← Whale Watch

nojnn

Predicting since Oct 2024343 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $541K on Politics markets since Oct 2024.

Right now: $328K riding on Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?.

Biggest hit: +$123K on US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsNo$328K69¢81¢+$54K
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?FinanceNo$77K87¢85¢-$2.5K
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?PoliticsNo$38K90¢94¢+$1.8K
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?PoliticsNo$19K86¢85¢-$429
Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?PoliticsYes$15K92¢96¢+$562
Cuban regime falls in 2026?PoliticsNo$7.8K78¢82¢+$353
US strike on Cuba by December 31?PoliticsNo$8.4K71¢68¢-$431
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes$8.3K81¢78¢-$269
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?FinanceNo$7.7K92¢93¢+$34
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?PoliticsNo$5.1K64¢73¢+$748
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 27?PoliticsYes$4.7K94¢96¢+$131
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?PoliticsYes$4.7K95¢99¢+$181
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?PoliticsYes$3.1K85¢94¢+$317
Israel closes its airspace by August 15?PoliticsNo$3.0K76¢80¢+$138
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 28?PoliticsYes$2.6K93¢95¢+$48
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?PoliticsYes$2.1K70¢87¢+$508
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?PoliticsYes$2.4K64¢68¢+$148
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$1.7K11¢14¢+$351
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsNo$1.7K87¢90¢+$47
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?PoliticsNo$1.1K87¢92¢+$59
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes$1.2K68¢65¢-$59
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?PoliticsNo$90061¢69¢+$103
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in July?FinanceYes$80096¢98¢+$16
Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$66794¢96¢+$17
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?PoliticsNo$49483¢85¢+$14
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 30?PoliticsYes$48187¢89¢+$10
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 29?PoliticsYes$43792¢93¢+$2
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?PoliticsYes$38057¢59¢+$10
Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?PoliticsYes$7069¢84¢+$16
Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by September 30?PoliticsNo$8190¢92¢+$2
Will Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsNo$5488¢90¢+$1
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?PoliticsYes$2852¢69¢+$9
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?PoliticsNo$278¢86¢+$0
Will the final be ESP vs ARG at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupNoResolved$2.5K81¢0.0¢-$2.5K
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?FinanceNoResolved$53K83¢0.0¢-$53K
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$1.0K1.0¢0.0¢-$1.0K
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?FinanceNoResolved$17K85¢0.0¢-$17K
Will Mohsen Araki be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?PoliticsYesResolved$40.5¢0.0¢-$4
Mexico vs. England: England O/U 2.5World CupUnderResolved$3.0K89¢0.0¢-$3.0K
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?FinanceNoResolved$47K84¢0.0¢-$47K
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?PoliticsYesResolved$100015¢0.0¢-$1000
Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to AdvanceWorld CupCroatiaResolved$1.9K31¢0.0¢-$1.9K
Will Neymar score 1+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupNoResolved$3.2K75¢0.0¢-$3.2K
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?PoliticsYesResolved$45083¢0.0¢-$450
Spurs vs. KnicksNBASpursResolved$4.3K80¢0.0¢-$4.3K
Will Iran close its airspace by August 31?PoliticsNoResolved$9.3K62¢0.0¢-$9.3K
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$3.9K4.1¢0.0¢-$3.9K
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 7?PoliticsYesResolved$2.0K89¢0.0¢-$2.0K
Will Brazil reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupNoResolved$1.1K33¢0.0¢-$1.1K
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through July 31?PoliticsYesResolved$1.1K70¢0.0¢-$1.1K
Iran closes its airspace by July 31?PoliticsNoResolved$2.5K62¢0.0¢-$2.5K
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$3.2K80¢0.0¢-$3.2K
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$5.3K5.3¢0.0¢-$5.3K
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?FinanceNoResolved$2.8K88¢0.0¢-$2.8K
Will Iran close its airspace by July 31?PoliticsNoResolved$4.4K64¢0.0¢-$4.4K
Iran closes its airspace by July 15?PoliticsNoResolved$16568¢0.0¢-$165
Will Iran close its airspace by December 31?PoliticsNoResolved$1.3K35¢0.0¢-$1.3K
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$9.0K54¢0.0¢-$9.0K

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$541K
Finance-$106K
World Cup-$12K
NBA-$3.7K
MLB+$525
Crypto+$449
Boxing+$396
Culture+$13
Biggest hit
+$123K
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Toughest beat
-$31K
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Recent moves

  • Bought No · Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?$4.5K2m ago
  • Sold No · Israel closes its airspace by July 31?$4.7K2m ago
  • Bought Yes · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?$925m ago
  • Bought Yes · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?$3215m ago
  • Bought Yes · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?$5426m ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1047m ago
  • Sold No · Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?$8417m ago
  • Bought Yes · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 28?$54511h ago
  • Bought Yes · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 30?$6611h ago
  • Bought Yes · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 28?$1.2K12h ago
  • Bought No · Israel closes its airspace by August 31?$25512h ago
  • Bought No · Israel closes its airspace by August 15?$1.7K12h ago