← Whale Watch

baran-ludoman

Predicting since Nov 2025129 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $37K on Politics markets since Nov 2025.

Right now: $20K across 2 Economy markets.

Biggest hit: +$21K on US government shutdown Saturday?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
US recession by end of 2026?EconomyNo$20K81¢88¢+$1.7K
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?PoliticsNo$17K49¢56¢+$2.5K
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?EconomyNo$7.0K74¢92¢+$1.7K
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsNo$8.2K59¢57¢-$218
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?PoliticsNo$7.2K18¢14¢-$1.4K
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes$7.9K35¢24¢-$2.6K
Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?PoliticsYes$3.3K87¢99¢+$489
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes$2.4K44¢63¢+$996
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?PoliticsNo$2.6K44¢43¢-$90
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?PoliticsYes$2.1K43¢44¢+$14
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?PoliticsNo$71042¢91¢+$820
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?PoliticsNo$1.4K92¢95¢+$38
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$1.3K27¢27¢-$20
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$1.2K41¢43¢+$57
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?EconomyNo$2.8K40¢15¢-$1.7K
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?PoliticsYes$3.9K23¢5.5¢-$3.0K
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoYes$3.0K36¢9.5¢-$2.2K
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$63913¢16¢+$138
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?PoliticsYes$36736¢44¢+$82
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?PoliticsYes$2.2K58¢12¢-$1.8K
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?EconomyYes$8887.2¢2.9¢-$535
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsNo$25384¢84¢+$0
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?PoliticsYes$1.3K15¢2.8¢-$1.1K
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?EconomyYes$17212¢8.5¢-$50
US recession by end of 2026?EconomyYes$10110¢12¢+$20
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?PoliticsYes$1.6K7.5¢0.4¢-$1.5K
Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?PoliticsNo$1.6K25¢0.7¢-$1.5K
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$7.8K39¢0.0¢-$7.8K
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?Champions LeagueYesResolved$13520¢0.0¢-$135
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Premier LeagueNoResolved$9711¢0.0¢-$97
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 on March 30?CryptoYesResolved$2408.0¢0.0¢-$240
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?PoliticsYesResolved$84.0¢0.0¢-$8
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April?CryptoYesResolved$1905.0¢0.0¢-$190
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?CryptoYesResolved$1.2K32¢0.0¢-$1.2K
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?CryptoYesResolved$1.4K12¢0.0¢-$1.4K
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?PoliticsYesResolved$412¢0.0¢-$4
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?PoliticsYesResolved$927.1¢0.0¢-$92
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?CryptoYesResolved$656.0¢0.0¢-$65
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?CryptoNoResolved$17639¢0.0¢-$176
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in March?CryptoYesResolved$62.1¢0.0¢-$6
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?PoliticsYesResolved$3455.8¢0.0¢-$345
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June?CryptoYesResolved$16516¢0.0¢-$165
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?PoliticsNoResolved$2.6K41¢0.0¢-$2.6K
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June?CryptoYesResolved$6279.7¢0.0¢-$627
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 on March 31?CryptoYesResolved$1.6K18¢0.0¢-$1.6K
Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in June?CryptoYesResolved$3646.4¢0.0¢-$364
Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?CultureYesResolved$2.2K14¢0.0¢-$2.2K
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?CryptoYesResolved$1.3K10.0¢0.0¢-$1.3K
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?CryptoYesResolved$759.9¢0.0¢-$75
Will Donald Trump visit China in 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$737.2¢0.0¢-$73
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Premier LeagueYesResolved$11611¢0.0¢-$116
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?CryptoYesResolved$881.2¢0.0¢-$88
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?PoliticsNoResolved$2128¢0.0¢-$21
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?La LigaYesResolved$1.4K21¢0.0¢-$1.4K
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?CryptoYesResolved$6049.5¢0.0¢-$604
Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 on March 30?CryptoYesResolved$60030¢0.0¢-$600
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?Champions LeagueYesResolved$37129¢0.0¢-$371

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$37K
Crypto+$11K
Economy+$6.7K
Culture+$6.6K
World Cup-$5.6K
NHL-$3.9K
Champions League-$2.3K
La Liga-$2.1K
Premier League-$2.1K
NFL-$722
Weather-$193
Formula 1-$1
Biggest hit
+$21K
US government shutdown Saturday?
Toughest beat
-$7.6K
Government shutdown on Saturday?

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$26818h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1318h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$11418h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$320h ago
  • Bought No · Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$2531d ago
  • Bought No · Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?$1.4K1d ago
  • Sold No · Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$172d ago
  • Sold No · Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$622d ago
  • Sold No · Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$32d ago
  • Sold No · Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$272d ago
  • Sold No · Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$222d ago
  • Sold No · Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$282d ago