← Belugo Whale Watch

Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
$875K volumeYes 43¢No 57¢
Sharp lean: 49% Yes51% No
Share of money held by tracked sharps (top 1,000 Polymarket accounts) among this market's top holders.
Top Yes holders
43¢- 1elPolloLocoSharp$108K
- 20xB9F11A71b90b030D91F9a37F7fA8D514Ac97a6a0-1769192572771$16K
- 3Azrarn$13K
- 4
CryptoGo$9.3K - 5vk7$5.3K
- 60xcc09…1442$3.1K
- 70x4Db156B8686ee1FFF64471c9e83f87673712e2Ab-1771421075829$2.1K
- 80x4756…a006$1.5K
- 9
5.6sol$1.3K - 10risard$965
- 110x23e62D37407a4f3F83395E7f83C951fC96C624FA-1771536005807$924
- 12
PavlikKul$887 - 13Nik2025$879
- 14justenjoythelife$850
- 15
oleh108$837 - 16bipbipbop$812
- 17Le-bron$723
- 180xf257Abb1F801E94F1f56A7cA91b2294ccd6d9420-1775337067565$680
- 19heheheh$588
- 20claudemole$526
Top 20 per side (Polymarket API limit). Values at the current price.
Top No holders
57¢- 1hopedieslastSharp$48K
- 2KrackenSrusterSharp$32K
- 3JoeBlack01$20K
- 4
DumplingBMFSharp$17K - 5HerrieDavisSharp$11K
- 6SlenderMan$9.9K
- 7MonacoLover$9.3K
- 8ethBELIVER$8.6K
- 9anoin123$8.2K
- 10viktorurolog16$6.2K
- 11
anotherpatrick$5.6K - 12Logan.Sharp$3.6K
- 13GrandeFromageSharp$2.9K
- 14
NiceDuckBro$2.9K - 15serferer$2.9K
- 161nvoker1$2.3K
- 17D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935$2.1K
- 18Gladius7$2.0K
- 19
leCommissaire$1.8K - 20
Toncar16$1.8K
Top 20 per side (Polymarket API limit). Values at the current price.
Recent big trades here
- $3,420 out of No @ 57¢
GoriIIa7h ago - $1,683 out of No @ 56¢0x760907C8840491c8C86fdDB843D3f1d801786C4e-17719596620801d ago
- $3,257 on Yes @ 42¢elPolloLoco4d ago
- $1,558 on Yes @ 41¢elPolloLoco5d ago
- $1,001 on No @ 58¢Gladius79d ago
- $1,465 on No @ 53¢
NiceDuckBro13d ago - $1,000 on No @ 50¢
leCommissaire13d ago - $2,321 out of No @ 48¢
tsybka13d ago - $1,040 on Yes @ 52¢TerreMoto13d ago
- $1,500 on No @ 49¢
Toncar1614d ago - $5,897 on No @ 44¢
tsybka14d ago - $14,800 on Yes @ 55¢elPolloLoco14d ago
- $1,011 on No @ 46¢Logan.14d ago
- $4,075 out of No @ 46¢
0xwordjnn15d ago - $22,400 on Yes @ 55¢elPolloLoco15d ago
- $5,089 on Yes @ 53¢elPolloLoco16d ago
- $13,986 on Yes @ 53¢elPolloLoco17d ago
- $11,948 on Yes @ 54¢elPolloLoco18d ago
- $11,748 on Yes @ 51¢elPolloLoco19d ago
- $12,577 on Yes @ 53¢elPolloLoco19d ago