¢0.0¢-$485
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?PoliticsYesResolved$6.2K31¢0.0¢-$6.2K
Will the State of the Union be 130 minutes or longer?PoliticsYesResolved$8.6K14¢0.0¢-$8.6K
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?PoliticsYesResolved$67K16¢0.0¢-$67K
Spread: Alabama Crimson Tide (-11.5)College HoopsHofstra PrideResolved$15K49¢0.0¢-$15K
Pistons vs. MagicNBAPistonsResolved$22K44¢0.0¢-$22K
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$56K9.2¢0.0¢-$56K
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$4.4K5.7¢0.0¢-$4.4K
Hawks vs. KnicksNBAHawksResolved$19K28¢0.0¢-$19K
Will Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?PoliticsYesResolved$8086.9¢0.0¢-$808
Will Claire Valdez be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?PoliticsNoResolved$2.9K19¢0.0¢-$2.9K
Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?PoliticsYesResolved$750.2¢0.0¢-$75
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?PoliticsNoResolved$5.5K15¢0.0¢-$5.5K
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$12612¢0.0¢-$126

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$1.7M
NBA-$278K
College Hoops-$119K
Crypto+$74K
World Cup+$67K
NHL-$44K
UFC / MMA+$30K
Mentions+$19K
Hockey (other)-$11K
MLB-$8.6K
Tech-$1.5K
Economy+$268
Biggest hit
+$1.2M
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Toughest beat
-$88K
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?

Recent moves

  • Bought No · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$5161d ago
  • Bought No · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$21d ago
  • Bought No · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$81d ago
  • Bought No · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$3941d ago
  • Bought Milwaukee Brewers · Colorado Rockies vs. Milwaukee Brewers$5.9K1d ago
  • Bought Milwaukee Brewers · Colorado Rockies vs. Milwaukee Brewers$31d ago
  • Bought Milwaukee Brewers · Colorado Rockies vs. Milwaukee Brewers$71d ago
  • Bought Milwaukee Brewers · Colorado Rockies vs. Milwaukee Brewers$591d ago
  • Bought Milwaukee Brewers · Colorado Rockies vs. Milwaukee Brewers$141d ago
  • Bought Milwaukee Brewers · Colorado Rockies vs. Milwaukee Brewers$291d ago
  • Bought Milwaukee Brewers · Colorado Rockies vs. Milwaukee Brewers$1191d ago
  • Bought Milwaukee Brewers · Colorado Rockies vs. Milwaukee Brewers$121d ago