Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $300 | 38¢ | 83¢ | +$363 |
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $400 | 30¢ | 50¢ | +$260 |
Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $400 | 62¢ | 88¢ | +$167 |
Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by December 31?Politics | No | $300 | 31¢ | 41¢ | +$93 |
Will Russia capture Verkhnia Tersa by July 31?Politics | No | $250 | 80¢ | 98¢ | +$58 |
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $250 | 49¢ | 56¢ | +$34 |
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $250 | 83¢ | 91¢ | +$24 |
Will Russia enter Serhiivka by July 31?Politics | No | $200 | 74¢ | 95¢ | +$54 |
Will Russia enter Myrne by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $200 | 78¢ | 92¢ | +$36 |
Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31?Politics | No | $250 | 53¢ | 49¢ | -$17 |
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31?Politics | No | $200 | 63¢ | 54¢ | -$30 |
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $200 | 48¢ | 33¢ | -$61 |
Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by September 30?Politics | No | $150 | 72¢ | 63¢ | -$19 |
Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $100 | 75¢ | 91¢ | +$21 |
Will Russia enter Stinky by July 31?Politics | No | $100 | 81¢ | 95¢ | +$17 |
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by September 30?Politics | No | $100 | 78¢ | 92¢ | +$17 |
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?Politics | No | $100 | 39¢ | 45¢ | +$14 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Politics | No | $100 | 75¢ | 84¢ | +$11 |
US strike on Cuba by December 31?Politics | No | $100 | 64¢ | 68¢ | +$5 |
Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by December 31?Politics | Yes | $100 | 39¢ | 40¢ | +$2 |
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by September 30?Politics | No | $100 | 70¢ | 69¢ | -$2 |
Will Russia capture Toretske by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $100 | 68¢ | 64¢ | -$7 |
Will Russia capture Stavky by July 31?Politics | No | $50 | 79¢ | 98¢ | +$13 |
Will Russia capture Havrylivka by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $50 | 69¢ | 87¢ | +$13 |
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Politics | Yes | $50 | 69¢ | 84¢ | +$11 |
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?Politics | No | $50 | 57¢ | 69¢ | +$10 |
Will Ukraine re-enter Obratne or Temyrivka by December 31?Politics | Yes | $50 | 43¢ | 48¢ | +$5 |
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?Politics | No | $25 | 29¢ | 63¢ | +$30 |
Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by September 30?Politics | No | $50 | 69¢ | 72¢ | +$2 |
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?Politics | Yes | $53 | 47¢ | 34¢ | -$14 |
Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $3 | 7.5¢ | 86¢ | +$32 |
Will Russia capture Sofiivka by December 31?Politics | No | $50 | 48¢ | 28¢ | -$20 |
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by September 30?Politics | No | $25 | 36¢ | 42¢ | +$4 |
Will Russia enter Stavky by September 30?Politics | No | $50 | 72¢ | 41¢ | -$22 |
Will Russia capture Bilytske by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $50 | 46¢ | 26¢ | -$22 |
OpenAI IPO before 2027?Tech | No | $10 | 30¢ | 80¢ | +$17 |
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $10 | 38¢ | 99¢ | +$16 |
Discord IPO before 2027?Tech | No | $15 | 40¢ | 65¢ | +$9 |
Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?Politics | No | $1 | 2.0¢ | 49¢ | +$23 |
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Politics | Yes | $25 | 33¢ | 28¢ | -$3 |
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Politics | Yes | $50 | 62¢ | 27¢ | -$29 |
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HousePolitics | Yes | $20 | 43¢ | 44¢ | +$0 |
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | Yes | $5 | 13¢ | 52¢ | +$15 |
Will C3.ai announce bankruptcy before 2027?Crypto | Yes | $20 | 39¢ | 36¢ | -$2 |
Will Waymo launch in Sacramento, CA by December 31 2026?Tech | No | $20 | 76¢ | 69¢ | -$2 |
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?Politics | Yes | $5 | 11¢ | 40¢ | +$13 |
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $10 | 20¢ | 35¢ | +$8 |
| Will there be between 0 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?Politics | Yes | $3 | 16¢ | 95¢ | +$15 |
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $50 | 34¢ | 12¢ | -$33 |
