 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | No | $2.7K | 73¢ | 81¢ | +$265 |
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Weather | No | $2.9K | 97¢ | 97¢ | -$12 |
 Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | No | $2.4K | 60¢ | 56¢ | -$136 |
 Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | No | $2.4K | 57¢ | 48¢ | -$393 |
 Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Formula 1 | No | $1.9K | 97¢ | 96¢ | -$7 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | No | $1.8K | 92¢ | 92¢ | -$1 |
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | No | $1.8K | 80¢ | 80¢ | -$14 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $2.3K | 53¢ | 41¢ | -$542 |
 Ebola pandemic in 2026?Weather | No | $1.7K | 97¢ | 96¢ | -$16 |
 Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | No | $1.6K | 87¢ | 84¢ | -$61 |
 Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | No | $1.5K | 91¢ | 91¢ | +$2 |
 Will Karim Bouamrane win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | No | $1.4K | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$6 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 27?Politics | Yes | $1.4K | 96¢ | 96¢ | -$2 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | No | $1.4K | 75¢ | 73¢ | -$39 |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | No | $1.3K | 71¢ | 74¢ | +$61 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $1.3K | 91¢ | 92¢ | +$7 |
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Politics | No | $1.3K | 93¢ | 93¢ | +$7 |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Politics | No | $1.3K | 61¢ | 56¢ | -$93 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | No | $1.2K | 80¢ | 80¢ | +$8 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $1.6K | 48¢ | 38¢ | -$334 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $1.2K | 77¢ | 76¢ | -$3 |
 Cuban regime falls in 2026?Politics | No | $1.2K | 85¢ | 82¢ | -$47 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Politics | No | $1000 | 76¢ | 85¢ | +$108 |
 Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $1.1K | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$1 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | No | $1.2K | 61¢ | 57¢ | -$73 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Politics | No | $1.0K | 90¢ | 91¢ | +$2 |
 St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati RedsMLB | Cincinnati Reds | $1.1K | 60¢ | 57¢ | -$50 |
| Will Pau Cubarsi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | No | $1.0K | 99¢ | 99¢ | -$1 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?Politics | No | $1.0K | 70¢ | 68¢ | -$33 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $985 | 78¢ | 79¢ | +$10 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $949 | 60¢ | 63¢ | +$35 |
| Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | No | $989 | 98¢ | 97¢ | -$16 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Politics | No | $949 | 87¢ | 88¢ | +$8 |
 Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship?NFL | No | $966 | 96¢ | 95¢ | -$14 |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HousePolitics | No | $1.0K | 63¢ | 60¢ | -$51 |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $1.1K | 49¢ | 44¢ | -$117 |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | No | $932 | 89¢ | 89¢ | -$5 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?Politics | No | $1.0K | 47¢ | 42¢ | -$130 |
 Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Politics | No | $933 | 82¢ | 77¢ | -$57 |
 Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?Formula 1 | No | $858 | 97¢ | 97¢ | -$2 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | No | $773 | 65¢ | 67¢ | +$21 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $999 | 59¢ | 47¢ | -$216 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $817 | 75¢ | 71¢ | -$42 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026?Economy | No | $852 | 34¢ | 30¢ | -$107 |
 Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Economy | No | $831 | 82¢ | 72¢ | -$106 |
 Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $828 | 58¢ | 51¢ | -$108 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $687 | 74¢ | 76¢ | +$14 |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?Economy | Yes | $689 | 70¢ | 71¢ | +$5 |
 Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Economy | No | $668 | 90¢ | 92¢ | +$11 |
 Will Elmano de Freitas win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?Politics | No | $715 | 78¢ | 74¢ | -$43 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $684 | 69¢ | 68¢ | -$18 |
| Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Economy | No | $726 | 76¢ | 69¢ | -$69 |
 Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $646 | 88¢ | 90¢ | +$10 |
 Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $609 | 89¢ | 93¢ | +$27 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $631 | 56¢ | 56¢ | +$2 |
 Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?Culture | No | $598 | 87¢ | 91¢ | +$22 |
| Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | No | $612 | 100¢ | 100¢ | -$0 |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?Politics | Yes | $656 | 55¢ | 51¢ | -$59 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Politics | No | $614 | 76¢ | 72¢ | -$36 |
 Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Politics | No | $676 | 39¢ | 34¢ | -$99 |
 Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?Politics | No | $631 | 27¢ | 24¢ | -$65 |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | No | $570 | 97¢ | 96¢ | -$6 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Politics | No | $554 | 94¢ | 95¢ | +$5 |
 Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?Politics | Yes | $619 | 35¢ | 31¢ | -$71 |
 Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?Economy | No | $505 | 77¢ | 81¢ | +$25 |
 Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?NBA | No | $567 | 94¢ | 87¢ | -$47 |
 Israel closes its airspace by August 15?Politics | No | $523 | 80¢ | 80¢ | -$3 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Politics | Yes | $1.0K | 11¢ | 5.5¢ | -$516 |
| Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?Economy | No | $507 | 100¢ | 100¢ | -$1 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026?Politics | No | $505 | 98¢ | 98¢ | +$0 |
 Iran full airspace closure by August 15?Politics | Yes | $882 | 40¢ | 23¢ | -$380 |
 Will Hakainde Hichilema win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?Politics | Yes | $505 | 89¢ | 89¢ | -$3 |
 Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $868 | 1.8¢ | 1.1¢ | -$373 |
| Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?Formula 1 | No | $494 | 85¢ | 85¢ | -$1 |
| Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026?Culture | No | $481 | 96¢ | 97¢ | +$4 |
 Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | No | $485 | 98¢ | 97¢ | -$2 |
 Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31?Tech | Yes | $762 | 84¢ | 53¢ | -$283 |
 Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Economy | No | $477 | 96¢ | 96¢ | +$0 |
 Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | No | $477 | 98¢ | 98¢ | -$0 |
 Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Politics | No | $541 | 68¢ | 60¢ | -$65 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | No | $477 | 96¢ | 95¢ | -$3 |
 Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?Economy | No | $695 | 58¢ | 39¢ | -$226 |
| Will the Republican Party win the OH-11 House seat?Politics | No | $478 | 97¢ | 94¢ | -$12 |
| Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)MLB | Tampa Bay Rays | $541 | 66¢ | 56¢ | -$78 |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Economy | No | $508 | 86¢ | 76¢ | -$55 |
 Will Anthropic's public ticker be $CLAU?Tech | No | $451 | 98¢ | 97¢ | -$2 |
| Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026?Culture | No | $444 | 100¢ | 100¢ | -$0 |
 Will Lovable announce bankruptcy before 2027?Crypto | No | $443 | 96¢ | 94¢ | -$10 |
 Will Philip Sarnecki win the 2026 Kansas Governor Republican primary election?Politics | No | $444 | 86¢ | 83¢ | -$15 |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Economy | Yes | $604 | 54¢ | 39¢ | -$176 |
 Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | Yes | $462 | 34¢ | 31¢ | -$39 |
 Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by September 30?Politics | Yes | $489 | 68¢ | 59¢ | -$66 |
 Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | No | $422 | 97¢ | 97¢ | -$0 |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Culture | Yes | $425 | 68¢ | 66¢ | -$16 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $397 | 18¢ | 19¢ | +$11 |
 Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | No | $413 | 76¢ | 75¢ | -$7 |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.5T and 1.8T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?Tech | No | $409 | 84¢ | 82¢ | -$5 |
 Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 34°C on July 27?Weather | No | $444 | 81¢ | 74¢ | -$42 |
| Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?Economy | No | $395 | 99¢ | 99¢ | -$1 |
 Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | No | $395 | 99¢ | 99¢ | -$1 |
Sold Yes · Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on July 27?$142s ago
Bought No · Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on July 27?$41m ago
Bought No · Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 27?$62m ago
Sold No · Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on July 27?$82m ago
Sold No · Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on July 27?$02m ago
Bought No · Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 32°C on July 27?$312m ago