← Whale Watch

leCommissaire

Predicting since Dec 20242,311 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $3.3K on Politics markets since Dec 2024.

Right now: $3.5K across 2 Politics markets.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$2.4K80¢88¢+$215
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1.1K74¢76¢+$28
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$67855¢67¢+$150
Will Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by December 31?PoliticsNo$61981¢91¢+$71
Will Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by December 31?PoliticsYes$47661¢77¢+$117
Will Russia capture Bilytske by September 30, 2026?PoliticsYes$44643¢52¢+$83
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$58558¢51¢-$78
Will Russia capture Prymorske by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$41571¢87¢+$90
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$38694¢99¢+$24
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?PoliticsYes$45487¢78¢-$47
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$32626¢32¢+$62
Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31?PoliticsNo$42750¢45¢-$46
Will Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by September 30?PoliticsYes$21032¢48¢+$99
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$27819¢20¢+$20
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?PoliticsYes$37963¢49¢-$85
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by September 30?PoliticsYes$24060¢62¢+$6
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$23447¢45¢-$11
Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31?PoliticsYes$20748¢51¢+$14
Will Russia capture Bilytske by August 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$17720¢23¢+$26
Will Russia capture Kucheriv Yar by October 31?PoliticsNo$14252¢73¢+$54
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HousePoliticsYes$21748¢44¢-$21
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes$22928¢24¢-$34
Will Russia enter Dobropillia by December 31?PoliticsNo$24043¢34¢-$49
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?FinanceNo$18894¢94¢-$0
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$26622¢15¢-$80
Will Russia enter Dobropillia by October 31?PoliticsNo$16251¢57¢+$20
Will Russia capture Novodmytrivka by September 30?PoliticsNo$16167¢74¢+$16
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?PoliticsYes$16555¢55¢-$0
Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026?PoliticsYes$34029¢13¢-$195
Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by October 31?PoliticsNo$13358¢63¢+$10
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$12128¢30¢+$6
Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026?CryptoYes$1546.9¢5.5¢-$32
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$12462¢61¢-$3
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?PoliticsYes$12425¢24¢-$6
Will Russia capture Sloviansk by December 31?PoliticsNo$11088¢93¢+$6
Will Ukraine re-enter Kamianske by September 30?PoliticsNo$9156¢68¢+$19
Will Russia enter Dobropillia by October 31?PoliticsYes$12751¢43¢-$21
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?PoliticsYes$5833¢61¢+$48
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?PoliticsNo$7550¢66¢+$23
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$10514¢13¢-$11
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?PoliticsYes$599.9¢16¢+$33
Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by December 31?PoliticsYes$8756¢59¢+$5
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026?PoliticsYes$15917¢9.5¢-$69
Trump meets with Putin by December 31?PoliticsYes$9532¢30¢-$6
Will Russia capture Bilytske by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$6152¢75¢+$27
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by September 30?PoliticsNo$6453¢69¢+$18
Will Russia capture Bilytske by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$15150¢26¢-$74
Will Russia enter Pokrovskoe by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$7329¢30¢+$3
Will Russia enter Stavky by September 30?PoliticsYes$6344¢50¢+$8
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31?PoliticsYes$6038¢46¢+$11
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?FinanceNo$6577¢83¢+$5
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?PoliticsYes$6426¢28¢+$6
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?PoliticsYes$4732¢45¢+$19
Will Russia enter Kharkiv by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$5491¢97¢+$3
Will Russia capture Kucheriv Yar by August 31?PoliticsNo$4166¢90¢+$15
Will Russia enter Khatnie by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$5261¢63¢+$1
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$589.7¢8.5¢-$7
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?PoliticsNo$4182¢96¢+$7
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$4644¢46¢+$2
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?PoliticsYes$1515¢47¢+$32
Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$4819¢18¢-$3
Will Russia capture Myropillia by December 31?PoliticsNo$3852¢62¢+$7
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$3671¢89¢+$9
Putin meets with Iranian officials by August 31?OtherYes$3842¢47¢+$4
Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by August 31?PoliticsNo$3365¢85¢+$10
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31? PoliticsYes$4415¢14¢-$3
Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?PoliticsYes$5314¢11¢-$12
Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by December 31?PoliticsYes$3838¢40¢+$2
Will Russia capture Havrylivka by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$2759¢87¢+$13
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by September 30?PoliticsYes$3226¢32¢+$7
Will Russia capture Vodianske by December 31?PoliticsNo$3947¢47¢-$0
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by September 30?PoliticsYes$7518¢9.0¢-$37
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?PoliticsNo$7826¢13¢-$41
Will FK Lokomotiv Moskva win on 2026-07-26?Soccer (other)Yes$3059¢74¢+$7
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?PoliticsYes$3612¢12¢-$1
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?PoliticsYes$12224¢7.0¢-$87
Will Russia enter Myrne by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$7919¢8.0¢-$45
Will Russia capture Serhiivka by December 31?PoliticsNo$1839¢73¢+$15
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$1938¢65¢+$14
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?PoliticsYes$3216¢16¢-$1
Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?PoliticsYes$101.0¢3.1¢+$21
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?PoliticsYes$284.6¢4.8¢+$1
Will Russia capture Sofiivka by December 31?PoliticsYes$2153¢72¢+$8
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?PoliticsYes$2855¢56¢+$1
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$3060¢56¢-$2
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$282.3¢2.4¢+$0
Will Russia capture Kozacha Lopan by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$4454¢34¢-$16
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?PoliticsNo$2727¢28¢+$1
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$4012¢8.5¢-$13
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?PoliticsYes$225.5¢6.6¢+$4
Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by September 30?PoliticsYes$4346¢28¢-$16
Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?PoliticsYes$3015¢13¢-$4
Will Russia enter Moskovka by July 31?PoliticsYes$9917¢4.1¢-$75
Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$2626¢22¢-$4
Will Russia enter Borova by September 30?PoliticsYes$2114¢14¢+$1
Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$6535¢11¢-$46
Israel closes its airspace by August 15?PoliticsYes$3434¢20¢-$14
Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by July 31?PoliticsYes$7719¢4.5¢-$58
Will Russia capture Myropillia by December 31?PoliticsYes$1738¢39¢+$0
Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States?PoliticsYes$135.0¢6.3¢+$3

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Politics+$3.3K
Champions League-$1.4K
Soccer (other)-$988
La Liga+$319
Culture+$123
Mentions+$45
Other sports+$40
Premier League+$26
Serie A+$23
NBA-$22
NHL+$15
Finance+$5
Biggest hit
+$706
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
Toughest beat
-$1.4K
Champions LeagueQuarterfinals: Arsenal vs. Real Madrid

Recent moves

  • Bought No · Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?$18859m ago
  • Bought Yes · Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?$41h ago
  • Sold Yes · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?$161h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026?$22h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Trump and Putin meet next in Belarus?$02h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Trump and Putin meet next in Belarus?$02h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Trump and Putin meet next in Belarus?$02h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Trump and Putin meet next in Belarus?$02h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Trump and Putin meet next in Belarus?$02h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Trump and Putin meet next in Belarus?$02h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Trump and Putin meet next in Belarus?$02h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Trump and Putin meet next in Belarus?$02h ago