 Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $12K | 82¢ | 95¢ | +$1.8K |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?Politics | Yes | $11K | 84¢ | 100¢ | +$2.0K |
 Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Politics | No | $9.7K | 51¢ | 63¢ | +$2.3K |
 Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?Politics | Yes | $11K | 92¢ | 96¢ | +$394 |
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Politics | No | $10K | 94¢ | 93¢ | -$59 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $8.0K | 71¢ | 82¢ | +$1.3K |
 Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?Politics | No | $7.8K | 95¢ | 97¢ | +$232 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Politics | No | $9.6K | 69¢ | 50¢ | -$2.7K |
 Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics | No | $5.4K | 82¢ | 89¢ | +$443 |
 Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?Economy | Yes | $3.9K | 50¢ | 68¢ | +$1.4K |
 Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?Economy | No | $4.9K | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$287 |
 Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Politics | No | $3.8K | 81¢ | 98¢ | +$782 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $4.7K | 78¢ | 70¢ | -$492 |
 Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?NBA | No | $2.1K | 52¢ | 100¢ | +$2.0K |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $208 | 2.9¢ | 56¢ | +$3.8K |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Politics | No | $3.7K | 81¢ | 84¢ | +$137 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?Politics | No | $3.1K | 82¢ | 94¢ | +$449 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | No | $3.7K | 19¢ | 15¢ | -$794 |
 Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Politics | No | $2.1K | 70¢ | 98¢ | +$825 |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Politics | Yes | $2.3K | 47¢ | 60¢ | +$597 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?Finance | No | $2.7K | 90¢ | 94¢ | +$129 |
| Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?Politics | Yes | $1.4K | 24¢ | 49¢ | +$1.4K |
 Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Politics | No | $2.6K | 78¢ | 77¢ | -$58 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $2.1K | 72¢ | 83¢ | +$305 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?Politics | No | $2.0K | 54¢ | 66¢ | +$415 |
| Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $2.2K | 75¢ | 81¢ | +$174 |
 Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | No | $2.3K | 86¢ | 84¢ | -$50 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $2.1K | 53¢ | 56¢ | +$95 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Politics | No | $2.1K | 96¢ | 99¢ | +$62 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics | No | $2.2K | 44¢ | 43¢ | -$98 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?Politics | No | $1.8K | 78¢ | 85¢ | +$159 |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?Politics | No | $1.9K | 90¢ | 93¢ | +$67 |
 Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?Tech | Yes | $1.9K | 86¢ | 86¢ | +$3 |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $1.0K | 48¢ | 88¢ | +$816 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?Politics | Yes | $1.4K | 68¢ | 89¢ | +$403 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | No | $1.8K | 81¢ | 81¢ | -$11 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?Tech | Yes | $1.7K | 38¢ | 38¢ | -$22 |
 Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?Politics | No | $1.6K | 94¢ | 96¢ | +$30 |
 Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $1.6K | 87¢ | 90¢ | +$58 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $883 | 7.3¢ | 14¢ | +$769 |
 Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | No | $1.6K | 47¢ | 47¢ | -$4 |
 Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | Yes | $717 | 42¢ | 95¢ | +$917 |
 Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Economy | No | $1.4K | 53¢ | 62¢ | +$218 |
 Will Perry Johnson win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?Politics | No | $1.5K | 87¢ | 91¢ | +$62 |
 Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?Politics | Yes | $1.3K | 67¢ | 78¢ | +$217 |
 Iran leadership change by July 31?Politics | No | $1.4K | 93¢ | 99¢ | +$91 |
 Israel closes its airspace by July 31?Politics | No | $1.1K | 70¢ | 93¢ | +$368 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $196 | 3.1¢ | 24¢ | +$1.3K |
 Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?Politics | Yes | $1.2K | 9.7¢ | 12¢ | +$236 |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $4.1K | 35¢ | 12¢ | -$2.7K |
 Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Politics | Yes | $1.2K | 63¢ | 73¢ | +$187 |
 Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?Politics | No | $1.2K | 81¢ | 89¢ | +$121 |
 Will any AI model reach 1550 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $690 | 48¢ | 93¢ | +$658 |
 Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?Politics | No | $1.2K | 87¢ | 94¢ | +$87 |
 Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?Politics | No | $1.2K | 90¢ | 94¢ | +$46 |
 US military draft authorized in 2026?Politics | No | $1.2K | 94¢ | 96¢ | +$19 |
 Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $1.1K | 94¢ | 97¢ | +$35 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Politics | No | $1.1K | 84¢ | 86¢ | +$20 |
| Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?Economy | Yes | $1.2K | 18¢ | 17¢ | -$64 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?Politics | No | $1.1K | 68¢ | 68¢ | -$10 |
 Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?Politics | No | $1.1K | 51¢ | 53¢ | +$53 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Politics | No | $1.0K | 74¢ | 80¢ | +$82 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | Yes | $787 | 26¢ | 34¢ | +$235 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026?Economy | No | $760 | 24¢ | 32¢ | +$233 |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?Economy | Yes | $853 | 62¢ | 69¢ | +$109 |
 Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Economy | Yes | $757 | 19¢ | 24¢ | +$205 |
 Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?Politics | No | $868 | 89¢ | 97¢ | +$81 |
 US recession by end of 2026?Economy | No | $880 | 83¢ | 88¢ | +$52 |
 Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | Yes | $497 | 17¢ | 31¢ | +$431 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?Politics | No | $836 | 72¢ | 79¢ | +$75 |
 Will Dante Gebel win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Politics | No | $0 | 0.0¢ | 98¢ | +$902 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Economy | No | $926 | 25¢ | 24¢ | -$51 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?Politics | Yes | $466 | 23¢ | 43¢ | +$408 |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HousePolitics | Yes | $981 | 15¢ | 14¢ | -$110 |
 Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 23?Politics | No | $312 | 32¢ | 89¢ | +$553 |
 Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Politics | No | $867 | 66¢ | 65¢ | -$10 |
 Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | Yes | $122 | 3.6¢ | 26¢ | +$733 |
 US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15?Politics | No | $955 | 39¢ | 34¢ | -$106 |
 Will GPT-6 be released by July 31, 2026? Tech | No | $760 | 89¢ | 99¢ | +$86 |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?Politics | Yes | $855 | 38¢ | 37¢ | -$23 |
 Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | No | $731 | 57¢ | 64¢ | +$83 |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $823 | 63¢ | 62¢ | -$17 |
 Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?Politics | No | $455 | 57¢ | 100¢ | +$343 |
 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026?Tech | Yes | $1.4K | 42¢ | 24¢ | -$588 |
| Will the Republican Party win the CA-28 House seat?Politics | No | $0 | 0.0¢ | 95¢ | +$779 |
 Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics | Yes | $792 | 39¢ | 38¢ | -$26 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Economy | Yes | $679 | 65¢ | 72¢ | +$77 |
| Iran invades Kuwait by July 31?Politics | No | $679 | 96¢ | 99¢ | +$21 |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Economy | No | $638 | 68¢ | 72¢ | +$38 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $318 | 11¢ | 23¢ | +$317 |
| Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Economy | No | $560 | 76¢ | 78¢ | +$18 |
 Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027?Tech | Yes | $1.1K | 11¢ | 5.5¢ | -$574 |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Politics | Yes | $306 | 4.0¢ | 7.5¢ | +$268 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $554 | 12¢ | 12¢ | +$11 |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $521 | 8.0¢ | 8.5¢ | +$33 |
| Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?Economy | Yes | $423 | 47¢ | 61¢ | +$123 |
| Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 86m and 92m?Culture | No | $1.3K | 38¢ | 16¢ | -$803 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?Finance | No | $553 | 84¢ | 82¢ | -$10 |
 Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Politics | No | $410 | 53¢ | 68¢ | +$112 |
 Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Politics | Yes | $433 | 35¢ | 42¢ | +$80 |
MERGE Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?$15025m ago