← Whale Watch

R79dgahr

Predicting since Apr 2026697 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $249K on Politics markets since Apr 2026.

Right now: $213K across 2 Politics markets.

Biggest hit: +$148K on Will Daniel Ennis win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?PoliticsYes$107K50¢56¢+$12K
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?PoliticsNo$107K50¢45¢-$12K
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$66K77¢81¢+$4.0K
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?PoliticsNo$49K96¢95¢-$426
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$44K84¢92¢+$3.7K
Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?PoliticsYes$38K81¢99¢+$8.5K
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?PoliticsNo$41K97¢99¢+$858
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsNo$31K75¢81¢+$2.3K
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$31K94¢99¢+$1.7K
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?PoliticsNo$32K89¢91¢+$450
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsNo$30K100¢99¢-$45
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?PoliticsYes$31K60¢56¢-$2.0K
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?PoliticsNo$24K91¢97¢+$1.8K
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?PoliticsNo$25K83¢88¢+$1.3K
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?PoliticsNo$21K76¢88¢+$3.3K
Will GameStop acquire eBay?FinanceNo$20K84¢88¢+$856
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$18K85¢94¢+$1.8K
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?PoliticsNo$17K59¢63¢+$962
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?PoliticsNo$16K91¢95¢+$630
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?PoliticsNo$16K87¢84¢-$720
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?PoliticsNo$14K95¢99¢+$653
Iran leadership change by July 31?PoliticsNo$12K95¢99¢+$501
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?PoliticsNo$12K84¢90¢+$819
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?PoliticsNo$9.7K78¢95¢+$2.0K
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$9.9K58¢68¢+$1.6K
Will Kareem Allam win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?PoliticsNo$4.6K50¢93¢+$4.0K
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?PoliticsNo$8.3K96¢97¢+$117
Cuban regime falls in 2026?PoliticsNo$7.6K74¢81¢+$770
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$7.0K77¢93¢+$1.4K
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?PoliticsNo$6.3K29¢27¢-$404
New pandemic in 2026?PoliticsNo$5.6K93¢94¢+$30
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?PoliticsNo$4.9K58¢64¢+$485
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?PoliticsYes$4.6K96¢97¢+$57
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?PoliticsNo$4.2K62¢66¢+$270
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?PoliticsNo$4.3K86¢87¢+$25
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?PoliticsNo$3.5K36¢43¢+$643
Will Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?PoliticsNo$3.6K67¢76¢+$462
Will Artyom Zdunov win the 2026 Mordovia gubernatorial elections?PoliticsYes$3.7K91¢98¢+$285
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$3800.8¢8.1¢+$3.5K
Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?PoliticsNo$3.7K94¢97¢+$122
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$2.6K1.7¢2.4¢+$1.1K
Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?PoliticsNo$3.0K76¢91¢+$590
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$2.8K85¢91¢+$184
Iran invades Kuwait by July 31?PoliticsNo$2.9K97¢99¢+$65
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$2.0K1.6¢2.4¢+$916
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$2.6K52¢56¢+$175
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?PoliticsNo$2.6K88¢93¢+$135
Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by Sep 30?PoliticsNo$2.6K88¢92¢+$105
Will Requião Filho win the Governor of Paraná election?PoliticsNo$2.4K91¢96¢+$140
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader in 2026?PoliticsYes$5.1K41¢20¢-$2.7K
Will Auyl win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?PoliticsNo$2.5K49¢49¢-$25
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$2.7K57¢51¢-$299
Will Mark Sutcliffe win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?PoliticsNo$1.2K23¢42¢+$1.0K
Will Yehude Simón Munaro win the next Lima mayoral elections?PoliticsNo$2.2K97¢99¢+$59
Will Seth Moulton be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Massachusetts?PoliticsNo$2.2K73¢71¢-$75
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$1.2K1.2¢2.1¢+$864
US strike on Cuba by December 31?PoliticsNo$1.8K61¢68¢+$195
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?PoliticsNo$1.9K51¢52¢+$38
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1.8K83¢89¢+$125
