Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | No | $136K | 80¢ | 80¢ | -$932 |
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?Politics | No | $26K | 92¢ | 95¢ | +$776 |
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HousePolitics | Yes | $15K | 26¢ | 42¢ | +$9.3K |
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $21K | 38¢ | 43¢ | +$3.0K |
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $26K | 59¢ | 56¢ | -$1.2K |
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HousePolitics | Yes | $11K | 23¢ | 44¢ | +$9.5K |
Trump out as President by July 31?Politics | No | $20K | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$48 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $15K | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 |
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HousePolitics | No | $13K | 83¢ | 87¢ | +$610 |
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $1.6K | 12¢ | 82¢ | +$9.7K |
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Politics | No | $9.6K | 87¢ | 88¢ | +$55 |
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics | No | $8.3K | 83¢ | 87¢ | +$350 |
Iran leadership change by December 31?Politics | No | $6.6K | 63¢ | 80¢ | +$1.7K |
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $7.1K | 89¢ | 92¢ | +$181 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Politics | No | $6.9K | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$17 |
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by July 31? Politics | No | $6.4K | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$22 |
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $3.5K | 44¢ | 80¢ | +$2.8K |
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?Politics | No | $6.1K | 85¢ | 90¢ | +$319 |
Netanyahu out by July 31?Politics | No | $4.1K | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$144 |
US recession by end of 2026?Economy | No | $3.2K | 70¢ | 88¢ | +$844 |
Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026?Politics | No | $3.9K | 98¢ | 98¢ | +$10 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Politics | Yes | $1.1K | 16¢ | 56¢ | +$2.8K |
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by September 30?Politics | No | $3.4K | 94¢ | 93¢ | -$38 |
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $2.8K | 83¢ | 87¢ | +$119 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?Politics | Yes | $141 | 2.6¢ | 51¢ | +$2.6K |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $3.0K | 22¢ | 17¢ | -$640 |
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Politics | No | $1.9K | 41¢ | 44¢ | +$126 |
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $5.3K | 30¢ | 9.0¢ | -$3.7K |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $1.3K | 54¢ | 65¢ | +$271 |
Will the Republicans win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?Politics | No | $1.0K | 77¢ | 87¢ | +$124 |
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $981 | 41¢ | 44¢ | +$66 |
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $910 | 91¢ | 97¢ | +$59 |
Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $953 | 95¢ | 96¢ | +$8 |
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Politics | No | $871 | 61¢ | 59¢ | -$34 |
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $681 | 45¢ | 51¢ | +$89 |
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Politics | No | $690 | 44¢ | 49¢ | +$68 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $1.1K | 26¢ | 18¢ | -$314 |
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?Politics | No | $630 | 67¢ | 68¢ | +$9 |
Russia x Ukraine Peace ParlayOther sports | Yes | $947 | 19¢ | 13¢ | -$326 |
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $885 | 14¢ | 8.5¢ | -$356 |
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $490 | 7.9¢ | 8.5¢ | +$37 |
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics | Yes | $62 | 4.6¢ | 38¢ | +$449 |
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | No | $547 | 18¢ | 15¢ | -$86 |
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $603 | 3.5¢ | 2.6¢ | -$149 |
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $1.8K | 1.9¢ | 0.4¢ | -$1.4K |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Politics | No | $425 | 85¢ | 85¢ | -$3 |
Will the Republican Party hold 57 or more Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics | No | $422 | 98¢ | 98¢ | -$0 |
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Politics | Yes | $360 | 72¢ | 77¢ | +$22 |
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $380 | 3.8¢ | 3.6¢ | -$15 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Politics | No | $375 | 75¢ | 73¢ | -$13 |
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $345 | 63¢ | 59¢ | -$22 |
