← Whale Watch

ScottyNooo

Predicting since May 20253,173 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $40K on Tech markets since May 2025.

Right now: $148K across 4 Politics markets.

Biggest hit: +$151K on Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes$121K49¢63¢+$34K
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$110K84¢80¢-$5.0K
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?PoliticsNo$51K80¢86¢+$3.7K
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?PoliticsNo$35K74¢91¢+$8.0K
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?PoliticsYes$34K80¢86¢+$2.3K
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$17K4.5¢8.1¢+$13K
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$25K45¢43¢-$1.0K
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$14K2.9¢4.9¢+$9.4K
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsNo$23K83¢81¢-$572
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes$27K32¢24¢-$7.2K
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$23K23¢20¢-$3.0K
Will Trump endorse John Cornyn for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?PoliticsNo$20K98¢99¢+$70
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HousePoliticsNo$12K84¢87¢+$364
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HousePoliticsYes$10K37¢41¢+$849
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HousePoliticsYes$8.8K36¢44¢+$1.8K
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsNo$8.9K96¢98¢+$246
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?PoliticsNo$6.5K73¢88¢+$1.3K
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?PoliticsNo$6.8K89¢99¢+$781
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$5.1K19¢27¢+$2.1K
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?PoliticsYes$6.2K40¢44¢+$629
Iran leadership change by July 31?PoliticsNo$4.9K93¢99¢+$302
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?PoliticsNo$4.3K86¢90¢+$207
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsNo$4.3K96¢98¢+$95
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$5.6K16¢13¢-$1.3K
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?PoliticsYes$6.9K58¢28¢-$3.5K
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?PoliticsNo$2.8K39¢45¢+$432
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$3.2K5.1¢5.1¢+$1
Iran leadership change by December 31?PoliticsNo$2.2K64¢80¢+$556
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 55 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?PoliticsNo$2.4K98¢99¢+$23
Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?PoliticsYes$1.4K51¢86¢+$965
Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026?PoliticsNo$2.2K80¢87¢+$172
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsNo$2.4K89¢84¢-$127
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?PoliticsYes$4.5K15¢7.5¢-$2.2K
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?PoliticsNo$3.0K79¢57¢-$856
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?PoliticsNo$1.8K83¢96¢+$273
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?PoliticsYes$4.9K30¢12¢-$3.0K
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$1.7K11¢12¢+$180
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$1.2K5.6¢8.5¢+$626
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?PoliticsYes$1.1K54¢82¢+$556
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?PoliticsYes$1.4K33¢38¢+$207
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?PoliticsYes$8649.0¢14¢+$525
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?TechYes$1.2K82¢81¢-$12
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$8131.9¢2.6¢+$325
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?PoliticsNo$1.2K79¢77¢-$41
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$9081.8¢2.1¢+$161
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$8890.8¢0.9¢+$167
Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?PoliticsYes$61162¢99¢+$364
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsNo$84476¢81¢+$53
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$69981¢94¢+$111
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?PoliticsNo$2.1K39¢14¢-$1.4K
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$60054¢57¢+$39
Will the Republican Party hold 57 or more Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?PoliticsNo$63298¢98¢+$0
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$6231.1¢1.1¢+$6
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?PoliticsYes$49680¢100¢+$125
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsNo$58297¢98¢+$9
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?PoliticsNo$57696¢95¢-$5
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R HousePoliticsNo$56898¢98¢-$0
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsYes$44325¢31¢+$110
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$53389¢92¢+$16
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?PoliticsYes$2.0K39¢10¢-$1.5K
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?EconomyNo$46893¢100¢+$36
US strike on Mexico by December 31?PoliticsYes$57114¢12¢-$79
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$3674.2¢5.1¢+$79
Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsNo$42796¢100¢+$15
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?PoliticsNo$34381¢95¢+$56
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?PoliticsNo$43472¢66¢-$41
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$2671.6¢2.4¢+$125
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?PoliticsNo$38486¢88¢+$7
US strike on Colombia by December 31?PoliticsYes$23315¢25¢+$155
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsNo$40295¢91¢-$18
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?PoliticsYes$1.4K25¢6.5¢-$1.0K
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?PoliticsYes$1.8K13¢2.7¢-$1.4K
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?PoliticsYes$3.0K47¢5.5¢-$2.6K
Russia x Ukraine Peace ParlayOther sportsYes$58421¢13¢-$241
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?EconomyNo$34015¢15¢-$1
Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?PoliticsYes$25470¢84¢+$50
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?PoliticsNo$28695¢99¢+$12
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?PoliticsYes$30245¢44¢-$10
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?PoliticsNo$21364¢85¢+$68
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?PoliticsNo$64514¢5.9¢-$370
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsYes$32823¢20¢-$55
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?PoliticsYes$46240¢24¢-$193
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?PoliticsYes$2349.2¢11¢+$33
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$23759¢67¢+$29
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?PoliticsYes$1578.4¢14¢+$95
Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?PoliticsNo$14850¢79¢+$86
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31?PoliticsYes$42825¢14¢-$197
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 56 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?PoliticsNo$21999¢99¢+$0
US strike on Cuba by December 31?PoliticsYes$29344¢33¢-$75
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?PoliticsYes$46487¢41¢-$247
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?PoliticsNo$18081¢96¢+$32
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$20656¢56¢+$4
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?PoliticsYes$2.0K15¢1.5¢-$1.8K
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$21371¢69¢-$5
Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?CryptoNo$22090¢82¢-$19
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by July 31? PoliticsNo$18793¢99¢+$13
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 5 and 10 years in prison?PoliticsNo$19095¢100¢+$9
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$20245¢44¢-$7
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$1228.8¢14¢+$68
Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?PoliticsYes$39520¢9.5¢-$207

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Tech-$40K
Politics-$36K
Culture-$32K
Crypto+$7.7K
Other+$2.1K
NBA-$1.1K
Tennis+$862
Boxing-$586
Economy-$526
Mentions+$441
MLB-$296
Other sports-$209
Biggest hit
+$151K
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Toughest beat
-$483K
Will the government shutdown end November 12?

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$381h ago
  • Sold No · Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$1601h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$422h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$442h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$462h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$53h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$489h ago
  • Bought No · Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?$19114h ago
  • Bought No · Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?$19314h ago
  • Bought No · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$47416h ago
  • Bought No · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$1.3K16h ago
  • Bought No · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$1.3K16h ago