← Belugo Whale Watch

Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
$436K volumeYes 45¢No 56¢
Sharp lean: 30% Yes70% No
Share of money held by tracked sharps (top 1,000 Polymarket accounts) among this market's top holders.
Top Yes holders
45¢- 1elPolloLocoSharp$25K
- 20xB9F11A71b90b030D91F9a37F7fA8D514Ac97a6a0-1769192572771$17K
- 3Azrarn$14K
- 4
CryptoGo$9.8K - 50xcc09…1442$3.3K
- 60x4Db156B8686ee1FFF64471c9e83f87673712e2Ab-1771421075829$2.7K
- 7M8880$2.6K
- 80x4756…a006$1.6K
- 9multit$1.4K
- 100x57097A9E66Dc5BCe77E6685812ed50EaeA2722c3-1768623287709$1.4K
- 11heheheh$1.2K
- 12risard$1.0K
- 13nedsta$978
- 140x23e62D37407a4f3F83395E7f83C951fC96C624FA-1771536005807$967
- 15
PavlikKul$929 - 16Nik2025$921
- 17justenjoythelife$890
- 18Le-bron$757
- 19claudemole$550
- 20rufus.reddington$470
Top 20 per side (Polymarket API limit). Values at the current price.
Top No holders
56¢- 1KrackenSrusterSharp$26K
- 2
DumplingBMFSharp$17K - 3JoeBlack01$9.6K
- 4
yungstalinSharp$8.3K - 5viktorurolog16$5.9K
- 6Gladius7$5.7K
- 7
anotherpatrick$4.8K - 8mrkinetiq$3.2K
- 9CompulsiveGambler$3.0K
- 10R79dgahrSharp$2.8K
- 11D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935$2.5K
- 12serferer$2.4K
- 13HerrieDavisSharp$2.2K
- 141nvoker1$2.1K
- 15cocos228Sharp$1.5K
- 160xD054e72B9E7995a6900AA8ceD24DcfbD12007e38-1771157416749$1.3K
- 17TPAA$1.0K
- 18
TralaleloTralalala$916 - 190x3e2$834
- 20hopedieslastSharp$721
Top 20 per side (Polymarket API limit). Values at the current price.
Recent big trades here
- $2,400 on Yes @ 47¢elPolloLoco11h ago
- $1,300 on No @ 56¢KrackenSruster3d ago
- $3,371 on No @ 55¢
anotherpatrick4d ago - $1,223 on No @ 52¢
anotherpatrick5d ago - $1,147 on Yes @ 49¢multit6d ago
- $1,800 on Yes @ 49¢M88809d ago
- $4,276 on Yes @ 53¢elPolloLoco14d ago
- $4,415 on Yes @ 49¢elPolloLoco14d ago
- $1,921 on Yes @ 46¢elPolloLoco14d ago
- $1,000 on Yes @ 48¢Nik202518d ago
- $2,365 on Yes @ 48¢0xcc09…144218d ago
- $1,314 out of Yes @ 42¢
GaioMario18d ago - $5,153 on Yes @ 48¢elPolloLoco19d ago
- $1,865 on Yes @ 48¢0xB9F11A71b90b030D91F9a37F7fA8D514Ac97a6a0-176919257277120d ago
- $1,525 on Yes @ 49¢nedsta21d ago
- $1,477 out of No @ 56¢nedsta22d ago
- $1,140 on No @ 51¢Gladius722d ago
- $1,500 on No @ 55¢Gladius722d ago
- $1,600 on No @ 61¢Gladius724d ago
- $1,100 on No @ 59¢Gladius724d ago