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Politics | No | $5 | 20¢ | 63¢ | +$10 |
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?Politics | Yes | $10 | 21¢ | 31¢ | +$5 |
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?Politics | No | $10 | 27¢ | 38¢ | +$4 |
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?Politics | Yes | $15 | 42¢ | 40¢ | -$1 |
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | No | $10 | 16¢ | 21¢ | +$3 |
Iran leadership change by December 31?Politics | Yes | $10 | 17¢ | 21¢ | +$2 |
Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?Politics | No | $5 | 2.5¢ | 6.0¢ | +$7 |
Will Partido Liberal (PL) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election?Politics | No | $5 | 13¢ | 30¢ | +$6 |
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Finance | No | $5 | 22¢ | 49¢ | +$6 |
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?Politics | Yes | $5 | 10¢ | 22¢ | +$6 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Politics | Yes | $10 | 16¢ | 17¢ | +$0 |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Politics | No | $5 | 19¢ | 39¢ | +$5 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Politics | Yes | $10 | 28¢ | 28¢ | +$0 |
Anthropic IPO before 2027?Tech | No | $3 | 10¢ | 33¢ | +$7 |
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics | No | $20 | 38¢ | 18¢ | -$10 |
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?Politics | No | $5 | 18¢ | 34¢ | +$4 |
FDA approves Viatris' low-dose estrogen weekly patch?Tech | No | $3 | 9.0¢ | 28¢ | +$6 |
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Politics | Yes | $5 | 19¢ | 34¢ | +$4 |
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $5 | 16¢ | 28¢ | +$4 |
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?Politics | Yes | $20 | 28¢ | 12¢ | -$11 |
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $10 | 15¢ | 12¢ | -$2 |
Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 31?Politics | Yes | $25 | 12¢ | 3.9¢ | -$17 |
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Politics | No | $5 | 17¢ | 26¢ | +$3 |
Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Politics | Yes | $5 | 17¢ | 25¢ | +$3 |
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting?Economy | No | $3 | 15¢ | 37¢ | +$5 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | Yes | $10 | 27¢ | 20¢ | -$3 |
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?Politics | Yes | $5 | 7.0¢ | 10¢ | +$2 |
Will Frontier Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?Tech | Yes | $10 | 14¢ | 10¢ | -$3 |
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Politics | Yes | $10 | 33¢ | 24¢ | -$3 |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Politics | Yes | $10 | 22¢ | 16¢ | -$3 |
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Politics | Yes | $5 | 17¢ | 23¢ | +$2 |
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?Politics | Yes | $10 | 32¢ | 20¢ | -$4 |
| US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by July 31?Politics | Yes | $5 | 9.4¢ | 12¢ | +$1 |
Nothing Ever Happens: JulyPolitics | Something | $5 | 17¢ | 20¢ | +$1 |
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Politics | No | $10 | 36¢ | 20¢ | -$5 |
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?Politics | No | $3 | 13¢ | 23¢ | +$2 |
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $3 | 7.8¢ | 13¢ | +$2 |
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?Politics | Yes | $10 | 25¢ | 13¢ | -$5 |
Will Ukraine re-enter Hryshyne by September 30?Other | Yes | $5 | 18¢ | 18¢ | -$0 |
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Tech | No | $5 | 15¢ | 14¢ | -$0 |
Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Politics | Yes | $2 | 4.9¢ | 12¢ | +$3 |
Will Waymo launch in San Diego, CA by December 31 2026?Tech | No | $10 | 30¢ | 14¢ | -$5 |
| Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $10 | 24¢ | 11¢ | -$5 |
GTA 6 launch postponed again?Tech | Yes | $10 | 22¢ | 10¢ | -$5 |
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $10 | 12¢ | 5.5¢ | -$6 |
| Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $5 | 18¢ | 16¢ | -$1 |
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?Politics | Yes | $10 | 33¢ | 14¢ | -$6 |
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?Politics | Yes | $3 | 14¢ | 21¢ | +$1 |
Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $5 | 23¢ | 20¢ | -$1 |
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?Politics | No | $5 | 11¢ | 9.5¢ | -$1 |
Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $5 | 19¢ | 16¢ | -$1 |