← Whale Watch

V4grant

Predicting since Jan 20261,166 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $1.7K on Politics markets since Jan 2026.

Right now: $800 across 2 Politics markets.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$30038¢83¢+$363
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$40030¢50¢+$260
Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026?PoliticsNo$40062¢88¢+$167
Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by December 31?PoliticsNo$30031¢41¢+$93
Will Russia capture Verkhnia Tersa by July 31?PoliticsNo$25080¢98¢+$58
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$25049¢56¢+$34
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026?PoliticsNo$25083¢91¢+$24
Will Russia enter Serhiivka by July 31?PoliticsNo$20074¢95¢+$54
Will Russia enter Myrne by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$20078¢92¢+$36
Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31?PoliticsNo$25053¢49¢-$17
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31?PoliticsNo$20063¢54¢-$30
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$20048¢33¢-$61
Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by September 30?PoliticsNo$15072¢63¢-$19
Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by September 30, 2026?PoliticsNo$10075¢91¢+$21
Will Russia enter Stinky by July 31?PoliticsNo$10081¢95¢+$17
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by September 30?PoliticsNo$10078¢92¢+$17
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?PoliticsNo$10039¢45¢+$14
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?PoliticsNo$10075¢84¢+$11
US strike on Cuba by December 31?PoliticsNo$10064¢68¢+$5
Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by December 31?PoliticsYes$10039¢40¢+$2
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by September 30?PoliticsNo$10070¢69¢-$2
Will Russia capture Toretske by September 30, 2026?PoliticsNo$10068¢64¢-$7
Will Russia capture Stavky by July 31?PoliticsNo$5079¢98¢+$13
Will Russia capture Havrylivka by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$5069¢87¢+$13
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?PoliticsYes$5069¢84¢+$11
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?PoliticsNo$5057¢69¢+$10
Will Ukraine re-enter Obratne or Temyrivka by December 31?PoliticsYes$5043¢48¢+$5
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?PoliticsNo$2529¢63¢+$30
Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by September 30?PoliticsNo$5069¢72¢+$2
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?PoliticsYes$5347¢34¢-$14
Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$37.5¢86¢+$32
Will Russia capture Sofiivka by December 31?PoliticsNo$5048¢28¢-$20
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by September 30?PoliticsNo$2536¢42¢+$4
Will Russia enter Stavky by September 30?PoliticsNo$5072¢41¢-$22
Will Russia capture Bilytske by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$5046¢26¢-$22
OpenAI IPO before 2027?TechNo$1030¢80¢+$17
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1038¢99¢+$16
Discord IPO before 2027?TechNo$1540¢65¢+$9
Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?PoliticsNo$12.0¢49¢+$23
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?PoliticsYes$2533¢28¢-$3
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?PoliticsYes$5062¢27¢-$29
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HousePoliticsYes$2043¢44¢+$0
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?PoliticsYes$513¢52¢+$15
Will C3.ai announce bankruptcy before 2027?CryptoYes$2039¢36¢-$2
Will Waymo launch in Sacramento, CA by December 31 2026?TechNo$2076¢69¢-$2
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?PoliticsYes$511¢40¢+$13
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?TechYes$1020¢35¢+$8
Will there be between 0 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?PoliticsYes$316¢95¢+$15
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$5034¢12¢-$33
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?PoliticsNo$520¢63¢+$10
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?PoliticsYes$1021¢31¢+$5
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?PoliticsNo$1027¢38¢+$4
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?PoliticsYes$1542¢40¢-$1
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?PoliticsNo$1016¢21¢+$3
Iran leadership change by December 31?PoliticsYes$1017¢21¢+$2
Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?PoliticsNo$52.5¢6.0¢+$7
Will Partido Liberal (PL) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election?PoliticsNo$513¢30¢+$6
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?FinanceNo$522¢49¢+$6
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?PoliticsYes$510¢22¢+$6
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?PoliticsYes$1016¢17¢+$0
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$519¢39¢+$5
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?PoliticsYes$1028¢28¢+$0
Anthropic IPO before 2027?TechNo$310¢33¢+$7
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?PoliticsNo$2038¢18¢-$10
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?PoliticsNo$518¢34¢+$4
FDA approves Viatris' low-dose estrogen weekly patch?TechNo$39.0¢28¢+$6
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?PoliticsYes$519¢34¢+$4
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$516¢28¢+$4
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?PoliticsYes$2028¢12¢-$11
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$1015¢12¢-$2
Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 31?PoliticsYes$2512¢3.9¢-$17
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026PoliticsNo$517¢26¢+$3
Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?PoliticsYes$517¢25¢+$3
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting?EconomyNo$315¢37¢+$5
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsYes$1027¢20¢-$3
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?PoliticsYes$57.0¢10¢+$2
Will Frontier Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?TechYes$1014¢10¢-$3
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?PoliticsYes$1033¢24¢-$3
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?PoliticsYes$1022¢16¢-$3
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?PoliticsYes$517¢23¢+$2
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?PoliticsYes$1032¢20¢-$4
US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by July 31?PoliticsYes$59.4¢12¢+$1
Nothing Ever Happens: JulyPoliticsSomething$517¢20¢+$1
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?PoliticsNo$1036¢20¢-$5
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?PoliticsNo$313¢23¢+$2
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026?PoliticsYes$37.8¢13¢+$2
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?PoliticsYes$1025¢13¢-$5
Will Ukraine re-enter Hryshyne by September 30?OtherYes$518¢18¢-$0
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?TechNo$515¢14¢-$0
Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?PoliticsYes$24.9¢12¢+$3
Will Waymo launch in San Diego, CA by December 31 2026?TechNo$1030¢14¢-$5
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$1024¢11¢-$5
GTA 6 launch postponed again?TechYes$1022¢10¢-$5
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?PoliticsYes$1012¢5.5¢-$6
Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$518¢16¢-$1
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?PoliticsYes$1033¢14¢-$6
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?PoliticsYes$314¢21¢+$1
Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$523¢20¢-$1
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?PoliticsNo$511¢9.5¢-$1
Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$519¢16¢-$1

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$1.7K
Tech-$552
Weather-$107
Economy+$56
Culture-$52
Crypto-$29
Finance-$25
Other-$24
UFC / MMA-$22
World Cup+$15
Mentions+$13
Olympics-$10
Biggest hit
+$409
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
Toughest beat
-$500
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by February 28?

Recent moves

  • Cashed out Yes · Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by July 31, 2026?$01d ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by September 30, 2026?$01d ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will Russia enter Krasnoiarske by September 30?$01d ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will Russia enter Svitle by September 30?$01d ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by September 30?$01d ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will Russia enter Krasnoiarske by December 31, 2026?$01d ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will Russia enter Vasylivka by July 31, 2026?$01d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will the South African Reserve Bank hike by 25 bps at the July 2026 meeting?$232d ago
  • Cashed out No · 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 14?$04d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 17, 2026?$05d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?$05d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will there be no next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?$05d ago