 Will United Russia win fewer than 280 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?Politics | No | $18K | 94¢ | 97¢ | +$511 |
 Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Politics | No | $8.8K | 51¢ | 85¢ | +$5.9K |
 Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $11K | 82¢ | 99¢ | +$2.2K |
 Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $9.4K | 49¢ | 56¢ | +$1.4K |
 Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Tech | Yes | $8.0K | 48¢ | 59¢ | +$1.8K |
 Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?Tech | No | $9.3K | 90¢ | 87¢ | -$351 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $590 | 3.1¢ | 46¢ | +$8.2K |
 Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | No | $5.3K | 49¢ | 80¢ | +$3.3K |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $441 | 3.1¢ | 52¢ | +$6.8K |
 Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | No | $8.2K | 46¢ | 37¢ | -$1.5K |
 Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?Politics | No | $2.5K | 40¢ | 92¢ | +$3.3K |
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Politics | No | $5.8K | 93¢ | 93¢ | -$14 |
 Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $5.3K | 86¢ | 94¢ | +$453 |
 Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics | No | $4.7K | 82¢ | 91¢ | +$495 |
 Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Politics | No | $4.8K | 79¢ | 82¢ | +$137 |
 Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?Economy | Yes | $3.7K | 50¢ | 65¢ | +$1.1K |
 Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?Politics | Yes | $7.2K | 42¢ | 28¢ | -$2.5K |
 Fed rate hike in 2026?Economy | No | $2.9K | 19¢ | 30¢ | +$1.7K |
 Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | No | $4.4K | 92¢ | 94¢ | +$60 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Politics | Yes | $3.9K | 68¢ | 76¢ | +$454 |
 Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | Yes | $1.3K | 16¢ | 54¢ | +$3.1K |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Politics | No | $2.7K | 63¢ | 99¢ | +$1.5K |
 Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $3.9K | 97¢ | 99¢ | +$70 |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of September 2026?Tech | No | $3.1K | 76¢ | 91¢ | +$631 |
 Xi Jinping out before 2027?Politics | No | $3.6K | 94¢ | 96¢ | +$93 |
 Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Politics | No | $3.6K | 80¢ | 79¢ | -$31 |
 Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?Politics | No | $3.1K | 62¢ | 68¢ | +$274 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $3.1K | 53¢ | 56¢ | +$147 |
 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $2.5K | 75¢ | 97¢ | +$721 |
 Sweden Parliamentary Election: Liberals Win Seats?Politics | Yes | $2.1K | 52¢ | 78¢ | +$1.0K |
 Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30?Politics | Yes | $2.9K | 89¢ | 94¢ | +$169 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $2.2K | 70¢ | 91¢ | +$656 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?Tech | Yes | $1.4K | 48¢ | 86¢ | +$1.1K |
 Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $2.2K | 85¢ | 95¢ | +$265 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $2.1K | 64¢ | 78¢ | +$422 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $1.7K | 61¢ | 87¢ | +$720 |
 Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?Culture | No | $2.2K | 85¢ | 95¢ | +$245 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Politics | No | $1.7K | 64¢ | 89¢ | +$660 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?Tech | No | $2.7K | 80¢ | 71¢ | -$314 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Economy | Yes | $1.6K | 54¢ | 79¢ | +$709 |
 Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Economy | No | $1.9K | 45¢ | 55¢ | +$397 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $1.5K | 54¢ | 79¢ | +$725 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $661 | 5.9¢ | 19¢ | +$1.4K |
 Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Politics | Yes | $1.9K | 92¢ | 95¢ | +$64 |
 Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?Politics | No | $1.4K | 50¢ | 70¢ | +$541 |
 Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $1.9K | 53¢ | 52¢ | -$42 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?Politics | No | $1.8K | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$69 |
 Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?Politics | No | $1.6K | 80¢ | 91¢ | +$225 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Politics | Yes | $1.1K | 37¢ | 62¢ | +$726 |
 Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?Politics | No | $1.7K | 89¢ | 91¢ | +$25 |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?Economy | Yes | $1.6K | 63¢ | 65¢ | +$46 |
 Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?Politics | No | $1.6K | 91¢ | 98¢ | +$109 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?Politics | Yes | $1.0K | 39¢ | 63¢ | +$633 |
 Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Tech | No | $1.3K | 75¢ | 92¢ | +$312 |
 Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?Politics | Yes | $994 | 43¢ | 70¢ | +$621 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | No | $1.5K | 68¢ | 72¢ | +$71 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $739 | 10¢ | 22¢ | +$812 |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HousePolitics | Yes | $1.5K | 13¢ | 13¢ | +$18 |
 Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Politics | Yes | $349 | 12¢ | 53¢ | +$1.2K |
 Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?Politics | Yes | $1.1K | 20¢ | 28¢ | +$417 |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Culture | Yes | $1.0K | 32¢ | 45¢ | +$401 |
 Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $2.1K | 85¢ | 59¢ | -$640 |
 Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?Politics | No | $1.2K | 81¢ | 93¢ | +$181 |
 Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $1.6K | 76¢ | 66¢ | -$211 |
 Will "Beef" win 0 or 1 awards at the Emmys?Culture | No | $1.3K | 50¢ | 50¢ | -$13 |
 Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?Politics | No | $1.2K | 87¢ | 93¢ | +$73 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | No | $2.2K | 13¢ | 7.0¢ | -$973 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $1.1K | 88¢ | 96¢ | +$98 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?Politics | Yes | $2.6K | 58¢ | 27¢ | -$1.4K |
| Will Xi Jinping visit US by October 31?Politics | Yes | $1.2K | 94¢ | 98¢ | +$47 |
 Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $920 | 24¢ | 32¢ | +$304 |
 Will Maria Bartiromo be the next White House Press Secretary?Politics | No | $897 | 65¢ | 89¢ | +$326 |
 Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Economy | Yes | $2.1K | 22¢ | 13¢ | -$917 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Politics | No | $1.1K | 85¢ | 90¢ | +$60 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?Tech | Yes | $632 | 28¢ | 52¢ | +$524 |
 Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Tech | Yes | $1.5K | 53¢ | 41¢ | -$337 |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $1.2K | 6.6¢ | 5.9¢ | -$118 |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $948 | 48¢ | 54¢ | +$103 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $1.0K | 18¢ | 18¢ | +$23 |
 US recession by end of 2026?Economy | No | $880 | 83¢ | 93¢ | +$99 |
 Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?Politics | No | $868 | 89¢ | 98¢ | +$90 |
 Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $815 | 28¢ | 32¢ | +$113 |
| Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?Politics | Yes | $859 | 91¢ | 98¢ | +$67 |
 Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | Yes | $94 | 3.0¢ | 30¢ | +$828 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $817 | 67¢ | 75¢ | +$102 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027?Politics | Yes | $891 | 40¢ | 41¢ | +$21 |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | Yes | $467 | 8.2¢ | 16¢ | +$434 |
 Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics | Yes | $967 | 38¢ | 35¢ | -$74 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics | Yes | $2.5K | 49¢ | 18¢ | -$1.6K |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?Politics | Yes | $855 | 38¢ | 40¢ | +$34 |
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech | No | $877 | 96¢ | 97¢ | +$7 |
 Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Politics | Yes | $1.3K | 51¢ | 34¢ | -$416 |
 Trump meets with Putin by December 31?Politics | Yes | $686 | 51¢ | 64¢ | +$165 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $588 | 46¢ | 66¢ | +$250 |
 Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?Soccer (other) | Yes | $1.5K | 24¢ | 14¢ | -$668 |
 Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?Politics | Yes | $632 | 21¢ | 28¢ | +$195 |
 Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Politics | No | $853 | 53¢ | 51¢ | -$29 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $421 | 6.9¢ | 13¢ | +$393 |
 Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $623 | 35¢ | 46¢ | +$184 |
 Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?Politics | No | $434 | 54¢ | 99¢ | +$366 |
Bought Yes · Will Tim Walker win the next Launceston mayoral election?$03m ago
Bought No · Will Wildwood win Best Animated Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?$2411m ago
MERGE Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?$2338m ago