← Belugo Whale Watch

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?
$206K volumeYes 58¢No 42¢
Sharp lean: 94% Yes6% No
Share of money held by tracked sharps (top 1,000 Polymarket accounts) among this market's top holders.
Top Yes holders
58¢- 165765757Sharp$12K
- 2RenanPresidente.Sharp$11K
- 3FLash7-134$7.9K
- 4
ThanksGivingTurkey1001$4.1K - 5LulaVaiPerderSharp$4.1K
- 60xc7285A98C485b4350cE50fA0B67f067693dE3E5b-1768074690253$2.9K
- 7megaforest$2.7K
- 8SuperavitFiscal$1.9K
- 9Seeking-Alpha01$1.9K
- 10
ZiK.$1.8K - 11
balthazarSharp$1.3K - 12suntori$1.2K
- 13
GroovyCr0c0dil3$1.0K - 14Catfly$986
- 15darnak$965
- 16HerrieDavisSharp$876
- 17Addarash$849
- 180x4025c911Cf213D04ff2d409BAEe57D1b270c3644-1781053677729$708
- 19bancomaster$674
- 20tnl$580
Top 20 per side (Polymarket API limit). Values at the current price.
Top No holders
42¢- 10xa5ef…2966$23K
- 2anoin123$8.2K
- 3
Mac-Gyver$4.7K - 4conherence$2.0K
- 5Tyatsmr$1.7K
- 6lava-lavaSharp$1.6K
- 7Gaditima$1.6K
- 8dips.$939
- 9lissartter$860
- 100xF5e47CaF8B2E23aa9230D70758bDb2c9747F471a-1746012744983$799
- 11
Haradwaith$595 - 12donthackmeSharp$330
- 130xB8eE94bD599A92D4747DdA5f3bc6D2B243349e81-1765943326811$284
- 14vyemfql$210
- 15
BiDiFakePolls$210 - 16rocky42017$202
- 17
crypto-basenji$193 - 18Mandalorec$148
- 19cigarettes$141
- 20puravida$128
Top 20 per side (Polymarket API limit). Values at the current price.
Recent big trades here
- $2,647 on Yes @ 54¢0xc7285A98C485b4350cE50fA0B67f067693dE3E5b-176807469025311h ago
- $3,992 on Yes @ 51¢RenanPresidente.15h ago
- $1,229 on No @ 42¢
Mac-Gyver1d ago - $8,354 on Yes @ 71¢FLash7-1341d ago
- $2,312 on Yes @ 67¢RenanPresidente.1d ago
- $3,165 on Yes @ 63¢LulaVaiPerder1d ago
- $6,455 on Yes @ 59¢657657572d ago
- $1,666 on Yes @ 58¢657657577d ago
- $2,050 on No @ 39¢
Mac-Gyver8d ago - $2,512 on Yes @ 57¢657657579d ago
- $1,355 out of Yes @ 55¢Sr.Matiaz10d ago