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hopedieslast

Predicting since Nov 2024225 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $235K on Politics markets since Nov 2024.

Right now: $35K riding on Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?.

Biggest hit: +$73K on Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?PoliticsNo$24K45¢99¢+$29K
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?PoliticsNo$32K83¢95¢+$4.7K
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$29K83¢93¢+$3.3K
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$28K61¢51¢-$4.7K
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?PoliticsYes$35K35¢8.5¢-$27K
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?PoliticsNo$6.7K95¢97¢+$112
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?PoliticsNo$5.1K78¢98¢+$1.3K
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31?PoliticsNo$3.2K64¢88¢+$1.2K
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?PoliticsNo$4.3K89¢91¢+$72
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?PoliticsNo$2.7K59¢93¢+$1.5K
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$5.4K27¢17¢-$2.0K
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?PoliticsYes$2.0K10¢17¢+$1.3K
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$2.3K47¢67¢+$961
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?PoliticsNo$2.1K69¢99¢+$885
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?PoliticsYes$3.7K15¢6.5¢-$2.1K
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1.4K68¢68¢-$10
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?PoliticsYes$1.0K38¢44¢+$161
Will Russia capture Bilytske by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$70148¢76¢+$398
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$2.0K22¢10¢-$1.1K
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$65050¢56¢+$71
Will Russia capture Prymorske by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$1.6K33¢14¢-$926
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?PoliticsNo$52896¢99¢+$18
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$70723¢15¢-$249
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?PoliticsNo$16984¢91¢+$13
Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026?PoliticsNo$15878¢88¢+$19
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$3488.9¢3.4¢-$216
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?PoliticsYes$6140¢59¢+$29
Will Russia capture Borova by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$10915¢7.5¢-$55
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$471¢94¢+$1
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$441¢44¢+$0
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$33K43¢0.0¢-$33K
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$2.7K5.1¢0.0¢-$2.7K
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$18K25¢0.0¢-$18K
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$1.9K34¢0.0¢-$1.9K
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$16K56¢0.0¢-$16K
Will Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$3819¢0.0¢-$38
US and Iran sign an agreement by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$1.6K7.1¢0.0¢-$1.6K
US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$6.5K29¢0.0¢-$6.5K
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?PoliticsNoResolved$13K38¢0.0¢-$13K
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$12K12¢0.0¢-$12K
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31?PoliticsNoResolved$78039¢0.0¢-$780
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 22, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$7.6K14¢0.0¢-$7.6K

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$235K
Culture+$16
Biggest hit
+$73K
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Toughest beat
-$61K
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Recent moves

  • Bought No · Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?$1691h ago
  • Sold Yes · Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?$102h ago
  • Bought No · US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?$622h ago
  • Bought No · US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?$114h ago
  • Bought No · US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?$24h ago
  • Sold Yes · Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?$17h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?$22110h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?$1110h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?$1610h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?$1610h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?$6210h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?$1910h ago