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?PoliticsYes$2.9K6.5¢4.1¢-$1.1K
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?PoliticsNo$1.6K59¢63¢+$95
Will N’Kiyla “Jasmine” Thomas be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oklahoma?PoliticsYes$1.5K84¢94¢+$167
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?TechNo$1.3K67¢81¢+$290
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?PoliticsYes$1.6K80¢77¢-$70
Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?PoliticsNo$1.6K80¢75¢-$100
Will Richard Dodson be the WY-AL Republican nominee?PoliticsNo$1.4K94¢100¢+$79
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$9701.9¢2.9¢+$480
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?PoliticsNo$1.4K78¢79¢+$9
Will Michael Carbonara be the FL-22 Republican nominee?PoliticsNo$1.5K26¢23¢-$189
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$1.1K1.1¢1.1¢+$59
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$2.5K2.5¢1.1¢-$1.4K
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$1970.4¢2.1¢+$873
Will Pete Fry win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?PoliticsNo$79964¢84¢+$250
Will Alexander Alexandrov win the 2026 Mordovia gubernatorial elections?PoliticsNo$97696¢98¢+$23
Will Brayden Myer be the Wisconsin Secretary of State Republican nominee?PoliticsNo$85384¢98¢+$138
Will OpenAI have the best AI Agent at the end of August 2026?TechNo$89280¢85¢+$51
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?PoliticsNo$88991¢94¢+$26
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026?PoliticsNo$77879¢91¢+$113
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsNo$82787¢90¢+$24
Will Jennifer Austria Barzaga win the special election to fill the Cavite 4th congressional district seat in the Philippine House of Representatives?PoliticsYes$74590¢95¢+$44
Will Count Binface win 10–20% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?PoliticsNo$96669¢53¢-$231
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?PoliticsNo$45524¢34¢+$199
Kash Patel out by December 31?PoliticsYes$92046¢32¢-$290
Will Charlie Crist win the St. Petersburg mayoral election?PoliticsYes$51076¢85¢+$57
Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by 60% or more?PoliticsNo$46852¢63¢+$99
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$53887¢89¢+$9
Will Alex Lawson win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?PoliticsYes$28414¢24¢+$195
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$1970.4¢0.9¢+$278
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$1970.4¢0.9¢+$278
Will PH win the 2026 Negeri Sembilan general elections?PoliticsYes$56744¢34¢-$137
Will William Azaroff win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?PoliticsYes$1379.1¢27¢+$272
Will Jeff Leiper win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?PoliticsYes$26110¢15¢+$126
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$3160.8¢0.9¢+$68
Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$1970.4¢0.8¢+$178
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$1970.4¢0.8¢+$178
Will Syria recognize Israel by December 31?PoliticsNo$33486¢93¢+$24
Will Brian Mundubile win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?PoliticsYes$2818.9¢11¢+$65
Will Eduardo Braide win the Governor of Maranhão election?PoliticsYes$15734¢74¢+$187
Will BN win the 2026 Negeri Sembilan general elections?PoliticsNo$45645¢33¢-$121
GOP uses 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$33285¢86¢+$2

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$249K
Crypto-$25K
Economy+$5.1K
Finance+$4.6K
World Cup+$510
Mentions+$399
Tech+$293
Culture+$77
Other+$38
Biggest hit
+$148K
Will Daniel Ennis win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?
Toughest beat
-$66K
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?

Recent moves

  • Bought No · Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?$117m ago
  • Sold No · Will Requião Filho win the Governor of Paraná election?$4932m ago
  • Bought No · Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?$132m ago
  • Bought No · Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?$133m ago
  • Bought No · Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?$034m ago
  • Bought No · Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?$042m ago
  • Bought No · Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?$053m ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Artyom Zdunov win the 2026 Mordovia gubernatorial elections?$2055m ago
  • Bought No · Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?$058m ago
  • Bought No · Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?$159m ago
  • Bought No · Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?$01h ago
  • Bought No · Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?$11h ago