← Whale Watch

0xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-1776944395495

Predicting since Apr 202635,851 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $7.7K on Weather markets since Apr 2026.

Right now: $8.4K across 14 Finance markets.

Biggest hit: +$2.2K on LoL: Team Heretics vs Shifters - Game 1 Winner.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsNo$2.6K98¢100¢+$63
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?PoliticsNo$81320¢63¢+$1.7K
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in July?FinanceNo$2.2K94¢99¢+$108
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 28, 2026?PoliticsYes$1.9K88¢94¢+$117
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?TechNo$84042¢99¢+$1.1K
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 24?PoliticsYes$1.8K96¢100¢+$63
Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by July 31?PoliticsNo$1.5K96¢100¢+$64
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?PoliticsYes$1.3K59¢72¢+$273
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?PoliticsNo$65442¢99¢+$897
Will Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2027 NBA Finals?NBANo$1.5K92¢96¢+$73
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsNo$1.4K94¢99¢+$59
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?FinanceNo$1.4K96¢99¢+$47
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?FinanceNo$1.2K79¢97¢+$262
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by August 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$1.4K97¢98¢+$11
Will a European country take military action on Iran by August 31?PoliticsNo$1.3K87¢94¢+$104
Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1.2K72¢81¢+$140
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?PoliticsNo$90666¢93¢+$373
Will GPT-6 be released by July 31, 2026? TechNo$1.2K95¢99¢+$56
Will Anthropic IPO by September 15, 2026?FinanceNo$1.2K96¢99¢+$34
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in July?FinanceYes$62947¢89¢+$550
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?EconomyYes$95063¢77¢+$209
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?PoliticsNo$76951¢77¢+$389
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?PoliticsNo$1.1K95¢98¢+$32
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?EconomyYes$82451¢69¢+$290
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1.1K96¢98¢+$23
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?PoliticsNo$96376¢88¢+$148
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?PoliticsYes$57427¢51¢+$529
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$61149¢88¢+$482
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?FinanceNo$84447¢59¢+$207
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 23?PoliticsYes$98794¢100¢+$63
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026?TechYes$1.9K42¢24¢-$802
Iran full airspace closure by July 27?PoliticsNo$1.0K96¢97¢+$17
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?EconomyNo$95191¢100¢+$87
Israel military action against Yemen by July 31?PoliticsNo$72367¢96¢+$308
Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 31?PoliticsNo$94594¢96¢+$26
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?PoliticsYes$91291¢96¢+$46
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?CryptoNo$92192¢94¢+$23
Will GPT-6 be released by August 14, 2026?TechNo$88794¢97¢+$29
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsNo$84885¢90¢+$48
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-23 House seat?PoliticsNo$90191¢89¢-$15
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$23825¢93¢+$638
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?PoliticsNo$48955¢99¢+$386
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?WeatherNo$83793¢97¢+$30
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?PoliticsYes$72976¢91¢+$138
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?TechNo$82096¢100¢+$29
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?PoliticsNo$83865¢66¢+$4
Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?CultureNo$73486¢98¢+$100
Will Meta (META) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceYes$81595¢94¢-$6
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in July?FinanceNo$77896¢99¢+$24
Will the Republican Party win the CA-23 House seat?PoliticsYes$81090¢89¢-$10
Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?PoliticsYes$46727¢47¢+$332
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $52 in July?FinanceNo$31337¢95¢+$482
Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$73493¢99¢+$46
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?EconomyNo$74996¢97¢+$12
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?PoliticsYes$62782¢100¢+$133
Will ARM (ARM) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceYes$77789¢87¢-$22
Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$73084¢86¢+$20
Yoon out of custody before 2027?PoliticsNo$71585¢89¢+$35
Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2026 meeting?EconomyNo$99884¢63¢-$253
Russia x Ukraine Peace ParlayOther sportsNo$69582¢88¢+$47
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?PoliticsNo$72796¢97¢+$5
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$35832¢65¢+$373
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$48967¢99¢+$232
US x China tariff agreement by December 31?PoliticsYes$55969¢89¢+$156
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on July 27?WeatherNo$68966¢69¢+$26
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?PoliticsNo$70896¢96¢+$4
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?PoliticsYes$73978¢76¢-$27
Pedro Castillo pardoned in 2026?PoliticsNo$39445¢81¢+$317
Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?TechYes$90852¢41¢-$205
Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?PoliticsYes$99441¢29¢-$299
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?PoliticsNo$66795¢98¢+$19
Will any AI model reach 1550 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?TechYes$38152¢94¢+$301
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?PoliticsNo$41342¢69¢+$265
Will Janet Mills be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?PoliticsNo$64595¢100¢+$30
Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?TechAnthropic$60470¢78¢+$68
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$63164¢67¢+$34
Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?TechYes$87846¢35¢-$217
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?TechNo$64695¢96¢+$11
Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals?NBANo$62592¢96¢+$28
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?TechYes$30120¢43¢+$345
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?PoliticsNo$45770¢98¢+$181
Modi out by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$62191¢93¢+$13
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$58986¢91¢+$34
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsNo$57891¢97¢+$38
Will MrBeast's next video get between 20 and 25 million views on day 1?CultureNo$60298¢100¢+$14
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$69658¢51¢-$90
Iran full airspace closure by August 15?PoliticsNo$35345¢77¢+$251
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $300 in July?FinanceYes$483.1¢39¢+$543
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$17112¢41¢+$410
Ukraine election called by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$53890¢96¢+$36
Will Remco Evenepoel win the 2026 Tour De France?Other sportsNo$52293¢100¢+$38
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?TechNo$26740¢84¢+$291
Andrew Tate released from custody by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$54394¢97¢+$14
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the September meeting?EconomyNo$40639¢52¢+$143
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?PoliticsNo$24744¢94¢+$285
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?EconomyNo$49792¢96¢+$26
Will Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by December 31?PoliticsNo$24242¢91¢+$280
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman by September 30, 2026?PoliticsNo$49788¢92¢+$24
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?PoliticsNo$49990¢94¢+$19
Will Qatar recognize Israel by December 31?PoliticsNo$49995¢97¢+$10

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Weather+$7.7K
Crypto-$7.0K
Politics+$5.1K
NBA-$3.0K
Culture+$2.2K
Finance+$1.2K
eSports+$503
Economy+$503
MLB+$188
NFL+$144
Mentions-$85
Other sports+$78
Biggest hit
+$2.2K
LoL: Team Heretics vs Shifters - Game 1 Winner
Toughest beat
-$4.8K
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 5?

Recent moves

  • CONVERSION Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actor in a comedy series$029s ago
  • CONVERSION Highest temperature in Shanghai on July 26?$037s ago
  • CONVERSION Elon Musk # tweets July 24 - July 31, 2026?$046s ago
  • CONVERSION Elon Musk # tweets July 24 - July 31, 2026?$055s ago
  • CONVERSION Elon Musk # tweets July 24 - July 31, 2026?$01m ago
  • CONVERSION Elon Musk # tweets July 24 - July 31, 2026?$01m ago
  • CONVERSION # of views of next MrBeast video on day 1?$01m ago
  • CONVERSION # of views of next MrBeast video on day 1?$01m ago
  • CONVERSION Hungarian Grand Prix: Driver Winner$01m ago
  • CONVERSION Hungarian Grand Prix: Driver Winner$01m ago
  • Bought Rex Regum Qeon · Valorant: Gen.G Esports vs Rex Regum Qeon (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alpha$23m ago
  • Bought CTBC Flying Oyster · LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 2 Winner$143m ago