← Whale Watch

Eatpraylove

Predicting since Jan 20241,475 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $449K on Politics markets since Jan 2024.

Right now: $136K riding on Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?.

Biggest hit: +$344K on Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsNo$136K80¢80¢-$932
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?PoliticsNo$26K92¢95¢+$776
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HousePoliticsYes$15K26¢42¢+$9.3K
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$21K38¢43¢+$3.0K
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?PoliticsYes$26K59¢56¢-$1.2K
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HousePoliticsYes$11K23¢44¢+$9.5K
Trump out as President by July 31?PoliticsNo$20K100¢100¢+$48
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsNo$15K100¢100¢+$1
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HousePoliticsNo$13K83¢87¢+$610
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?PoliticsYes$1.6K12¢82¢+$9.7K
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?PoliticsNo$9.6K87¢88¢+$55
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?PoliticsNo$8.3K83¢87¢+$350
Iran leadership change by December 31?PoliticsNo$6.6K63¢80¢+$1.7K
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$7.1K89¢92¢+$181
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?PoliticsNo$6.9K99¢99¢+$17
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by July 31? PoliticsNo$6.4K99¢99¢+$22
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?PoliticsYes$3.5K44¢80¢+$2.8K
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?PoliticsNo$6.1K85¢90¢+$319
Netanyahu out by July 31?PoliticsNo$4.1K96¢100¢+$144
US recession by end of 2026?EconomyNo$3.2K70¢88¢+$844
Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$3.9K98¢98¢+$10
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?PoliticsYes$1.1K16¢56¢+$2.8K
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by September 30?PoliticsNo$3.4K94¢93¢-$38
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?PoliticsYes$2.8K83¢87¢+$119
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?PoliticsYes$1412.6¢51¢+$2.6K
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$3.0K22¢17¢-$640
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?PoliticsNo$1.9K41¢44¢+$126
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?PoliticsYes$5.3K30¢9.0¢-$3.7K
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1.3K54¢65¢+$271
Will the Republicans win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?PoliticsNo$1.0K77¢87¢+$124
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$98141¢44¢+$66
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$91091¢97¢+$59
Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?PoliticsNo$95395¢96¢+$8
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?PoliticsNo$87161¢59¢-$34
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$68145¢51¢+$89
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?PoliticsNo$69044¢49¢+$68
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsNo$1.1K26¢18¢-$314
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?PoliticsNo$63067¢68¢+$9
Russia x Ukraine Peace ParlayOther sportsYes$94719¢13¢-$326
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?EconomyYes$88514¢8.5¢-$356
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$4907.9¢8.5¢+$37
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?PoliticsYes$624.6¢38¢+$449
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?EconomyNo$54718¢15¢-$86
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?EconomyYes$6033.5¢2.6¢-$149
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$1.8K1.9¢0.4¢-$1.4K
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?PoliticsNo$42585¢85¢-$3
Will the Republican Party hold 57 or more Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?PoliticsNo$42298¢98¢-$0
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026PoliticsYes$36072¢77¢+$22
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?PoliticsYes$3803.8¢3.6¢-$15
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?PoliticsNo$37575¢73¢-$13
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$34563¢59¢-$22
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$4600.9¢0.7¢-$140
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$2414.5¢5.1¢+$33
US charges Hormuz fees by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$24796¢100¢+$11
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$77038¢13¢-$520
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$71223¢7.4¢-$483
Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$18682¢96¢+$31
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$20795¢98¢+$7
Putin out as President of Russia by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$19799¢100¢+$1
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?PoliticsYes$19212¢12¢-$5
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?PoliticsNo$17827¢28¢+$5
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$13266¢90¢+$47
Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?PoliticsYes$380.7¢3.1¢+$131
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$1540.7¢0.8¢+$11
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?PoliticsYes$6810¢24¢+$84
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?PoliticsYes$9512¢14¢+$23
Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026?PoliticsYes$9973¢78¢+$7
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?PoliticsYes$1909.5¢5.0¢-$90
Will the Republican Party hold between 195 and 199 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?PoliticsYes$9412¢13¢+$1
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$900.6¢0.7¢+$1
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 51 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?PoliticsYes$569.8¢14¢+$21
Will the Republican Party hold between 205 and 209 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?PoliticsNo$7088¢91¢+$2
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?PoliticsYes$941.5¢1.1¢-$22
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?PoliticsYes$2026¢89¢+$49
Will Ahmad Vahidi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?PoliticsYes$380.7¢1.3¢+$30
Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026?PoliticsYes$1122.1¢1.3¢-$46
Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$1001.0¢0.7¢-$35
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027?PoliticsNo$5280¢92¢+$8
Will the Republican Party hold between 190 and 194 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?PoliticsYes$4611¢14¢+$13
Will Jorge Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?PoliticsYes$971.8¢0.7¢-$61
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?PoliticsYes$8319¢8.0¢-$48
Will the Republicans win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?PoliticsNo$2776¢87¢+$4
Will Hassan Rouhani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?PoliticsYes$380.7¢0.5¢-$8
Will Hassan Khomeini be head of state in Iran end of 2026?PoliticsYes$380.7¢0.5¢-$8
Will Muhammad Mirbaqiri be head of state in Iran end of 2026?PoliticsYes$380.7¢0.4¢-$13
Will Masoud Pezeshkian be head of state in Iran end of 2026?PoliticsYes$280.8¢0.6¢-$7
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$11.8¢26¢+$17
Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?PoliticsYes$1272¢81¢+$1
Will Mohammad Khatami be head of state in Iran end of 2026?PoliticsYes$380.7¢0.3¢-$24
Will Sadegh Larijani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?PoliticsYes$380.7¢0.3¢-$24
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?PoliticsYes$910¢14¢+$3
2026 Balance of Power: OtherPoliticsYes$37720¢0.5¢-$367
Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?PoliticsYes$562.0¢0.4¢-$46
Will Ali Motahari be head of state in Iran end of 2026?PoliticsYes$380.7¢0.1¢-$29
Will Reza Pirzadeh be head of state in Iran end of 2026?PoliticsYes$380.7¢0.1¢-$29
Will Seyed Hossein Mousavian be head of state in Iran end of 2026?PoliticsYes$380.7¢0.1¢-$29
Will Sadegh Mahsouli be head of state in Iran end of 2026?PoliticsYes$380.7¢0.1¢-$29
Will Ahmad Hosseini Khorasani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?PoliticsYes$380.7¢0.1¢-$29
Will Mostafa Pourmohammadi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?PoliticsYes$380.7¢0.1¢-$29
Will Gholam-Ali Haddad-Adel be head of state in Iran end of 2026?PoliticsYes$380.7¢0.1¢-$29

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Politics+$449K
World Cup-$56K
Culture+$25K
Tech-$13K
NFL+$11K
Mentions+$9.3K
Crypto+$8.4K
Boxing+$4.9K
NBA-$4.2K
College Football+$2.8K
Other sports-$2.2K
Economy-$1.0K
Biggest hit
+$344K
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Toughest beat
-$46K
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?

Recent moves

  • Sold Yes · 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House$11m ago
  • Sold Yes · 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House$43m ago
  • Sold No · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$35014m ago
  • Sold Yes · Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$7024m ago
  • Sold Yes · Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$226m ago
  • Sold Yes · Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$526m ago
  • Sold No · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$16827m ago
  • Sold Yes · Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$8829m ago
  • Sold No · Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?$2.8K36m ago
  • Sold No · Putin out as President of Russia by July 31, 2026?$5051m ago
  • Sold Yes · 2026 Balance of Power: Other$054m ago
  • Sold Yes · Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$2955m ago