← Belugo Whale Watch

Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?
$388K volumeYes 56¢No 45¢
Sharp lean: 98% Yes2% No
Share of money held by tracked sharps (top 1,000 Polymarket accounts) among this market's top holders.
Top Yes holders
56¢- 1hopedieslastSharp$26K
- 2
DumplingBMFSharp$11K - 3slatfatf$7.7K
- 4Azrarn$5.3K
- 5MonacoLover$3.5K
- 6R79dgahrSharp$2.6K
- 7
Bromley86$2.2K - 8abdoohl$1.4K
- 9Pantheon1$1.1K
- 10Scoofy-Bubik$1.1K
- 11sneedly9$987
- 12
MoneyCraft$714 - 130x57097A9E66Dc5BCe77E6685812ed50EaeA2722c3-1768623287709$694
- 140xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-1776944395495Sharp$666
- 15ComradeGeneralFromSnezhnaya$630
- 16
Haradwaith$596 - 17
leCommissaire$558 - 18ChiaSharp$516
- 19nicolasGurr$503
- 200xd8dA6BF26964aF9D7eEd9e03E53415D37aA9604$460
Top 20 per side (Polymarket API limit). Values at the current price.
Top No holders
45¢- 1Dota2winner$12K
- 2DenisDumov$11K
- 3Gladius7$6.5K
- 4lionkinglionkinglionking$6.1K
- 50x7402928FdB9475FF8dc02c4FCA0026d19c6e4047-1764716638606$5.4K
- 6CompulsiveGambler$3.3K
- 7
TralaleloTralalala$1.4K - 8Hans323$1.1K
- 9
GaioMario$946 - 10vovatoxic$908
- 11
V4grant$593
- 120x8950B5165E86E1fC7Cc890500d0155601DfA3497-1764199871318$582
- 13
nufonehudis67$577 - 14Sikkifweflles$546
- 150x3e2$545
- 160xD054e72B9E7995a6900AA8ceD24DcfbD12007e38-1771157416749$534
- 17cocos228Sharp$460
- 18
yungstalinSharp$451 - 190xaF98fCdf692aD32b523B87217672AE416735Ffc6-1777106791092$379
- 20Elias.Thornwell$340
Top 20 per side (Polymarket API limit). Values at the current price.
Recent big trades here
- $1,540 out of Yes @ 55¢
Everestpredictions7d ago - $1,300 on No @ 43¢
TralaleloTralalala13d ago - $1,156 out of Yes @ 58¢
siick17d ago - $4,271 out of Yes @ 59¢123erty18d ago
- $1,185 out of No @ 21¢Gladius71mo ago
- $1,120 out of Yes @ 78¢
NiceDuckBro1mo ago - $1,099 out of No @ 22¢Gladius71mo ago
- $1,807 out of No @ 20¢Gladius71mo ago
- $3,989 out of No @ 28¢Gladius71mo ago
- $1,402 on Yes @ 70¢0x507b51630295906bC404c52Ef0456A7BDbEC0742-17697369872651mo ago
- $2,998 on No @ 50¢Gladius71mo ago
- $3,026 on No @ 52¢0x7402928FdB9475FF8dc02c4FCA0026d19c6e4047-17647166386061mo ago
- $1,974 on No @ 64¢0x7402928FdB9475FF8dc02c4FCA0026d19c6e4047-17647166386061mo ago
- $5,396 on No @ 45¢Gladius71mo ago
- $1,174 out of No @ 51¢unsecured73081mo ago
- $10,000 on No @ 63¢Dota2winner2mo ago
- $1,681 out of Yes @ 52¢JoeBlack012mo ago
- $9,564 on No @ 45¢DenisDumov2mo ago
- $2,716 on No @ 41¢Gladius73mo ago
- $2,802 on No @ 40¢Gladius73mo ago