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $460 | 0.9¢ | 0.7¢ | -$140 |
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $241 | 4.5¢ | 5.1¢ | +$33 |
| US charges Hormuz fees by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $247 | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$11 |
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $770 | 38¢ | 13¢ | -$520 |
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $712 | 23¢ | 7.4¢ | -$483 |
Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $186 | 82¢ | 96¢ | +$31 |
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by August 31, 2026?Politics | No | $207 | 95¢ | 98¢ | +$7 |
Putin out as President of Russia by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $197 | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 |
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $192 | 12¢ | 12¢ | -$5 |
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Politics | No | $178 | 27¢ | 28¢ | +$5 |
| Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $132 | 66¢ | 90¢ | +$47 |
Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $38 | 0.7¢ | 3.1¢ | +$131 |
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $154 | 0.7¢ | 0.8¢ | +$11 |
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $68 | 10¢ | 24¢ | +$84 |
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $95 | 12¢ | 14¢ | +$23 |
Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $99 | 73¢ | 78¢ | +$7 |
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?Politics | Yes | $190 | 9.5¢ | 5.0¢ | -$90 |
Will the Republican Party hold between 195 and 199 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $94 | 12¢ | 13¢ | +$1 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $90 | 0.6¢ | 0.7¢ | +$1 |
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 51 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $56 | 9.8¢ | 14¢ | +$21 |
Will the Republican Party hold between 205 and 209 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics | No | $70 | 88¢ | 91¢ | +$2 |
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $94 | 1.5¢ | 1.1¢ | -$22 |
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?Politics | Yes | $20 | 26¢ | 89¢ | +$49 |
Will Ahmad Vahidi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $38 | 0.7¢ | 1.3¢ | +$30 |
Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $112 | 2.1¢ | 1.3¢ | -$46 |
Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $100 | 1.0¢ | 0.7¢ | -$35 |
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027?Politics | No | $52 | 80¢ | 92¢ | +$8 |
Will the Republican Party hold between 190 and 194 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $46 | 11¢ | 14¢ | +$13 |
Will Jorge Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $97 | 1.8¢ | 0.7¢ | -$61 |
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?Politics | Yes | $83 | 19¢ | 8.0¢ | -$48 |
Will the Republicans win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?Politics | No | $27 | 76¢ | 87¢ | +$4 |
Will Hassan Rouhani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $38 | 0.7¢ | 0.5¢ | -$8 |
Will Hassan Khomeini be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $38 | 0.7¢ | 0.5¢ | -$8 |
Will Muhammad Mirbaqiri be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $38 | 0.7¢ | 0.4¢ | -$13 |
Will Masoud Pezeshkian be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $28 | 0.8¢ | 0.6¢ | -$7 |
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $1 | 1.8¢ | 26¢ | +$17 |
Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?Politics | Yes | $12 | 72¢ | 81¢ | +$1 |
Will Mohammad Khatami be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $38 | 0.7¢ | 0.3¢ | -$24 |
Will Sadegh Larijani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $38 | 0.7¢ | 0.3¢ | -$24 |
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $9 | 10¢ | 14¢ | +$3 |
2026 Balance of Power: OtherPolitics | Yes | $377 | 20¢ | 0.5¢ | -$367 |
Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $56 | 2.0¢ | 0.4¢ | -$46 |
Will Ali Motahari be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $38 | 0.7¢ | 0.1¢ | -$29 |
Will Reza Pirzadeh be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $38 | 0.7¢ | 0.1¢ | -$29 |
Will Seyed Hossein Mousavian be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $38 | 0.7¢ | 0.1¢ | -$29 |
Will Sadegh Mahsouli be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $38 | 0.7¢ | 0.1¢ | -$29 |
Will Ahmad Hosseini Khorasani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $38 | 0.7¢ | 0.1¢ | -$29 |
Will Mostafa Pourmohammadi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $38 | 0.7¢ | 0.1¢ | -$29 |
Will Gholam-Ali Haddad-Adel be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $38 | 0.7¢ | 0.1¢ | -$29 |