← Whale Watch

MonacoLover

Predicting since Jan 2026132 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $61K on Politics markets since Jan 2026.

Right now: $59K across 5 Politics markets.

Biggest hit: +$16K on US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?PoliticsNo$15K47¢99¢+$16K
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?PoliticsNo$16K83¢95¢+$2.3K
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?PoliticsNo$6.7K96¢97¢+$70
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$5.7K82¢93¢+$726
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$4.0K64¢51¢-$819
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?PoliticsNo$2.2K90¢91¢+$12
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31?PoliticsNo$1.6K64¢88¢+$575
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?PoliticsNo$1.1K70¢99¢+$428
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?PoliticsNo$89481¢98¢+$183
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$75369¢68¢-$16
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?PoliticsYes$48811¢17¢+$244
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?PoliticsYes$48838¢44¢+$65
Will Russia capture Bilytske by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$32349¢76¢+$179
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?PoliticsNo$23857¢93¢+$150
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$82023¢10¢-$469
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$60430¢17¢-$261
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$24949¢67¢+$91
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?PoliticsNo$29897¢99¢+$8
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?PoliticsYes$40514¢6.5¢-$219
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?PoliticsYes$12641¢58¢+$51
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$7751¢56¢+$8
Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026?PoliticsNo$7579¢88¢+$8
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$10011¢3.5¢-$69
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?PoliticsNo$2685¢91¢+$2
Will Russia capture Prymorske by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$5833¢14¢-$34
Will Russia capture Borova by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$716¢7.5¢-$3
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$325¢15¢-$1
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$10.0K58¢0.0¢-$10.0K
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$1185.1¢0.0¢-$118
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$8.3K25¢0.0¢-$8.3K
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$2.3K36¢0.0¢-$2.3K
Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$2348¢0.0¢-$23
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$2.1K54¢0.0¢-$2.1K
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?PoliticsYesResolved$2016¢0.0¢-$20
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$6.3K60¢0.0¢-$6.3K
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$5.9K50¢0.0¢-$5.9K
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$13K41¢0.0¢-$13K
US and Iran sign an agreement by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$8898.1¢0.0¢-$889
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?PoliticsNoResolved$5.1K43¢0.0¢-$5.1K
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$6741.1¢0.0¢-$674
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$5.6K13¢0.0¢-$5.6K
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$7.2K93¢0.0¢-$7.2K
Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?PoliticsNoResolved$1827¢0.0¢-$18
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$29K90¢0.0¢-$29K
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$30335¢0.0¢-$303
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$428¢0.0¢-$4
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$595.2¢0.0¢-$59
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$2587.0¢0.0¢-$258
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$41118¢0.0¢-$411
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31?PoliticsNoResolved$21722¢0.0¢-$217
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 22, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$4.0K15¢0.0¢-$4.0K
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$28K90¢0.0¢-$28K
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$264.2¢0.0¢-$26

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$61K
Biggest hit
+$16K
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Toughest beat
-$17K
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?

Recent moves

  • Bought No · Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?$261h ago
  • Bought No · US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?$312h ago
  • Bought No · US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?$182h ago
  • Bought No · US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?$132h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?$1410h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?$1410h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?$110h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?$210h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?$110h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?$410h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?$210h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?$210h ago